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October 2013 General Discussion


snowlover2

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Was down at 44F this morning, up to about 65F now. Agreed, great above-normal stretch of weather that should continue into Saturday. Normal high is 59F (15C) here.

 

Sky was perfectly clear last night, watched the cresent moon set over the shores of Lake Ontario last night, and even caught a meteor (very bright too, for being in the city). Some cloud rolled in from the south from that low off the coast around 11pm but it seems to have pushed back now as we have clear skies. Southerly winds/lake breeze was kicking up some decent swells on the shore last night. Walked out onto the pier and it felt noticably warmer from the warm lake temperature compared to the cool air over land.

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Could be a stormy end to the month. The GFS shows the jet stream ramping up with a train of storms past day 7...but that's more long range. Could be a nice cool down mid-late next week which should help build well needed snow cover on our side of the pole, then a more potent outbreak could occur in the last few days of the month as models show a decent -EPO/-NAO coming up...early season snowfall?

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Lake wind picked up more. Is a bit cooler now. Few thin clouds passing by.

GFS showing a strip of rain tomorrow for some of us.

17th cool shot.

Looking forward to that 1st cool shot but it will probably be warmer than whats currently being shown.

I don't know how exactly the last 2 weeks of October will play out, but our current +8℉ on the month will dissolve. My guess is we finish around 0 to +3 on the month.

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I don't know how exactly the last 2 weeks of October will play out, but our current +8℉ on the month will dissolve. My guess is we finish around 0 to +3 on the month.

I doubt 0.

The pattern looks like mostly troughs and cold waves starting early next week through the end of the month. Sucks the CFS is so worthless and warm biased that it doesn't give us a real outlook, I wish they would calibrate it correctly for once.

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The pattern looks like mostly troughs and cold waves starting early next week through the end of the month. Sucks the CFS is so worthless and warm biased that it doesn't give us a real outlook, I wish they would calibrate it correctly for once.

 

The next five to seven days for you will average out to about average, and then the last 10-12 days of the month will essentially have to average about 6-8F below normal to compensate.  My guess is +2-+3F anomalies will be most common in the region.

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