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Analog Based Winter Forecast


UW-weather

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Hey everyone, so i have searched the internet to find the most commonly referenced analog years for this winter. I came up with 1978, 2009, 2010, then plug into a computer program to get temperature anomalies.

 

Thoughts?! 

 

I think a lot of people are referencing 09-10 as an analog for hype effect, especially since that featured a prolonged -NAO.  I see a year like 03-04 fitting the bill a bit more accurately.  Also have seen 02-03 tossed around, which won't enamor many on this board.

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2009-2010 would be a great repeat! Would not care for 2002-03 or 2003-04. Two winters that were back to back clunkers.

I think there will be a SE ridge this winter, so I expect the cold to plunge most west then be angled towards the Atlantic.

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2009-2010 would be a great repeat! Would not care for 2002-03 or 2003-04. Two winters that were back to back clunkers.

I think there will be a SE ridge this winter, so I expect the cold to plunge most west then be angled towards the Atlantic.

 

02-03 wasn't that good, but 03-04 was average.  Just under average for snowfall, but had a very quality snowy and cold January, which bumped it up to average in my book.

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