dendrite Posted October 31, 2013 Share Posted October 31, 2013 I'm one of the coldest spots in NH right now...41F with a steady -RA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted October 31, 2013 Author Share Posted October 31, 2013 Heavy amounts of excess candy in my forecast tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 31, 2013 Share Posted October 31, 2013 I'm one of the coldest spots in NH right now...41F with a steady -RA. Congrats? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 31, 2013 Share Posted October 31, 2013 Congrats? I don't win with radiational cooling so I need to pick battles I can win. I actually like these wedge days this time of year. If it's going to be cloudy and rainy it may as well be miserable in every facet. I missed that weenie cold spot in E-C NH on the ME border before I posted though...quite a few U30s there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 31, 2013 Share Posted October 31, 2013 I don't win with radiational cooling so I need to pick battles I can win. I actually like these wedge days this time of year. If it's going to be cloudy and rainy it may as well be miserable in every facet. I missed that weenie cold spot in E-C NH on the ME border before I posted though...quite a few U30s there. Your area for CAD is remarkable. That's not a bad thing to excel at...heavy heavy snow preservation when we've got white stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 31, 2013 Share Posted October 31, 2013 I don't win with radiational cooling so I need to pick battles I can win. I actually like these wedge days this time of year. If it's going to be cloudy and rainy it may as well be miserable in every facet. I missed that weenie cold spot in E-C NH on the ME border before I posted though...quite a few U30s there. This is when I become envious. A contractor friend just bought a place in Madison NH to renovate. I told him to prepare for a long winter...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 31, 2013 Share Posted October 31, 2013 would love to be up here tomorrow for mount washington Today: In and out of the clouds under mostly cloudy skies early, becoming in the clouds w/ rain, mainly later. Wind chills 15-25 degrees. Highs: Upper 30s°F Wind: W shifting SW 30-45 mph increasing to 55-75 mph w/ higher gusts Tonight: In the clouds w/ rain, possibly heavy at times. Wind chills 20-30 degrees. Lows: Rising to around 40°F Wind: SW 65-85 mph increasing to 90-110 mph w/ higher gusts Tomorrow: In the clouds w/ rain, mainly early, and possibly heavy at times. Wind chills 15-25 degrees. Highs: Falling into upper 30s°F Wind: W 90-110 mph w/ higher gusts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 31, 2013 Share Posted October 31, 2013 I don't win with radiational cooling so I need to pick battles I can win. I actually like these wedge days this time of year. If it's going to be cloudy and rainy it may as well be miserable in every facet. I missed that weenie cold spot in E-C NH on the ME border before I posted though...quite a few U30s there. IZG FTW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 31, 2013 Share Posted October 31, 2013 Interesting precip spread today but pretty classic too...strong SW flow downsloping into the Champlain Valley in the vicinity of BTV, then precip comes on heavily again from the Spine and east. We've been raining a steady 0.1/hr for 3-4 hours and BTV is only reporting clouds at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted October 31, 2013 Share Posted October 31, 2013 Interesting precip spread today but pretty classic too...strong SW flow downsloping into the Champlain Valley in the vicinity of BTV, then precip comes on heavily again from the Spine and east. We've been raining a steady 0.1/hr for 3-4 hours and BTV is only reporting clouds at this point. Yeah we have seen off and on rains in Winooski, but the winds have already gusted to around 35 today. It is a little nasty for the trick or treaters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 31, 2013 Share Posted October 31, 2013 Yeah we have seen off and on rains in Winooski, but the winds have already gusted to around 35 today. It is a little nasty for the trick or treaters. You will see far higher winds than I will...if experience serves me right, here in the lower east slope elevations we'll be protected under a surface inversion. I've seen many wind advisories lead to 5-10mph gusts here in town, but from 1500ft and up it's ripping. Now, NW winds are a different story, but southerly direction wind advisories don't seem to pan out locally. But it's all about knowing your local climate and what to expect in certain situations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 31, 2013 Share Posted October 31, 2013 You will see far higher winds than I will...if experience serves me right, here in the lower east slope elevations we'll be protected under a surface inversion. I've seen many wind advisories lead to 5-10mph gusts here in town, but from 1500ft and up it's ripping. Now, NW winds are a different story, but southerly direction wind advisories don't seem to pan out locally. But it's all about knowing your local climate and what to expect in certain situations. NW you get the downslope assist. Similar to how the rain shadowed areas of the Whites can roar on a strong SE LLJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 31, 2013 Share Posted October 31, 2013 The 18z runs of the NAM and GFS both bring a nearly 80 kt wind max over the area at 1000 feet. Probably a little on the aggressive side, but still impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 31, 2013 Share Posted October 31, 2013 NW you get the downslope assist. Similar to how the rain shadowed areas of the Whites can roar on a strong SE LLJ. Yeah it depends on the event and Froude numbers and stuff like that. Its interesting that we can get the downslope assist with wind, but precipitation can still be robust on NW flow (I sometimes chalk that up to precipitation forming over the Spine, getting blown the 3 miles downwind into the lower elevations of town). Sometimes the two go hand in hand (downslope wind and drying precip) but other times we'll still be snowing/precipitating hard while those strong winds move down the lee (east) side of the Spine. The shadowing seems more pronounced on SE flow for whatever reason... when I lived in Jonesville (low elevation, western slope location), anytime there was a SE flow at H85, we'd get some huge winds and next to no precip, lol. It would be snowing 1"/hr at J.Spin's place a few miles away but on the eastern side of the Spine axis, while I was looking at patches of blue sky and huge downslope winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 31, 2013 Share Posted October 31, 2013 I love new toys. Just found out about this website that displays some of my favorite ensemble data (anomalies and percentiles). This is the NAEFS forecast for 12z tomorrow. The shading indicates percentile based on climatology (21 days centered at 00z on the date of the map). Climatologically speaking, these types of winds at 850 mb are maxed out or have never been experienced over a large portion of the region this time of year (basically everything in red). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 31, 2013 Share Posted October 31, 2013 That's cool...care to share the link? I love the PSU threat site with the SDs as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 31, 2013 Share Posted October 31, 2013 I love new toys. Just found out about this website that displays some of my favorite ensemble data (anomalies and percentiles). 10-31-2013 6-37-26 PM.png This is the NAEFS forecast for 12z tomorrow. The shading indicates percentile based on climatology (21 days centered at 00z on the date of the map). Climatologically speaking, these types of winds at 850 mb are maxed out or have never been experienced over a large portion of the region this time of year (basically everything in red). Impressive... what's the scale of the percentiles on that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 31, 2013 Share Posted October 31, 2013 That's cool...care to share the link? I love the PSU threat site with the SDs as well. http://ssd.wrh.noaa.gov/satable/# Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 31, 2013 Share Posted October 31, 2013 Impressive... what's the scale of the percentiles on that? Terrible scientist not including the scale. Shading starts at 90th percentile, brownish yellow is 99.5, and red is max. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 31, 2013 Share Posted October 31, 2013 http://ssd.wrh.noaa.gov/satable/# Hmm, it didn't work for me. It's not internal to you guys is it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 31, 2013 Share Posted October 31, 2013 Hmm, it didn't work for me. It's not internal to you guys is it? Didn't think about that, might be the case since it's SSD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 31, 2013 Share Posted October 31, 2013 Didn't think about that, might be the case since it's SSD. NBD it's cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 31, 2013 Share Posted October 31, 2013 NBD it's cool. It might be one of those experimental things that's not ready for public release yet. There isn't much regarding model data that we don't allow free use of though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 31, 2013 Share Posted October 31, 2013 It might be one of those experimental things that's not ready for public release yet. There isn't much regarding model data that we don't allow free use of though. I saw some new satellite products being tested. The idea sounds awesome regarding fog imagery, but I think WFOs over on the west coast and Hawaii are testing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 31, 2013 Share Posted October 31, 2013 IZG FTW! Always Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 31, 2013 Share Posted October 31, 2013 I saw some new satellite products being tested. The idea sounds awesome regarding fog imagery, but I think WFOs over on the west coast and Hawaii are testing it. GOES-R stuff? Honestly any improvements in fog detection would be awesome, as it's perpetual any time of year up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 31, 2013 Share Posted October 31, 2013 GOES-R stuff? Honestly any improvements in fog detection would be awesome, as it's perpetual any time of year up here. Yeah that's it. It looked pretty cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 I'm one of the coldest spots in NH right now...41F with a steady -RA.something I'll never lay claim to. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 something I'll never lay claim to. lolWell, you are in Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 Steady rain this evening has left roughly 0.65" on top of the roughly 0.15" from the first band of precip this morning/early afternoon. As of 10:30pm the rain gauge has exactly 0.80" in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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