vespasian70 Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 I might have to bump up my initial guess for Newark - ILN has issued a Winter Storm Warning. Heavy banding expected this evening. Steve should be pleased. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Got a nice surprise 2" of snow here in Westerville last night. We're already over performing! Looks like another 3" coming tonight...for November that's fantastic. I'm actually pretty excited even though I hadn't finished all my raking yet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherzen Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 A Currier and Ives type drive to work this morning with the snow on the trees. Very pretty but with just wet roads. Short of a shut everything down snowstorm this is my favorite type of snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 You guys over in Franklin county must've got in a good band - only a dusting here on the northend of Newark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted November 26, 2013 Author Share Posted November 26, 2013 Looking at the radar..where is our snow going to come from..because it looks south and east of here moving NE..is it suppose to fill in further south and west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oldlogin Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Looking at the radar..where is our snow going to come from..because it looks south and east of here moving NE..is it suppose to fill in further south and west? Check the Evansville radar . Put it on Composite reflectivity . The area is starting to fill in and move Northeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oldlogin Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 This just out from ILN AS FOR WINTER WEATHER HEADLINES...HAVE HAD A CHANCE TO GLANCEQUICKLY AT THE NEW 12Z NAM RUN. CONCERN WITH THIS NEW RUN IS THATIT SEEMS TO BE GENERATING LESS QPF LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THISEVENING THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED. IF THIS BECOMES SUPPORTED BYOTHER MODEL RUNS AS THEY COME IN (GFS...CMC AND ECMWF)...THENADJUSTMENTS TO HEADLINES WILL HAVE TO BE CONSIDERED. -- End Changed Discussion -- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted November 26, 2013 Author Share Posted November 26, 2013 This just out from ILN AS FOR WINTER WEATHER HEADLINES...HAVE HAD A CHANCE TO GLANCE QUICKLY AT THE NEW 12Z NAM RUN. CONCERN WITH THIS NEW RUN IS THAT IT SEEMS TO BE GENERATING LESS QPF LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED. IF THIS BECOMES SUPPORTED BY OTHER MODEL RUNS AS THEY COME IN (GFS...CMC AND ECMWF)...THEN ADJUSTMENTS TO HEADLINES WILL HAVE TO BE CONSIDERED. -- End Changed Discussion -- Exactly..if you look at the radar..still wondering where we get our 4-6 inches from..it would have to turn north a bit quite quickly..but good thing is a bust in Nov. is better then one in Dec or Jan! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Ironically, there is a pretty good band developing from southwest of Cincinnati right into Columbus, with a dryer slot between 71 and the main area of precip to the southeast. The dryslot is right over the winter storm warning area. The band over 71 looks pretty stable, as in it doesn't look like it will be moving much over the next few hours. It makes me wonder if, when all this fills in like it is supposed to, if Columbus may end up being in the heavier amounts. The 1.5"-2" the area had last night could make this into a 4-5" storm. For November, that's near the top of the pack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oldlogin Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Latest HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Latest HRRR I'll take it. I keep telling myself this is November and 7" of snow wasn't in the cards in any case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted November 26, 2013 Author Share Posted November 26, 2013 WSW has been cancelled..seen that one coming..we now have a WWA..for 2-4..snowning nicely out right now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 WSW has been cancelled..seen that one coming..we now have a WWA..for 2-4..snowning nicely out right now! Sticking to the roads now that the sun has gone down. Hopefully the back end of the precipitation shield doesn't swing through anytime soon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Columbus was over 3" for the month at 5pm today, and will probably tack on another few inches all said and done. The month will also end up with at least a few days with highs at or below freezing. There have been 17 years in which 3" or more snow fell during November combined with 2 or more highs below freezing. Of those 17: -11 years featured winters that had normal to above normal snowfall combined with below normal temperatures. -2 winters were both warm with below normal snowfall. -2 winters had normal temperatures with below normal snowfall. -1 winter had normal snowfall with above normal temperatures. -1 winter had below normal temperatures but below normal snowfall. Only 3 of the winters were really bad as far as the lack of winter weather goes, so November weather, so far, has given us a good chance at a decent winter coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Columbus was over 3" for the month at 5pm today, and will probably tack on another few inches all said and done. The month will also end up with at least a few days with highs at or below freezing. There have been 17 years in which 3" or more snow fell during November combined with 2 or more highs below freezing. Of those 17: -11 years featured winters that had normal to above normal snowfall combined with below normal temperatures. -2 winters were both warm with below normal snowfall. -2 winters had normal temperatures with below normal snowfall. -1 winter had normal snowfall with above normal temperatures. -1 winter had below normal temperatures but below normal snowfall. Only 3 of the winters were really bad as far as the lack of winter weather goes, so November weather, so far, has given us a good chance at a decent winter coming up. Good stuff as usual jb! Thx & Happy Thanksgiving to all of you. White Turkey Day. Its been a while since we had one of those. Now lets get a white Christmas! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Ended up with a little over 2" here, not bad for Nov. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 I'm guessing a little under 2" here. Haven't measured but grass is entirely covered. Very wintry out there, mid 20s and snowshowers beginning to develop . ILN talking up the caa and LES snowshowers today. Hope we can score some decent squalls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted November 27, 2013 Author Share Posted November 27, 2013 We got about 2 inches here..very wintery outside..snow showers all morning so far..Great Nov. so far!! Yeah 3 inches at least here this Nov. can't remember the last time we had a white Thanksgiving! HAPPY THANKSGIVING TO EVERYONE!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted December 2, 2013 Share Posted December 2, 2013 Hope everyone had a good thanksgiving and is ready for some more fun! Nothing huge yet it looks like but some light snow or ice events appear quite possible in thr coming week or two before we transition to Warmer. Sent from my XT1060 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 Damn, haven't been paying a lot of attention but it looks like models are converging on a significant thump for central and southern OH Friday into Saturday. Then the potential for a front-loaded ice(storm?)ending as rain or drizzle before the arctic plunge. Crazy 5 days of weather on the way. Buckle up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 Damn, haven't been paying a lot of attention but it looks like models are converging on a significant thump for central and southern OH Friday into Saturday. Then the potential for a front-loaded ice(storm?)ending as rain or drizzle before the arctic plunge. Crazy 5 days of weather on the way. Buckle up. Yeah, I just noticed the GFS is dropping about a foot of snow or more now, most for the 1st event. I hate these mix events, though. They could, and so often do, not live up to expectations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vespasian70 Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 I don't like how the weekend looks to end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 I guess I'll throw the, 'what could go wrong for CMH', on the table. First event gets pushed further southeast and we get whiffed to the south with nothing more than rain ending as snowshowers. Second event starts out as an hour of sleet changing to rain and ending as flurries as the low drives up thru central OH. Followed by brutal cold and dry until the next rainstorm. hmmm, hopefully that squashes the jinx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 I guess I'll throw the, 'what could go wrong for CMH', on the table. First event gets pushed further southeast and we get whiffed to the south with nothing more than rain ending as snowshowers. Second event starts out as an hour of sleet changing to rain and ending as flurries as the low drives up thru central OH. Followed by brutal cold and dry until the next rainstorm. hmmm, hopefully that squashes the jinx. Yep, that sounds about right Buck. I have my fingers crossed, but I have a feeling that the strength of cold air coming down is now just starting to be picked up on the models and the first event will be just some light snow showers at the end. However, that same strong cold air coming down will be hard to push out so I can see more ice than rain with the second one. Please no ice!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted December 4, 2013 Author Share Posted December 4, 2013 Yep, that sounds about right Buck. I have my fingers crossed, but I have a feeling that the strength of cold air coming down is now just starting to be picked up on the models and the first event will be just some light snow showers at the end. However, that same strong cold air coming down will be hard to push out so I can see more ice than rain with the second one. Please no ice!!!!!!!! I guess I'll throw the, 'what could go wrong for CMH', on the table. First event gets pushed further southeast and we get whiffed to the south with nothing more than rain ending as snowshowers. Second event starts out as an hour of sleet changing to rain and ending as flurries as the low drives up thru central OH. Followed by brutal cold and dry until the next rainstorm. hmmm, hopefully that squashes the jinx. Can we just once be on the receiving end of some great winter weather this Friday through the weekend!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoDoppler4TnySandz Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 I think the ice set up is going to end up well east and south (50-60 miles) of the I-71 line.....at least I hope so. Someone is going to get crushed with ice. It seems to me that a more likely scenario is that cold air settles too far south and east which keeps us on the drier side of things... gotta love the uncertainty of winter weather in these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoDoppler4TnySandz Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 12z NAM Stays bullish-- through Saturday AM 3-6 inches from Southern Indiana, just west of Cincy through Central OH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oldlogin Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 Are we ready to buy into this yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Posted December 4, 2013 Author Share Posted December 4, 2013 Are we ready to buy into this yet? I would love to... BUT!! Even with less then 2 days to go..It's Ohio.. and so when it falls then I will buy in..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoDoppler4TnySandz Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 Love the look, but like Steve said-- have to be cautious in this region two days out and it is the 0600 run which is an off run from the two main runs @ 12Z and 00z. BUT--- it has a very consistent look to it relative to the other models that we have seen. The next 24 hours will be very telling beginning with the 12Z GFS which is about run here in about 5 minutes or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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