October 2013 forecast contest -- temperatures

[WEATHER53]

 

So, I regret that the forum seems to have lost a few active members such as Chicago Wx and Ellinwood. This is part of the reason for a somewhat smaller turnout in the October contest, perhaps a few others have dropped out as they see no chance of overtaking the leaders, but for those who remain in the chase, here are the entries for October, as always they are arranged by DCA forecasts from warmest to coldest:

 

FORECASTER _____________________ DCA _ NYC _ BOS ______ ORD _ ATL _ IAH

Really going to lose some of the plus values as we move thru month but will still end up in +1 to +2 range. What's the deal with Chicago and Ellinwood? 

 

RodneyS ________________________ +3.1 _ +3.5 _ +3.7 ___ +1.4 _ +2.3 _ --0.8

forkyfork ________________________ +2.8 _ +3.1 _ +3.5 ___ +1.7 _ +1.0 _ +0.2

Midlo_Snow_Maker ________________ +2.8 _ +2.7 _ +2.9 ___ +2.0 _ +1.5 _ +1.2

DerekZ __________________________ +2.3 _ +3.1 _ +2.9 ___ +1.7 _ +0.7 _ +1.1

bkviking _________________________ +2.2 _ +2.2 _ +2.0 ___ +1.1 _ +0.5 _ +0.2

Tom _________ (-12%) ____________ +2.1 _ +1.9 _ +1.8 ___ +2.1 _ +1.9 _ +0.9

blazess556 _______________________ +2.1 _ +1.9 _ +1.7 ___ +1.4 _ +0.9 _ +0.3

donsutherland.1 ___________________ +2.0 _ +2.0 _ +1.8 ___ +1.8 _ +0.5 _--0.2

wxhype __________________________ +2.0 _ +1.0 _ +0.8 ____ 0.0 _ +2.5 _ +2.6

Inudaw __________________________+1.9 _ +2.4 _ +2.6 ___ +0.9 _ +1.4 _ +0.5

Isotherm ________________________ +1.7 _ +2.0 _ +2.3 ___ +0.8 _ +1.1 _ --0.5

 

Consensus _______________________ +1.7 _ +1.8 _ +1.7 ___ +1.0 _ +1.0 _ +0.5

 

wxdude64 _______________________ +1.7 _ +1.7 _ +1.9 ___ +1.0 _ +1.2 _--0.2

uncle W _________________________ +1.7 _ +1.4 _ +1.3 ___ +2.1 _ +0.5 _ +1.5

goobagooba _____________________ +1.7 _ +1.4 _ +1.0 _____ 0.0 _ +0.7 _ +0.2

Metalicwx366 ____________________ +1.6 _ +1.9 _ +1.1 ____ +0.2 _ +1.7 _ +2.1 

stebo ___________________________ +1.5 _ +1.8 _ +1.9 ____--0.2 _ +1.1 _ +1.5

Roger Smith _____________________ +1.5 _ +1.6 _ +1.7 ____ +1.0 _ +0.3 __ 0.0

Tenman Johnson _________________ +1.2 _ +1.4 _ +1.3 ____ +1.0 _ +2.3 _ +0.6

Mallow _________________________ +1.0 _ +1.2 _ +1.7 ____ +1.9 _ +0.9 _ +0.8

Chicago Storm ___________________ +0.9 _ +1.1 _ +1.1 ____ +0.9 _ --0.1 _ --0.7

SD ____________________________ +0.8 _ +1.0 _ +0.5 ____ --0.5 _ +1.0 _ +1.0

MN_Transplant __________________ +0.5 _ +0.9 _ +0.5 ____ +0.3 _ +0.7 _ +1.0

hudsonvalley21 __________________ +0.4 _ +1.1 _ +0.2 ____ --0.2 _ +0.5 _ +0.1

 

Normal _________________________ 0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 _____ 0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0

______________________________________________________

 

 

All forecasts for the three eastern (classic) sites were above normal and so were most for the three expanded (central) sites although a more average outcome was foreseen by many for IAH.

Consensus for the 23 forecasts is the 12th ranked forecast value.

Let's hope that the funding freeze ends soon as we have no source of actual data (or do we?).

[uncle W]

 

bkviking _________________________ +2.2 _ +2.2 _ +2.0 ___ +1.1 _ +0.5 _ +0.2

Tom _________ (-12%) ____________ +2.1 _ +1.9 _ +1.8 ___ +2.1 _ +1.9 _ +0.9

blazess556 _______________________ +2.1 _ +1.9 _ +1.7 ___ +1.4 _ +0.9 _ +0.3

donsutherland.1 ___________________ +2.0 _ +2.0 _ +1.8 ___ +1.8 _ +0.5 _--0.2

wxhype __________________________ +2.0 _ +1.0 _ +0.8 ____ 0.0 _ +2.5 _ +2.6

Inudaw __________________________+1.9 _ +2.4 _ +2.6 ___ +0.9 _ +1.4 _ +0.5

Isotherm ________________________ +1.7 _ +2.0 _ +2.3 ___ +0.8 _ +1.1 _ --0.5

 

Consensus _______________________ +1.7 _ +1.8 _ +1.7 ___ +1.0 _ +1.0 _ +0.5

 

wxdude64 _______________________ +1.7 _ +1.7 _ +1.9 ___ +1.0 _ +1.2 _--0.2

uncle W _________________________ +1.7 _ +1.4 _ +1.3 ___ +2.1 _ +0.5 _ +1.5

goobagooba _____________________ +1.7 _ +1.4 _ +1.0 _____ 0.0 _ +0.7 _ +0.2

Metalicwx366 ____________________ +1.6 _ +1.9 _ +1.1 ____ +0.2 _ +1.7 _ +2.1 

stebo ___________________________ +1.5 _ +1.8 _ +1.9 ____--0.2 _ +1.1 _ +1.5

Roger Smith _____________________ +1.5 _ +1.6 _ +1.7 ____ +1.0 _ +0.3 __ 0.0

Tenman Johnson _________________ +1.2 _ +1.4 _ +1.3 ____ +1.0 _ +2.3 _ +0.6

Mallow _________________________ +1.0 _ +1.2 _ +1.7 ____ +1.9 _ +0.9 _ +0.8

Chicago Storm ___________________ +0.9 _ +1.1 _ +1.1 ____ +0.9 _ --0.1 _ --0.7

SD ____________________________ +0.8 _ +1.0 _ +0.5 ____ --0.5 _ +1.0 _ +1.0

MN_Transplant __________________ +0.5 _ +0.9 _ +0.5 ____ +0.3 _ +0.7 _ +1.0

hudsonvalley21 __________________ +0.4 _ +1.1 _ +0.2 ____ --0.2 _ +0.5 _ +0.1

 

Normal _________________________ 0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0 _____ 0.0 __ 0.0 __ 0.0

______________________________________________________

 

 

All forecasts for the three eastern (classic) sites were above normal and so were most for the three expanded (central) sites although a more average outcome was foreseen by many for IAH.

Consensus for the 23 forecasts is the 12th ranked forecast value.

Let's hope that the funding freeze ends soon as we have no source of actual data (or do we?).

I can still get f6's from noaa...maybe they forgot to turn it off...

[Roger Smith]

Okay, so I found the numbers (by clicking on the map) ... after 10 days, some hope for us all now as compared to the six-day report above ...

 

DCA __ NYC __ BOS ____ ORD __ ATL __ IAH

 

+7.7 _ +7.0 _ +5.4 ____ +7.6 _ +3.8 _ +0.2

 

Also don't forget, the scoring system expands when anomalies are outside +/- 5 deg, the further outside, the more tolerant the scoring becomes although you need to be on the same side of normal to score anything, a full explanation was posted back in Jan 2012 (we haven't needed it much this year, so far). From the actual value, the errors are reduced for equal numbers of top and bottom values (same sign) in such a way that the total still adds up to 100. For example, at 6.0, the values 0.1 to 1.0 and 5.1 to 6.0 drop one point and the values 1.1 to 5.0 drop two points. So if the actual was 6.0 and you said 3.8 you would get 10+24 error points (34 for a score of 66) instead of the usual 44 for 56. If you said +0.8 you would still get 8 points. And if the actual was +7.0, your +3.8 forecast would score 56 instead of 36 points. This is really just a poor man's way of handling standard deviation in the scoring. By the time the actual reached +10.0, your +3.8 would be worth 38 instead of falling 12 outside of scoring range. So the huge anomalies are not quite the problem they appear and some forecasts would do okay and reward their authors with an appropriate number of points for skill (I think so, anyway).

[Midlo Snow Maker]

I use this for climate data F6 etc. great one stop shop

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/view/largemap.php

[Roger Smith]

Final Report on Seasonal Max "bragging rights bonus"

_______________________________________________

 

 

There was a provisional report on the seasonal max in July and none of the six stations have seen a higher temperature since then. I have checked the points again and this is the final report on the bonus question.

 

DCA 97 __ NYC 98 __ BOS 99 __ ORD 96 __ ATL 92 __ IAH 107

 

As originally phrased, Stebo has won this bonus question with his highest overall guess of 106 vs the actual 107 at IAH. Metalicwx366 was second in this category with a forecast of 105. 

 

But everyone entered on the basis of trying to predict all six maximum values, so with that in mind, station leaders with actual values, and then a table of total error points. I was not able to find official "normal" values for annual maximum but have estimated them to be 101,100,98,100,101,104. If somebody has better values post them and I will edit this.

 

DCA __ Chicago Wx and RodneyS (hit 97)

NYC __ H2OTownWx, Bkviking, consensus, RodneyS, unclew, donsutherland1, wxdude64 (hit 98)

BOS __ Sacrus, unclew (hit 99)

 

ORD __ bkviking (hit 96)

ATL ___ WxHype, Midlo_Snow_Maker (92, leaders were +3 or 95 each)

IAH ___ Stebo (107, leader was -1 at 106 which wins the contest as originally worded)

 

 

TOTAL ERROR POINTS

__________________________

 

 

MidloSnowMaker ______ 16

 

RodneyS _____________ 18

uncle w ______________ 18

 

Chicago Storm ________ 21

NZucker _____________ 22

 

...Consensus __________ 23

...Normal ____________ 23

 

WxHype _____________ 23

Chicago Wx __________ 23

wxdude64 ___________ 23

 

bkviking _____________ 24

Isotherm _____________ 24

 

H2oTownWx _________ 25

ohleary ______________ 25

 

metallicwx366 ________ 26

DerekZ _____________ 26

Donsutherland.1 ______ 26

 

blazess556 __________ 27

 

Sacrus _____________ 28

 

Stebo ______________ 31

 

Tom _______________ 32

Roger Smith _________ 32

 

hudsonvalley21 ______ 35

 

__________________________________

 

The next bonus will appear with the November contest and it will ask for the date of the first measurable snowfall (0.1" +) at each station (for IAH and ATL you can consider no measurable snow all winter). Contest will end when all six stations have verified or April 15th for zero.

[Roger Smith]

After 15 days ...

 

DCA __ NYC __ BOS ___ ORD __ ATL __ IAH

 

+6.1 __ +6.3 __ +4.1 ___ +6.2 __ +3.9 __ +1.8

 

These will no doubt erode over time, but will they lose even half of these values? Possibly.

[Roger Smith]

After 18 days ...

 

DCA __ NYC __ BOS ___ ORD __ ATL __ IAH

 

+6.3 __ +6.4 __ +4.7 ___ +4.4 __ +3.6 __ +0.8

 

What's required to get to zero anomalies (not to say this is going to happen, but large drops seem likely)

 

--8.7 __ --8.8 __ --6.5 ___ --6.1 __ --5.0 __ --1.1

 

 

[Roger Smith]

After 20 days ...

 

DCA __ NYC __ BOS ___ ORD __ ATL __ IAH

 

+5.8 __ +5.9 __ +4.8 ___ +3.6 __ +2.9 __ --0.3

 

From the current NWS forecasts and GFS output 29th to 31st, my estimates of final values would be:

 

+1.5 __ +2.0 __ +1.8 ___ 0.0 __ +0.5 __ --1.2

 

ORD set to drop very sharply now, most others more sedately and on east coast after mid-week.

[Roger Smith]

After 22 days ...

 

DCA __ NYC __ BOS ___ ORD __ ATL __ IAH

 

+5.3 __ +5.7 __ +4.9 ___ +2.3 __ +2.5 __ --0.6

 

From the current NWS forecasts and GFS output 30th and 31st, my estimates of final values would be:

 

+1.5 __ +2.2 __ +2.1 ___ --0.7 __ +0.7 __ --0.8

 

 

Will start a provisional scoring table today and count it down to end of month with daily adjustments. Most of us are gaining about 30-40 points a day the way things are evolving. The average score if we ended the month today would be something like 250/600 but it may end up above 450.

 

[Roger Smith]

 Final scoring for October

 

 

______________________________ DCA __ NYC __ BOS __ CL ____ ORD __ ATL __ IAH __ EX ___ TOTAL

 

Confirmed anomalies ____________ +2.9 _ +3.3 _ +2.6 _________ +0.6 _ +1.1 _ --0.2

 

 

 

forkyfork _______________________98 ___ 96 ___ 82 ___ 276 ____ 78 ___ 98 ___ 92 ____ 268 _____ 544

Inudaw ________________________80 ___ 82 ___ 100 __ 262 ____ 94 ___ 94 ___ 86 ____ 274 _____ 536

Isotherm _______________________76 ___ 74 ___ 94 ___ 244 ____ 96 __ 100 ___ 94 ____ 290 _____ 534

DerekZ ________________________ 88 ___ 96 ___ 94 ___ 278 ____ 78 ___ 92 ___ 74 ____ 244 _____ 522

bkviking ________________________86 ___ 78 ___ 88 ___ 252 ____ 90 ___ 88 ___ 92 ____ 270 _____ 522

wxdude64 ______________________ 76 ___ 68 ___ 86 ___ 230 ____ 92 ___ 98 __ 100____ 290 _____ 520

RodneyS _______________________ 96 ___ 96 ___ 78 ___ 270 ____ 84 ___ 76 ___ 88 ____ 248 _____ 518

Midlo_Snow_Maker ______________ 98 ___ 88____ 94 ___ 280 ____ 72 ___ 92 ___ 72 ____ 236 _____ 516

blazess556 _____________________ 84 ___ 72 ___ 82 ___ 238 ____ 84 ___ 96 ___ 90 ____ 270 _____ 508

 

Consensus _____________________ 76 ___ 70 ___ 82 ___ 228 ____ 92 ___ 98 ___ 86 ____ 276 _____ 504

 

donsutherland.1 _________________ 82 ___ 74 ___ 84 ___ 240 ____ 76 ___ 88 __ 100 ___ 264 _____ 504

Roger Smith ____________________ 72 ___ 66 ___ 82 ___ 220 ____ 92 ___ 84 ___ 96 ____ 272 _____ 492

goobagooba _____________________76 ___ 62 ___ 68 ___ 206 ____ 88 ___ 92 ___ 92 ____ 272 _____ 478

stebo __________________________ 72 ___ 70 ___ 86 ___ 228 ____ 84 __ 100 ___ 66 ____ 250 _____ 478

Tenman Johnson _________________66 ___ 62 ___ 74 ___ 202 ____ 92 ___ 76 ___ 84 ____ 252 _____ 454

Mallow _________________________ 62 ___ 58 ___ 82 ___ 202 ____ 74 ___ 96 ___ 80 ____ 250 _____ 452

Metalicwx366 ____________________74 ___ 72 ___ 70 ___ 216 ____ 92 ___ 88 ___ 54 ____ 234 _____ 450

Chicago Storm ___________________ 60 ___ 56 ___ 70 ___ 186 ____ 94 ___ 76 ___ 90 ____ 260 _____ 446

uncle W ________________________ 76 ___ 62 ___ 74 ___ 212 ____ 70 ___ 88 ___ 66 ____ 224 _____ 436

MN_Transplant __________________ 52 ___ 52 ___ 58 ___ 162 ____ 94 ___ 92 ___ 76 ____ 262 _____ 424

hudsonvalley21 __________________ 50 ___ 56 ___ 52 ___ 158 ____ 84 ___ 88 ___ 94 ____ 266 _____ 424

SD _____________________________58 ___ 54 ___ 58 ___ 170 ____ 78 ___ 98 ___ 76 ____ 252 _____ 422

Tom ___________________________ 84 ___ 72 ___ 84 ___ 240 ____ 70 ___ 84 ___ 78 ____ 232 _ 472

Tom _________ (-12%) ___________ 74 ___ 63 ___ 74 ___ 211 ____ 62 ___ 74 ___ 69 ____ 205 _____ 416

wxhype ________________________ 82 ___ 54 ___ 64 ___ 200 ____ 88 ___ 72 ___ 44 ____ 204 _____ 404

 

Normal ________________________ 42 ___ 34 ___ 48 ___ 124 ____ 88 ___ 78 ___ 96 ____ 262 _____ 386

 

 

____________________________________________________________________

 

Annual scoring will be updated later today (Nov 1). For anyone puzzled about the posting date, this table has been under continual editing since provisional estimates were posted. This is the final version.

[Roger Smith]

This post will be edited daily to count down the anomalies to end of month. The previous post will be edited each day if the provisional final anomalies change.

 

DATE _______ DCA __ NYC __ BOS _____ ORD __ ATL __ IAH

 

10/23 _______ +4.9 _ +5.2 _ +4.5 _____ +1.7 _ +2.1 _ --0.7

10/24 _______ +4.4 _ +4.7 _ +4.3 _____ +1.1 _ +1.6 _ --0.6

10/25 _______ +3.8 _ +4.2 _ +3.9 _____ +0.7 _ +1.0 _ --0.8

10/26 _______ +3.3 _ +3.8 _ +3.6e ____ +0.6 _ +0.5 _ --0.9

10/27 _______ +3.1 _ +3.6 _ +3.5 _____ +0.3 _ +0.3 _ --0.9

10/28 _______ +2.9 _ +3.5 _ +3.3  _____ +0.1 _ +0.3 _ --0.7

10/29 _______ +2.8 _ +3.2 _ +2.9 _____ +0.2 _ +0.5 _ --0.4

10/30 _______ +2.8 _ +3.2 _ +2.7 _____ +0.3 _ +0.8 _ --0.2

 

 

10/31 _ final __ +2.9 _ +3.3 _ +2.6 ____ +0.6 _ +1.1 _ --0.2

[Roger Smith]

Very little change in the overall standings after some generally high scoring in October ...

 

<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<< UPDATED ANNUAL SCORING >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

 

____________________________ "Classic" _______________ "Expanded" _____________


Forecaster ............ ........... DCA ... NYC ... BOS ... (.C.) ... ORD ... ATL ... IAH ... (.E.) .... Total Score
________________________________________________________________________________
....Annual (cum) values ......... +0.9 .. +0.6 .. +1.2 ........ ... --0.1 .. --0.3 .. +0.3 ...................... Best score awards
__________________________________________________________________________________(for months)

01 MIDLO SNOW MAKER .... 816 .. 738 .. 794 .... 2348 ... ... 607 .. 706 .. 782 .... 2095 ..... 4443 _ 311003019

02 RODNEY S .....................840 .. 760 .. 820 ... 2420 ... .. 555 .. 712 ... 700 .... 1967 ..... 4387 _ 120121209

03 DONSUTHERLAND1 ....... 722 .. 724 .. 804 .... 2250 ... ... 625 .. 654 .. 776 .... 2055 ...... 4305 _ 001002003

04 WXDUDE64 ................... 772 .. 740 .. 760 ..... 2272 ... ... 637 .. 658 .. 708 .... 2003 ...... 4275 _ 010001114 3

 

(05) Consensus .................. 754 .. 730 .. 828 .... 2312 ... .... 569 .. 587 ... 732 .... 1888 ..... 4200 _ 113000005

 

05 MN TRANSPLANT ........... 698 .. 750 .. 756 .... 2204 ... ... 589 .. 667 .. 688 .... 1944 ..... 4148 _ 011100003 9

06 BKVIKING ..................... 704 .. 692 .. 786 .... 2182 ... ... 680 .. 562 .. 688 .... 1930 ..... 4112 _ 100010002

07 MALLOW ....................... 730 .. 748 .. 810 .... 2288 ... ... 486 .. 602 .. 732 .... 1820 ..... 4108 _ 010211005 1,7

08 SD ................................ 738 .. 736 .. 747 .... 2221 ... ... 602 .. 561 .. 645 .... 1808 ..... 4029 _ 211100016

09 BLAZESS556 .................. 727 .. 696 .. 793 .... 2216 ... ... 578 .. 572 .. 637 .... 1787 .... 4003

 

(10) Normal ....................... 646 .. 696 .. 722 .... 2064 ... ... 634 .. 610 .. 682 .... 1926 ..... 3990 _ 011021005

 

10 UNCLE W ....................... 666 .. 694 .. 704 .... 2064 ... .. 569 .. 636 .. 704 .... 1909 ..... 3973 _ 000011002 8

 

                       

11 ISOTHERM ..................... 700 .. 624 .. 680 .... 2004 ... ... 506 .. 567 .. 756 .... 1829 ..... 3833 _ 101111027 5

12 INUDAW ........................ 710 .. 702 .. 842 .... 2254 ... ... 533 .. 425 .. 592 .... 1550 ..... 3804 _ 001000001 10r

13 STEBO ........................... 594 .. 642 .. 760 .... 1996 ... ... 612 .. 514 .. 590 .... 1716 .....  3712 _ 101010104

14 TOM .............................. 609 .. 642 .. 718 .... 1969 ... ... 578 .. 501 .. 615 .... 1694 ..... 3663

15 GOOBAGOOBA ................ 649 .. 598 .. 647 .... 1894 ... ... 607 .. 456 .. 704 .... 1767 ..... 3661 _ 100000001

                                           

16 SKIERINVERMONT .*1..... 678 .. 683 .. 684 .... 2045 ... ... 511 .. 502 .. 537 .... 1550 ..... 3595 _ 000001001

17 ROGER SMITH ................ 604 .. 542 .. 616 .... 1762 ... ... 597 .. 570 .. 660 .... 1827 ..... 3589 _ 012111118 6

18 SACRUS .*1.................... 619 .. 637 .. 703 .... 1959 ... ... 525 .. 506 ... 590 .... 1621 ..... 3580 _ 002110004 4

19 CHICAGO STORM ........... 660 .. 653 .. 715 .... 2028 ... ... 441 .. 497 .. 606 .... 1544 ..... 3572 _ 010000102 

20 DEREK Z ........................ 656 .. 564 .. 579 .... 1799 ... ... 504 .. 548 .. 694 .... 1746 ..... 3545 _ 010010002

 

21 ELLINWOOD *1............... 654 .. 622 .. 698 .... 1974 ... ... 415 .. 525 .. 596 .... 1536 .... 3510 _ 100001002

22 CHICAGO WX .*1............ 628 .. 614 .. 676 .... 1918 ... ... 495 .. 461 .. 616 .... 1572 .... 3490 _ 101101105

23 HUDSONVALLEY21 .*1..... 613 .. 620 .. 575 .... 1808 ... ... 533 .. 490 .. 510 .... 1533 ...... 3341

24 WXHYPE ........................ 596 .. 573 .. 603 .... 1772 ... ... 460 .. 517 .. 577 .... 1554 ..... 3326 _ 111101016

25 METALICWX366*3 ........... 575 .. 533 .. 483 .... 1591 ... ... 431 .. 531 .. 456 .... 1418 ..... 3009

 

26 H2OTOWN_WX..*4 .......... 475 .. 444 .. 501 .... 1420 ... ... 225 .. 297 .. 356 ..... 878 ...... 2298 _ 002010104

27 ANDY HB*5 ..................... 372 .. 362 .. 372 .... 1106 ... ... 340 .. 320 .. 326 ..... 986 ..... 2092

28 NZUCKER*6 ..................... 265 .. 320 .. 282 ..... 867 ... ... 252 .. 274 .. 298 ..... 824 ..... 1691 _ 010000001

29 OHLEARY*6 ..................... 316 .. 260 .. 250 ..... 826 .... ... 196 .. 262 .. 265 .... 723 ..... 1549

30 POTTERCOUNTYWXOBS*5.309 .. 285 .. 345 ..... 939 ... .... 93 .. 173 .. 232 ...... 498 ..... 1437

 

31 MIKE VENTRICE*7 ............ 202 .. 202 .. 202 .... 606 ... ... 222 .. 250 .. 210 ..... 682 ..... 1288 _ 000100001

32 SRAIN*6 .......................... 200 .. 264 .. 320 ..... 784 ... ... 129 .. 156 .. 212 ..... 497 ..... 1281

33 FRIVOLOUSZ21*6 ............. 258 .. 225 .. 289 ..... 772 ... ... 175 .. 155 .. 159 ..... 489 ..... 1261 _ 010100002

34 I.NEED.SNOW*7 .............. 249 .. 261 .. 215 ..... 725 ... ... 192 .. 171 .. 132 .... 495 ..... 1220 _ 100010114 2

35 MR TORCHEY*6 .............. 242 .. 228 .. 250 ..... 720 ... ... 129 .. 149 .. 188 ..... 466 ..... 1186 _ 001010002 

 

36 TENMAN JOHNSON *8 ...... 136 .. 154 .. 162 .... 452 ... ... 168 .. 108 .. 178 .... 454 ..... 906

37 INTENSE BLIZZ 2014 *8 ... 152 .. 164 .. 188 ... 504 ... ..... 84 .. 120 .. 106 .... 310 ..... 814
38 WEATHERDUDE*7 ........... 101 .. 134 .. 183 .... 418 ... .... 74 ... 98 .. 132 ..... 304 ...... 722

39 WHITEOUTMD*8 ................ 90 .. 114 .. 140 ... 344 ... ... 104 .. 46 .. 172 ..... 322 ...... 666 _ 001001002

40 CPICK79*8 ...................... 126 ... 78 .. 158 .... 362 ... ..... 99 .. 104 .. 86 ..... 289 ....... 651
 

41 SKISHEEP*8 ...................... 66 ... 98 .. 150 .... 314 ... ..... 79 ... 86 .. 138 ...... 303 ..... 617

42 BRAD1551*8 ..................... 74 .. 118 ..100 ..... 292 ... ..... 64 ... 68 ...162 ..... 294 ...... 586 _ 010000001

43 FORKYFORK *9 .................. 98 ... 96 ... 82 ..... 276 .... .... 78 ... 98 ... 92 ..... 268 ...... 544 _ 110000002 10

44 EDUARDO*9....................... 92 ... 88 ... 90 .... 270 .... ..... 52 ... 68 ... 92 ..... 212 ...... 482
45 QVECTORMAN*8 ... .......... 150 ... 60 ... 82 .... 292 ... ..... 52 ... 68 ... 12 ..... 132 ...... 424 _ 100000001
46 B.IRVING*9. ...................... 94 ... 70 ... 96 ..... 260 ... ..... 70 ... 74 ... 12 ..... 156 ...... 416

 

47 APACHE TROUT *9.............. 44 ... 56 ... 76 .... 176 ... ..... 90 ... 40 ... 98 ..... 228 ..... 404

48 WINTER WX LUVR *9.......... 66 ... 46 ... 46 .... 158 ... ..... 64 ... 98 ... 56 ..... 218 ..... 376 _ 000010001

49 FREE_MAN *9 .................... 38 ... 56 ... 88 .... 180 ... ..... 62 ... 43 ... 85 ..... 190 ...... 370

50 BRIAN 5671*9 ................... 68 ... 96 ... 68 ..... 232 ... ..... 36 ... 72 ... 18 ..... 126 ...... 358
51 HOCKEYINC*9 .................... 64 ... 38 ... 68 ..... 170 ... ..... 88 ... 44 ... 28 .... 160 ...... 330

 

52 NYCSUBURBS*9 ................. 58 ... 84 ... 72 ..... 214 ... ..... 14 ... 32 ... 62 ..... 108 ..... 322
53 STORMITECTURE*9 ........... 29 ... 55 ... 94 ..... 178 ... ..... 02 ... 00 ... 74 ..... 076 ..... 254
54 SHADES*9 ......................... 32 ... 60 ... 46 ..... 138 ... .... 00 ... 18 ... 82 ..... 100 ...... 238

55 TSTEEL*9 .......................... 20 ... 40 ... 40 ..... 100 ... ..... 54 ... 13 ... 42 ..... 109 ..... 209
56 CANDYMANCOLUMBUSGA*9 .30 .. 28 .. 32 ...... 090 .... .... 40 ... 00 ... 60 ..... 100 ...... 190
57 69APORCUPINE*9 .............. 02 ... 00 ... 06 ..... 008 ... ..... 00 ... 12 ... 12 ..... 024 ...... 032
58 OKIE333*9.......................... 00 ... 00 ... 10 ..... 010 ... ..... 00 ... 00 ... 00 ..... 000 ...... 010

_______________________________________________________________________

 

Notes:

 

1. After forecaster name, *followed by number indicates number of missed forecasts.

 

2. For best station forecasts each month, listed after total score, the + sign indicates more than one best score for that station. Numbers indicate months with high score. Inudaw (10r) noted as highest regular entrant Oct, as forkyfork with one entry has that high score.

 

3. Best score awards now made easier to read, number code for each forecaster tells you how many months have been won in each of six station categories followed (in bold) by classic and expanded totals. The final red number tells you how many awards in total have been won. Any tie counts as an award and any human high score as opposed to consensus or normal counts also. Numbers after red totals are months led -- See note 2 re Inudaw for 10r.

[Inudaw]

So.. If I can finish the last 2 months.. atop with Boston.. I can at least be happy about that.