dilly84 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Well Dilly will appreciate this. At H&G show and cbradley just took stage. Said 6+ but models have been north south north south so we won't know til tomorrow. Used to like him. All he looks at are precipitation maps. I swear that's all. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 I like what Dilly's map is showing for me. Local mets don't even know what to do at this point... My one concern is how far north the moisture from the final wave can make it. The Moisture is there around the Ohio River, if we can buy maybe a 40-50 mile kick north. ( which isn't out of the question with last minute adjustments ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighTechEE Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 You guys see the blizzard of '93 spin up at the end of the 12z GFS run!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Video from Eric Elwell a met from Columbus. https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?v=10151991269102759 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 there is no "2nd" wave. basically one line that will move southeast. think of it as a glorified cold front. Still thinking rain event for us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 18z NAM looks better for I-70 and south in Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 12z NAM forgot Columbus existed! 1-3" between Columbus and Cincy. What the heck is it with NCEP and this storm? I don't know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 12z NAM forgot Columbus existed! 1-3" between Columbus and Cincy. What the heck is it with NCEP and this storm? I don't know. 18z remembered again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 ILN goes WSW. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH319 PM EST SAT MAR 1 2014INZ050-058-059-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>062-020430-/O.UPG.KILN.WS.A.0005.140302T0600Z-140303T1800Z//O.NEW.KILN.WS.W.0007.140302T0300Z-140303T1500Z/WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RICHMOND...CONNERSVILLE...LIBERTY...KENTON...CELINA...WAPAKONETA...GREENVILLE...SIDNEY...BELLEFONTAINE...MARYSVILLE...DELAWARE...PIQUA...URBANA...SPRINGFIELD...LONDON...COLUMBUS...NEWARK...EATON...DAYTON...XENIA319 PM EST SAT MAR 1 2014...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO10 AM EST MONDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTERSTORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THISEVENING TO 10 AM EST MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGERIN EFFECT.* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW.* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 5 TO 7 INCHES...ALONG WITHA TRACE OF ICE.* TIMING...A WINTRY MIX OF SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND SNOW ISEXPECTED TONIGHT BEFORE CHANGING TO ALL SNOW FOR SUNDAY INTOMONDAY.* IMPACTS...SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOWFALL ALONG WITH SOME LIGHTFREEZING RAIN AND SLEET...WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS ROADS ANDREDUCED VISIBILITIES. TRAVEL SATURDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY WILL BEIMPACTED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 It's me vs. Chris Bradley and NWS PIT :/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 I see no reason to not go with at least 6"+ along I-70. Even though there was some backing off of the most extreme totals, that was probably to be expected based on climo (not that climo has been that useful this season). I'll go with around 8" for Columbus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Dilly and JB, I agree with you guys. There is not reason right now to discount higher amounts along I-70. If this thing juices up like I think it will. And this is with my weenie glasses off! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Dilly and JB, I agree with you guys. There is not reason right now to discount higher amounts along I-70. If this thing juices up like I think it will. And this is with my weenie glasses off! Yeah, radar trends don't look too bad the way things are developing. I can see how this might be of longer duration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Cmon guys, nothing to see here. Angry says this is nothing more than a run of the mill frontal passage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted March 2, 2014 Author Share Posted March 2, 2014 Cmon guys, nothing to see here. Angry says this is nothing more than a run of the mill frontal passage.Lol. .. Yeah another storm cancel. . Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Good luck to guys along I 70. Looks to be a good hit for you. I found a pic of vespasian with his weenie glasses on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 And.. 0z nam says screw you ohio. 1-3" - 2-4" for all of ya lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted March 2, 2014 Author Share Posted March 2, 2014 Wow....this storm really seems to be less and less of a story!! At least for us!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 0z GFS continues to say screw you NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Gfs give us 8"-10" with ratios Steve lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 One of them is going to be very wrong. Going to say it will be the NAM. Just way too inconsistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 probably time to put away the models outside short range stuff.... radar watching time. Honestly this one will be interesting to watch. The margin of error is so tight it could mean the difference of several inches. Models still are not agreeing. Not just the nam and gfs, but the rgem as well. The rgem has very little precip in the first 24 hours and then brings the heaviest precip up to about i70 after that. The nceps front load the precip and dry us out after about 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted March 2, 2014 Author Share Posted March 2, 2014 Gfs give us 8"-10" with ratios Steve lol I hope..i really do..we will see!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 sucks, tomorrow I'll be captive indoors all day without windows....that's gonna drive me crazy. I'll be firing up my phone radar and finding excuses to run out to my car lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 probably time to put away the models outside short range stuff.... radar watching time. Honestly this one will be interesting to watch. The margin of error is so tight it could mean the difference of several inches. Models still are not agreeing. Not just the nam and gfs, but the rgem as well. The rgem has very little precip in the first 24 hours and then brings the heaviest precip up to about i70 after that. The nceps front load the precip and dry us out after about 24 hours.The gfs also has heavier precipitation northeast of columbus as well. While if gives you guys around 5" it gives 8" north east around zzv and newark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 This storm has been one of the worst forecasted that I can remember for a while. P.s ILN nws jus dropped there call to 3-5 here... Frustrating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 This storm has been one of the worst forecasted that I can remember for a while. P.s ILN nws jus dropped there call to 3-5 here... Frustrating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Went from practically nothing on the 0z NAM to 4-6" on the 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Good luck to guys along I 70. Looks to be a good hit for you. I found a pic of vespasian with his weenie glasses on. weenie glasses.jpg I'm putting them back on today. Juicey slug of moisture on radar moving through the county now. Nice big flakes pouring outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I hate to be THAT guy, but I'm not impressed. We have about two more hours with the current slug of moisture, meanwhile the echoes in IL look to go south of us. Terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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