Annual Mid-Atlantic First Freeze Contest

[WxUSAF]

That time of the year again.  Long-range progs are advertising a potentially chilly start to October.  

 

Rules are the same as before...minimum cumulative departure wins.  So, a forecast of November 5th for DCA's first freeze would have a departure of 5 if the first freeze is actually on November 10th.  This departure is added to that for RIC, IAD and BWI for a contestant's total departure.  

 

You are forecasting the first day the temperature reaches 32F or lower at the following 4 stations:

 

RIC:

DCA:

IAD:

BWI:

 

Tiebreaker:  Cumulative rainfall for November 1-14 at BWI

 

Contest closes at the end of the month (11:59pm September 30th).  

[Ian]

Placeholders:

 

RIC Nov 8

DCA Nov 23

IAD Oct 26

BWI Oct 26

 

BWI Nov 1-14 rain.. 1.25"

[H2O]

RIC: 11/1

DCA: 11/15

IAD: 10/31

BWI: 11/1

 

BWI precip: .95"

[Eskimo Joe]

Placeholders:

 

RIC Nov 24

DCA Nov 21

IAD Nov 11

BWI Nov 17

 

BWI Nov 1-14 rain.. T

[WinterWxLuvr]

RIC:  Nov 7

DCA:  Nov 7

IAD:  Oct 24

BWI:  Nov 7

 

Precip:  1.07

[mattie g]

First guess...probably won't even be revised: 

 

RIC: 11/9

DCA: 11/18

IAD: 10/27

BWI: 11/9

 

Rain: 1.7"
 

[GATECH]

 

RIC: 11/3

DCA: 11/3

IAD: 10/31

BWI: 11/3

 

Rain: 0.3

[Bob Chill]

RIC: 11/03
DCA: 11/11
IAD: 10/22
BWI: 10/31

 
Rain: .88" 

[RickinBaltimore]

RIC: 11/01

DCA: 11/10

IAD: 10/24

BWI: 11/8

 

Tiebreaker: .37

[snowfan]

RIC: 11/9

IAD: 10/18

BWI: 10/23

DCA: 11/11

 

Rain: .23"

[Sparky]

RIC: 11/5

DCA: 11/20

IAD: 10/30

BWI: 10/30

 

Tiebreaker:  1.15

[WxUSAF]

RIC: 11/9

DCA: 11/17

IAD: 10/28

BWI: 10/28

 

Tiebreaker:  0.3"

[aldie 22]

RIC: 11/12

DCA: 12/21

IAD: 10/27

BWI: 11/01

 

Tiebreaker: 0.22

[MN Transplant]

RIC: 11-15

DCA: 11-21 

IAD: 10-22

BWI:  11-2

 

Tiebreaker:  0.79

[aldie 22]

When was DCA's first temp of 32 last year?

[mappy]

RIC: 11/22

DCA: 11/15

IAD: 10/29

BWI:  11/03

 

.5

[WxUSAF]

When was DCA's first temp of 32 last year?

11/26

[aldie 22]

11/26

Thanks..I knew it was a little late compared to others...my guess for DCA might doom me but also may be the difference

[WxUSAF]

Thanks..I knew it was a little late compared to others...my guess for DCA might doom me but also may be the difference

The year before it was 12/10.  

[aldie 22]

The year before it was 12/10.  

I also know Richmond can be sneaky early at times

[EastCoast NPZ]

RIC:  11-15

DCA: 11-15

IAD:  10-24

BWI:  10-24

 

Tie-breaker:  1.75"  (Gonna be an EC storm)

[North Balti Zen]

RIC: 12/1

DCA: 12/1

IAD: 10/26

BWI: 11/3

 

BWI precip: .75"

[snowfan]

Some people really going late with IAD, I see.

[stormtracker]

RIC: 11/26

DCA: 12/2

IAD: 10/17

BWI: 10/22

 

Tiebreaker:  Cumulative rainfall for November 1-14 at BWI:  1.25"

[DDweatherman]

RIC: 11/2

DCA: 11/7

IAD: 10/26

BWI: 10/31

TB: 1.08"

[nw baltimore wx]

RIC: 11/7

DCA: 11/17

IAD: 10/28

BWI: 10/28

Tiebreaker: 1"

[nj2va]

RIC: 11/11
DCA: 11/2
IAD: 10/23
BWI: 10/24

Tiebreaker: 0.7"

[LongRanger]

RIC: 11/27

DCA: 11/27

IAD: 10/19

BWI: 11/15

Tiebreaker: 1.1"

[yoda]

RIC: 11/12

IAD: 10/26

BWI: 10/26

DCA: 11/09

 

Rain: .93"

[WEATHER53]

That time of the year again.  Long-range progs are advertising a potentially chilly start to October.  

 

Rules are the same as before...minimum cumulative departure wins.  So, a forecast of November 5th for DCA's first freeze would have a departure of 5 if the first freeze is actually on November 10th.  This departure is added to that for RIC, IAD and BWI for a contestant's total departure.  

 

You are forecasting the first day the temperature reaches 32F or lower at the following 4 stations:

 

RIC:

DCA:

IAD:

BWI:

 

Tiebreaker:  Cumulative rainfall for November 1-14 at BWI

 

Contest closes at the end of the month (11:59pm September 30th).  

Ric:11/5

DCA:11/5

IAD:10/22

BWI:10/29