Geos Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Sure, but when we're talking about a rain/snow mix vs rain, I don't feel like much is being missed anyway. The winds will be on the light side since this isn't an intense low pressure system, a weakish clipper. Yeah that's true a light winds doesn't bring the marine air in very far. Maybe if we get these cold system in early enough, by the time we get to Thanksgiving we won't have to worry about the lake being too warm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted October 17, 2013 Author Share Posted October 17, 2013 One of my local mets mentioned the possibility of snowflakes for next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merrychristmas Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Yeah, wrong time of year to get this setup. If it were later we would be talking snow. Although getting a head start on establishing the cold and snowcover over the northern hemisphere now during such a cold spell could bode well for helping the winter coming up. The sea ice seems to be freezing up really well this year and that could enhance strong shots of cold in the upcoming season. I'm looking forward to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merrychristmas Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 The more surprising thing to me is the reinforcing shots that are shown in the mid to long range. It is basically like we are going from Summer to Winter in some places. I was thinking just that for Toronto. We are just finishing t-shirt weather, now I will skip right over the sweaters and go straight to my winter jacket for the upcoming week! The absence of sun and chilly conditions coming this weekend and beyond will be quite a shock of cold to the people here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Fwiw, for the 129 years of snowfall data at MKE, the month of October has only seen 34 days of measurable snow and a grand total of 24.9". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Brewers - last time there was a trace of snow in October here was the 26-27th of 2008. Last time there was accumulation was before 1998 before I started recording. Thinking maybe 1996 or so. Looks like November type cold! Ramsey now mentioning rain and snow on Wednesday or light snow at night! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Brewers - last time there was a trace of snow in October here was the 26-27th of 2008. Last time there was accumulation was before 1998 before I started recording. Thinking maybe 1996 or so. Looks like November type cold! Ramsey now mentioning rain and snow on Wednesday or light snow at night! Could happen, but to me it's very marginal even here, I'd have to think the trough would have to be south of the Ohio Valley area for Chicago to see light snow without any rain mixing in at night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Brewers - last time there was a trace of snow in October here was the 26-27th of 2008. Last time there was accumulation was before 1998 before I started recording. Thinking maybe 1996 or so. Looks like November type cold! Ramsey now mentioning rain and snow on Wednesday or light snow at night! We've had 4 measurable snows since 1990. Oct 19th 1992 - 0.3" Oct 20th 1992 - 0.9" Oct 7th 2002 - 0.2" (Second earliest measurable snow) Oct 12th 2006 - 0.1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 We've had 4 measurable snows since 1990. Oct 19th 1992 - 0.3" Oct 20th 1992 - 0.9" Oct 7th 2002 - 0.2" (Second earliest measurable snow) Oct 12th 2006 - 0.1" Yeah October 2006 I had some snow too, but did not stick. Guess MKE got lucky. 48° 46° with light to moderate rain this morning... yeah it's October! Pushing 0.30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Could happen, but to me it's very marginal even here, I'd have to think the trough would have to be south of the Ohio Valley area for Chicago to see light snow without any rain mixing in at night. ABC news is on board with the idea now and WGN continues to talk about it! Ramsey even said a chance Sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 0.50" of rain and still going. This weather is a shock to the system.' Edit: Forecast was for clearing by 2pm. Now 3pm and pouring rain again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Some cold rains outside with a high of 55F currently. Snow cover across the Yukon and NWT maybe hard to come-by next week as the ridge builds across the West but Nunavut, Manitoba and Quebec should see a nice increase in the meantime. The cold waves following this week till the end of the month should help cool the Great Lakes water temperatures and the Hudson Bay down a few degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 I picked a poor time for a week long camping trip to southwestern PA. The back half of next week is gonna be chilly. Sadly we have a small teardrop with no heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 High of only 49° today! First sub 50° day of the season. Saw about 15 minutes of sun before sunset. 0.58" of rain today. Over 36" of rain for the year now. Clearing now, which is going to lead to lows in the 30s for sure tonight. Brrr. Already 43° at 7:15pm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 I have pictures somewhere of 10/12/06 that I need to dig up. It was an intense shower that coated the ground, and contrasted well with the fall colors and blue sky after the wave passed. I remember the coolest shots being of the invasive shrubs like honeysuckle and buckthorn, with their snow-caked green leaves basking in the autumn sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Was a great night for a campfire. Down to 38. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Might be a bit of WAA going on. Temp bounced up to 39° to 41°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 GFS shows a widespread cold blast next week, following a few days of already chilly weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Feels novemeberish here. Good possibility of accumulating snow 20-30 miles east of me next week. Rain/snow mix for me I'd have to assume. Charlevoix has reported sleet SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1045 AM EDT FRI OCT 18 2013 MIZ016-019>021-025-031-181645- EMMET-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-BENZIE-MANISTEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT... MANCELONA...FRANKFORT...MANISTEE 1045 AM EDT FRI OCT 18 2013 ...ICE PELLETS NEAR THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE... THE RAIN SHOWERS COMING OFF OF LAKE MICHIGAN THIS MORNING AND THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON WILL BE MIXED WITH ICE PELLETS AT TIMES. THE ICE PELLETS WILL MAINLY AFFECT AREAS NEAR THE LAKE SHORE. $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Much of Kansas getting snow this morning. Another sign the times are a changin'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Much of Kansas getting snow this morning. Another sign the times are a changin'. As crazy as the snow part is, I am even more amazed at the 30s in the Texas Panhandle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Down to 37° here this morning. A lot of leaves are now falling. Was sunny for a bit, but now back to cloudy and breezy conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Much of Kansas getting snow this morning. Another sign the times are a changin'. Most of the areas getting snow are over 3,000'. It is still impressive, but a little elevation sure helps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guru Of Reason Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Much of Kansas getting snow this morning. Another sign the times are a changin'. Had some sleet here earlier today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 From the looks of the extended, appears my golfing days for this season have come to an abrupt end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Most of the areas getting snow are over 3,000'. It is still impressive, but a little elevation sure helps. 0.5 mile in moderate snow at Salina now, at 1263ft. Temps have stagnated in the upper 40s here, with a solid overcast. Coolest day of the season so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted October 18, 2013 Author Share Posted October 18, 2013 12z GFS looking very cold toward Halloween. 0z run was similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Looks like a cold blast just in time for one of the biggest Trick o' treating days. Sun the 27th. So much for 50s today. Feels colder than yesterday with the wind! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guru Of Reason Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 0.5 mile in moderate snow at Salina now, at 1263ft. Temps have stagnated in the upper 40s here, with a solid overcast. Coolest day of the season so far. And I saw snow mixed with rain here, with an elevation of just less than 1000 ft, just now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 The GFS has -25C 850's showing up just north of Lake Superior on Halloween. If the GFS verifies, we would have sub freezing high temps for Halloween. Its such a massive ridge in the pacific that Barrow, AK would be warmer than our entire subforum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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