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October 2013 General Discussion


snowlover2

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A lot of time people like to complain about "cheap midnight" high temperatures. Well, this month seems to have an abundance of warm overnight lows that end up getting wiped out by having "pre midnight" lows the next evening. In the course of the year, the midnight highs and pre midnight lows probably cancel each other out.

 

A little over a third (36%) of the month's lows here in Cleveland have been pre midnight lows:

 

post-599-0-65312800-1382275171_thumb.png

 

 

 

 

 

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Clouds moved in overnight and kept us from getting any frost.  If we hit 32 tonight it wouldn't be until around dawn with the strong cold advection, not radiational cooling.  Tomorrow night a clipper will be approaching so we'd have to crash to 32 early.

 

Yeah same thing happened here.  Was already at 36 before midnight, but only managed a low of 34.

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Had some frozen white bb's hitting the ground with a 20 second shower yesterday. frost here on roofs and north facing lawns across the street but not our side lol...  didn't think we'd see any frost as it was still 39 here at 4am and even warmer at UGN  but winds died down and that magical 2 hrs of good radiating kicked in and dropped us both down to frosting temps.   Low tonight I imagine will be the 36 degree reading at 8am..   Pretty impressive we're going to have a week of highs in the 40's..  2009 was really dam impressive with 9 days str8 in the 40's  with it coming so early from the 9th-17th.   Historic winter of 2007/08 had an historic Oct torch month and we didn't even have a day with a high below 51.

 

Another nice shot of cold air next week on gfs.  I imagine we'll have our typical nov torch period right on time in early Nov. during the prime time the bucks are running around with their tongues and peckers out chasing does.   Guess I'll have to take advantage of the cool weather and pre-rut over the next 10 days.

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It's been up to 51° here... rain has kept it from getting any warmer. Was in Kenosha a bit ago with mid 40s and a driving moderate rain.

 

MKX pulled the trigger on the Freeze Watch - for everyone to the lakeshore.

 

Peak temperatures tomorrow for the western part of the subforum.

 

temp26.gif

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Hayward reported an inch of snow on the ground as of an hour ago, and it's still snowing. I guess ground temps weren't a major hindrance there.

Seems like this is always a topic for debate early and late in the season. It will stick if it's snowing hard enough. There might be quick settling/compaction but it will stick.

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Man I was just thinking a little while ago that it was just only 40 days ago we were in the midst of a major late-season heat wave.  Temps pushed 100 on the 9th/10th of Sep (98/97).  It's hard to believe that we're now looking at the very real possibility of snowfall after such late-season heat.  Just goes to show how quickly things can change.

 

Another day with sprinkles, but no measurable rain with this system.  Did make it up to 62 earlier.

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Hit 53° today. Only 0.01" of rain today. Departure is 1.65° now for the month. October will go down as below normal.

 

Couple pictures. One of some wavy looking clouds and a pic of all the migratory CA geese coming through.

 

post-7389-0-61627100-1382315822_thumb.jp

 

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Up to 57 here in Toronto and climbing. Admittedly wearing a t-shirt, it's pretty nice outside! Doesn't seem like we'll be getting nearly as cold as those of you west of the 85 degree longitude line, but the t-shirt-able weather will certainly end and the clouds and showers will commence. 

 

Warmth is cause of the warm front plowing through the region ahead of the cold front. Temperatures should drop off nicely tonight to around 34-38F. Should get much cooler over the next few days, snow cover building up across Northern Ontario and that may help  fuel the cold air coming down. A few flurries is quite possible tomorrow night through Thursday morning. I expect temperatures to hover around 41-44F on Wednesday and Thursday with overnight lows at the freezing point. 

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