daddylonglegs Posted October 12, 2013 Share Posted October 12, 2013 Looks like 50Fs for highs next week... good week to get out and do some hiking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Doctor Posted October 12, 2013 Share Posted October 12, 2013 Low thunder rumbles coming in now. Hopefully these t-storms provide a show! Ended up with some moderate/briefly heavy rain with occasional rumbles of thunder. Good enough for October Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted October 12, 2013 Share Posted October 12, 2013 A decent band of showers and thunderstorms is approaching. For awhile it looked like the NAM would win out with little or no precipitation with the frontal passage, but as usual, when it's on its own compared to other guidance, it was wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted October 12, 2013 Share Posted October 12, 2013 Very heavy rain for mid October right now. Just had a really loud crack of thunder as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted October 12, 2013 Share Posted October 12, 2013 Very heavy rain for mid October right now. Just had a really loud crack of thunder as well. Congrats. I'm too far southeast to see anything more than some very light rain late this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 12, 2013 Share Posted October 12, 2013 Been pouring down rain here for the last 20 minutes. Starting to cool off as the cold front passes through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted October 12, 2013 Author Share Posted October 12, 2013 12z Euro showing a nice shot of much cooler air in a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted October 12, 2013 Share Posted October 12, 2013 12z Euro showing a nice shot of much cooler air in a week. Should be good enough for widespread frost and freezes in many areas I would think, but with the warm lakes, always a concern within 10 miles or so of the shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 12, 2013 Share Posted October 12, 2013 Should be good enough for widespread frost and freezes in many areas I would think, but with the warm lakes, always a concern within 10 miles or so of the shore. If it's an offshore flow ~ no problem. UHI may be an issue though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxhstn74 Posted October 12, 2013 Share Posted October 12, 2013 Beautiful Mild Autumn Weather Will Come to an Abrupt End By Late Next Week! http://weatherhistorian.blogspot.com/2013/10/our-beautiful-mild-autumn-weather-will.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 12, 2013 Share Posted October 12, 2013 0.10" so far. R- and 61° right now. Lot of wet leaves clogging up drainage ways today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted October 12, 2013 Share Posted October 12, 2013 Clouds moving through...looks like by sat that we are just catching the southern edge of it, but shouldn't be in it too long...however, the days are so short that by the time we clear out it could be dark..so who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted October 12, 2013 Share Posted October 12, 2013 Pull out the winter jackets boys and girls: Be a fire roaring in the woodstove next weekend at my brother's cabin... guys will be out thick bowhunting i'd imagine. Next year in Wisconsin, looks like anyone will be able to use a crossbow during bow season, so that should be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 12, 2013 Share Posted October 12, 2013 DLL - Looks lovely! It's trying to clear out here, but there's a lot of scud clouds about. Edit: 0.11" of rain today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted October 12, 2013 Share Posted October 12, 2013 We went a little sunny before the sun dropped away. Nice day for fall...although still a little windy. She'll get cold tonite...right around 40F here, which i t hink will be the coldest night yet. The grass has really greened up the last 2 weeks...mowed today. Try to get a hike in right away in the morning. Love hiking in fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 13, 2013 Share Posted October 13, 2013 NAM HIRES showing mid 30s for you DLL. Projected to get to near 40° here as well, but wouldn't be surprised it went colder. Upper 30s to lower 40 dewpoints infiltrating in now. The MSP UHI sticks out like a sore thumb! Edit: Temperature wasting no time dropping towards the 40s. Already 51° imby. 9:30pm. Starting to spend more time raking leaves now. 2 trees in my yard are 90% bare already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted October 13, 2013 Share Posted October 13, 2013 Quite the active pattern, sort of gradient in nature building in for the second half of the month. PNA looks to go positive and the EPO going negative with a negative NAO and fluctuating AO...this could bode well for later on. Snow cover should build nicely across Canada over the next few weeks despite it lagging behind this year. Eureka in Nunvaut is very cold right now around -20F. Let's hope the solar output remains low this month with very little sunspots and based on my calculations this could bode well for blocking in the winter though I don't think it will be severely negative like 09-10, the pattern doesn't seem to support it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted October 13, 2013 Share Posted October 13, 2013 Quite the active pattern, sort of gradient in nature building in for the second half of the month. PNA looks to go positive and the EPO going negative with a negative NAO and fluctuating AO...this could bode well for later on. Snow cover should build nicely across Canada over the next few weeks despite it lagging behind this year. Eureka in Nunvaut is very cold right now around -20F. Let's hope the solar output remains low this month with very little sunspots and based on my calculations this could bode well for blocking in the winter though I don't think it will be severely negative like 09-10, the pattern doesn't seem to support it. That's good, we don't want it too extreme like 09-10, at least in the northern half of the forum. A blend of 07-08 and 08-09 would be nice, gradient like 07-08 but cold like 08-09, very unlikely of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 13, 2013 Share Posted October 13, 2013 Down to 48° already. The coolest spot with 20 miles. Winds calm. 46°, 11pm. Highs have really been consistent since the 7th here, 65°, 68°, 66°, 69°, 68°, 69°. Month to date down to +5.9°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted October 13, 2013 Share Posted October 13, 2013 The 18z GFS was really hitting the Lake Effect potential for MI next weekend: Would be awfully early in the season for GRR and south, and realistically that's probably mostly rain, but hey, all Lake Effect is good Lake Effect! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 13, 2013 Share Posted October 13, 2013 The 18z GFS was really hitting the Lake Effect potential for MI next weekend: Would be awfully early in the season for GRR and south, and realistically that's probably mostly rain, but hey, all Lake Effect is good Lake Effect! Wouldn't doubt some wet snow up by Weatherbo and the higher terrain around Gaylord. Maybe some for the Porcupine Mountains too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted October 13, 2013 Share Posted October 13, 2013 Wouldn't doubt some wet snow up by Weatherbo and the higher terrain around Gaylord. Maybe some for the Porcupine Mountains too.indeed.... APX: THE COOLEST AIRMASS OF THE YOUNG SEASON ADVECTING IN AND HOLDING ON THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. THIS SCENARIO IS EXPECTED TO LEAD TO LAKE EFFECT RAIN SHOWERS WITH EVEN AN OUTSIDE CHANCE OF A FEW WET SNOWFLAKES ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted October 13, 2013 Share Posted October 13, 2013 Not a large sample size, but this is now the latest we've gone here without a sub-30F low temp since I started keeping records in Jan '08. Previous latest was 10/9/09 (39). Through 10/13 at ORD, the lowest temp so far this season is 43 (on 10/8). This has to be the latest in the season without a sub-43 temp...or at least very close. Impressive, considering that the normal low for this time of year is 43. Even at RFD - where there is less of a UHI influence - their coldest temp so far has been 41. Today's normal low in RFD is 41. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted October 13, 2013 Share Posted October 13, 2013 Several locations in Iowa got colder this morning than what was forecasted. CR hit 36, right inline with the forecast, but Des Moines had upper 30s for central/ne Iowa and many spots dropped to the low 30s. Spencer, in nw Iowa, dropped to 28. It also got a few degrees colder than expected from Dubuque down to the Quad Cities. Mornings like this are why I start protecting some plants even when only upper 30s are expected. It's too easy to drop 3-5 degrees lower than expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 13, 2013 Share Posted October 13, 2013 Low of 40° here. 36° at ENW this morning. Coldest low in the immediate area so far this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 13, 2013 Share Posted October 13, 2013 The temp finally dipped into the 30s for the first time this fall. Very late compared to normal. Made it down to 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 13, 2013 Share Posted October 13, 2013 The temp finally dipped into the 30s for the first time this fall. Very late compared to normal. Made it down to 36. Nice! Any patches of frost visible? Usually a 36° low has patches of frost on roofs and in the ditches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted October 13, 2013 Share Posted October 13, 2013 Believe it or not, the low last night here in Toronto/YYZ was 60F! A whopping 20 degrees above normal... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 13, 2013 Share Posted October 13, 2013 Still no 30s here yet. If it doesn't happen tonight then it's almost sure to happen later next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted October 13, 2013 Share Posted October 13, 2013 Lake effect cloud season has arrived. Feels very Autumnal out... and I can tell snow is just weeks away now! Snow is usually always on the ground here for deer season starting on the 15th on November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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