nwohweather Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Looks like a cold blast just in time for one of the biggest Trick o' treating days. Sun the 27th. So much for 50s today. Feels colder than yesterday with the wind! On a side note...you guys don't have Halloween on Halloween actually? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted October 18, 2013 Author Share Posted October 18, 2013 12z Euro not as quick as the GFS but you can see the plunge southward of colder air in Canada headed toward the northern U.S. by 240. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 On a side note...you guys don't have Halloween on Halloween actually? Trick o' treating will be on either the 26, 27, or 31st depending on where you live. It's on the weekend so kids can get there homework done before they can go out and trick o treat in the daylight - for safety reasons. Looks like the first snowfall for NW sections of this subforum on Sunday night. 12z EURO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 And I saw snow mixed with rain here, with an elevation of just less than 1000 ft, just now. Very nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 As crazy as the snow part is, I am even more amazed at the 30s in the Texas Panhandle. Yeah, even now the temps are still in the 30s there, as well as northern OK and much of KS. Snow still falling in areas as well, and in fact as far southeast as some Wichita ob sites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Very heavy rain coming in off the lake with ice pellets imbedded Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 12z Euro has a little clipper type system laying down some light snow from Iowa into Illinois and Indiana Tuesday into Tuesday night. This was good enough for DVN to put snow in the point for the first time this season for here. From DVN... SIGNIFICANT WAVE ARRIVES ONTUESDAY (ECMWF) GIVING MUCH OF THE CWA A RAIN/SNOW MIX AS 850 MBTEMPERATURES ARE PROGGED AT -2 TO -4C. THE 12Z RUN HAS SLOWED THISSYSTEM AND NOW ARRIVING DURING THE AFTERNOON INSTEAD OF MORNING. THEECMWF INDICATES STRONG DYNAMICS AND A SURFACE WAVE MOVING ACROSSNORTHERN MO AND CENTRAL IL TUESDAY NIGHT. WITH TEMPERATURES COOLINGEVEN MORE THIS SHOULD TURN TO ALL SNOW WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LIGHTACCUMULATIONS. CAUTION ADVISED...THIS IS ONE MODEL DEPICTING THIS AS THEGFS/GEM HAVE THIS SYSTEM SOUTH OF THE DVN CWA AND A NON-EVENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Right now I have 33° at showers for Tuesday night's Clipper. 12z EURO looked good for a rain snow mix here. Might take heavier returns to get the flakes all the way to the ground though. Only 48° today. Not one lick of sun past 10:30am. Edit: Departure only +2.44° now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 19, 2013 Share Posted October 19, 2013 18z GFS showing midday temps under 45°! And then 20s for southern WI and northern IL. Maybe even Alek can get into the 30s, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 19, 2013 Share Posted October 19, 2013 If this holds true, the entire subforum may have its 1st freeze in only one night. With the exception of the near downwind areas of the Lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted October 19, 2013 Share Posted October 19, 2013 Dtx 500MB SPAGHETTI PLOTS SHOW GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT ON A SECONDARY SHOT OF COLD AIR DROPPING DOWN FROM CANADA ON MONDAY. THIS WILL BE IN CONCERT WITH A SURFACE LOW AND ATTENDANT COLD FRONT CROSSING THE STATE. WIDESPREAD LIGHT RAIN IS LIKELY FOR MUCH OF THE CWA MONDAY...THOUGH IF THE FRONT LOSES ITS FORCING IN SUBSEQUENT MODEL RUNS...THOSE POPS WILL NEED TO BE LOWERED. 500MB HEIGHTS WILL RANGE FROM 536 TO 540 DAM FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK. LAKE EFFECT SHOWERS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE AS LAPSE RATES APPROACH 9 C/KM. THERE IS ALSO POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT SNOW IF ANY HYDROMETEORS MAKE THE TREK ALL THE WAY ACROSS THE STATE. THE UPPER LOW WILL CAUSE TEMPERATURES TO TREND ABOUT 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. ALSO OF NOTE IN THIS EVIDENT COLD REGIME IS THAT FROST/FREEZE HEADLINES WILL CEASE MONDAY MORNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted October 19, 2013 Share Posted October 19, 2013 If all of this lake rain had been lake effect snow, with 20:1 ratios, I'd have gotten over 20" since last night at 8! LAKEEFFECT SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE DOWNWIND OF THE LAKES...AND MAINTAINEDLIKELY POPS IN THE CLASSIC SNOWBELTS. SPEAKING OF SNOW...PRECIP WILLGET MIXY TO SNOWY AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT/MORNING ANDESPECIALLY IN THE HIGH TERRAIN OF NORTHERN LOWER. THOUGH QUITEUNCERTAIN WHETHER THIS WILL EVER RISE TO THE LEVEL OF A WINTER WXHEADLINE...THE MENTION OF THE FIRST SNOW OF THE SEASON PRESENTLY INTHE HAZ WX OUTLOOK IS REASONABLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted October 19, 2013 Share Posted October 19, 2013 The GEM has snow for the southern part of this subforum (northern Illinois, Indiana, Ohio) Tuesday night/Wednesday morning http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 19, 2013 Share Posted October 19, 2013 The GEM has snow for the southern part of this subforum (northern Illinois, Indiana, Ohio) Tuesday night/Wednesday morning http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Yeah that's a vigorous looking little wave that's been advertised by the Euro as well. Looks like a narrow swath may actually see some light accumulations Tue night. Just a question of where it ends up tracking. DVN mentions we may dip into the teens Tuesday morning if radiational cooling conditions maximize. Certainly looks like our first hard freeze at the least. Although we may get close to a hard freeze tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 19, 2013 Share Posted October 19, 2013 The GEM has snow for the southern part of this subforum (northern Illinois, Indiana, Ohio) Tuesday night/Wednesday morning http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Sweet! Down to 39° this morning with clearing happening. Some clouds working their way back in from the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted October 19, 2013 Share Posted October 19, 2013 I know it's early, but two separate waves on Wednesday morning and Thursday morning seem to both hit northwestern Ohio with accumulating snows. It makes me really happy to see because, correct me if I'm wrong, I feel most of Ohio has had a really rough couple of years with accumulating snows... Having something like this so early would really be a nice little apology gift! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted October 19, 2013 Share Posted October 19, 2013 There was a 10 minute sleet shower here this morning. It even covered stuff for one minute. haha Nonetheless, I was excited! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted October 19, 2013 Share Posted October 19, 2013 First sticking snow last year at my house was like Nov 14th or something. Hoping we get the 12z GFS to come true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted October 19, 2013 Share Posted October 19, 2013 I know it's early, but two separate waves on Wednesday morning and Thursday morning seem to both hit northwestern Ohio with accumulating snows. It makes me really happy to see because, correct me if I'm wrong, I feel most of Ohio has had a really rough couple of years with accumulating snows... Having something like this so early would really be a nice little apology gift! I doubt they will both be snow. A rain/snow mix likely could come of it, but I would expect no accumulation. Even MPX stated the other day that Minneapolis and its environs would likely not see accumulation due to warm ground. If Minneapolis would deal with it, NW Ohio will have the same issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted October 19, 2013 Share Posted October 19, 2013 First sticking snow last year at my house was like Nov 14th or something. Hoping we get the 12z GFS to come true. Nice bullseye over N. IL on the 12z GFS for sure. Way to early to get excited, but if we get even a few flakes of snow this early we'd be way ahead of last winter. Would be a nice start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 19, 2013 Share Posted October 19, 2013 Staring to see instability showers pop up. Temp near 50° I have snow/rain in my point now for Tuesday night. Frost advisory for tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted October 20, 2013 Share Posted October 20, 2013 thunder/lightening and some pretty heavy ice pellets, no rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 20, 2013 Share Posted October 20, 2013 Sounds exciting Bo! Down to 40° here, clearing out nicely. Should make it to near 32° tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted October 20, 2013 Share Posted October 20, 2013 thunder/lightening and some pretty heavy ice pellets, no rain. Same here farther down the coast from you. We just had quite the little graupel thunderstorm go through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted October 20, 2013 Share Posted October 20, 2013 Same here farther down the coast from you. We just had quite the little graupel thunderstorm go through. Plain rain here, no snow/graupel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 20, 2013 Share Posted October 20, 2013 Had a few wind-blown sprinkles earlier today, but nothing measurable. DVN dropped the snow from the point for Tue-Wed here. Sounds like they're riding the Euro, which now takes most of it south of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted October 20, 2013 Share Posted October 20, 2013 Plain rain here, no snow/graupel. Ok, so I am changing my tune. Just has 30 seconds of graupel like stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 20, 2013 Share Posted October 20, 2013 Still have the rain/snow Tuesday night my my forecast. Would not be surprised if it trended north given it being early in the season. Couple intense looking showers moving in this direction. Could see some graupel as well. Shower was too light for graupel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 20, 2013 Share Posted October 20, 2013 Down to 36 already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 20, 2013 Share Posted October 20, 2013 Just clearing out now. Radiational cooling should get going now. Few upper 30s showing up across the area. Departure only +2.06°, month to date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.