SnoJoe Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Still not a single flake here since a couple of weeks ago. Even had a peak of sun a little while ago. Still windy and cold. Temps have risen slightly though, up to 17.4 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 man the nam would crush raleigh with ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 The gfs is a crushing.12"+ from mountains to CLT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Can anyone post some maps? still snowing lightly here, dusting on the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Flakes are getting bigger and the snowball s are flying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Can someone give me the rundown? It looks like it's a little slower than expected. Are we still on track for 10 inches or so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Can someone give me the rundown? It looks like it's a little slower than expected. Are we still on track for 10 inches or so? We're just waiting on the negative tilt to kick in which is later. Heaviest snow should come later in the day going into darkness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 2 inches now snow picking back up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_TarHeel Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Just looking at the Intellicast future radar, this thing is about to explode for WNC. It's looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 GSP is all over this event! Even mentions negative EPV (i.e, thunder!!) AS OF 1120 AM...NE GA AND THE WESTERN CAROLINAS WILL SEE HEAVY SNOWFALL RATES DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND REMAIN THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A WELL DEFINED COLD AIR DAMMING ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NE GA...SOURCED FROM HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER NEW ENGLAND. SFC LOW PRESSURE WAS ANALYZED NEAR THE PANHANDLE OF FL. INITIAL SNOW FROM MORNING JET DIVERGENCE HAS PRODUCED 1 INCH ACROSS THE I-85 CORRIDOR TO OVER 5 INCHES AT GREENWOOD. RECENT IR SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE ANOTHER ROUND OF COOLING CLOUD TOPS ACROSS NRN GA AND THE WESTERN CAROLINAS. 12Z NAM INDICATES THAT STRONG ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL RAPIDLY SPREAD NORTH...REACHING THE NORTHERN ZONES BY 18Z. THE LIFT WILL COMBINE WITH A POOL OF HIGH PW...SHOWN ON THE BLENDED PW...PRODUCING A SHIELD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW LIFTING SOUTH TO NORTH. IN ADDITION...SEVERAL BANDS OF -EPV WILL RIPPLE ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON...FAVORING THE FORMATION OF MESOSCALE SNOW BANDS. A LARGE FIELD OF MID LEVEL Q-VECTOR CONVERGENCE WILL ARRIVE THIS AFTERNOON AND INCREASE THROUGH MOST OF TONIGHT. THE OVERLAP OF LLVL AND MID LEVEL FORCING SHOULD RESULT IN THE GREATEST SNOWFALL THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING. PRECIP TYPE IS COMPLICATED BY SUSPECT ABSENCE OF ICE NUCLEI THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. GIVEN THE TREMENDOUS MOISTURE AND OVERALL COLD LLVL CONDITIONS ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS...I BELIEVE THAT ICE NUCLEI WILL BE PRESENT. HOWEVER...DOPPLER VELOCITY AND DUAL POL AGREE WITH FORECAST SOUNDINGS WITH DEVELOPING A H85 WARM NOSE OVER THE EASTERN PIEDMONT. THE WARMING ALONG THE EASTERN TIER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MIDNIGHT...YIELDING A BLEND OF SLEET AND FZRA. THE WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS ON TRACK. I WILL UPDATE TO ADJUST ACCUMS TO ACCOUNT FOR THE OVERLAP OF DEEP MOISTURE...SYNOPTIC FORCING...AND POTENTIAL BANDING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 No doubt Tracker. I love the last line.. "THE WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS ON TRACK. I WILL UPDATE TO ADJUSTACCUMS TO ACCOUNT FOR THE OVERLAP OF DEEP MOISTURE...SYNOPTICFORCING...AND POTENTIAL BANDING." GSP is all over this event! Even mentions negative EPV (i.e, thunder!!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Hurricane tracker does the thunder snow come with the h5. Low closing off and us being under it? Snow has really picked up again with the flakes getting bigger. When I was out with the kids earlier it was not the wettest. Really had to pack it to make a snowball. Waiting on the mashed potatoes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Hurricane tracker does the thunder snow come with the h5. Low closing off and us being under it? Snow has really picked up again with the flakes getting bigger. When I was out with the kids earlier it was not the wettest. Really had to pack it to make a snowball. Waiting on the mashed potatoes! Two comments: 1. Yes, as the H5 low closes off right over the southern Apps, that should be our best chance for thunder as the cold pool associated with the upper low drifts overhead, steepening the lapse rates. Could be wild for someone wherever thunder or mesoscale banding sets up. Some snow totals will go through the roof in these areas - but it should be very isolated. 2. Snow ratios are light currently. That is forecast. As the system winds up off the coast, our thermal profiles aloft actually warm enough at 850 and 700 to make a deep isothermal layer through the dendritic growth zone. Thus, flake sizes should increase dramatically this afternoon and "mashed potatoes" snow will be increasingly common. Stay safe everyone! We are "green green green" for a big snow here in the mountains! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Thanks for the reply ht Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Really picking up..Flakes much larger. 2 inches in Graham County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Almost 12 and not a flake. Boone is reporting Fair conditions. That's got to be wrong. Temps still on a slow rise. Now 19.2 from a low of 14.4. Wind seems to have settled some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Channel 13 says all of WNC is experiencing a dry slot due to the high pressure to the north. Expect to have light accumulations through the afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triadwx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Almost 12 and not a flake. Boone is reporting Fair conditions. That's got to be wrong. Temps still on a slow rise. Now 19.2 from a low of 14.4. Wind seems to have settled some. Nope, conditions are pretty fair outside. This is so frustrating. For so many days it looked like we'd be the golden spot, now I'm wondering if we'll even see a flake. Just wow. So much for big totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Nope, conditions are pretty fair outside. This is so frustrating. For so many days it looked like we'd be the golden spot, now I'm wondering if we'll even see a flake. Just wow. So much for big totals. I feel your pain. I've lived here for 52 years and have seen this happen several times before where the northern mountains gets skunked by this type of system. Maybe we'll have a good flow snow before the winter is over. Seems that's all we can count on any more. But hey, we get more snow than a lot of people so while frustrating, I'll take what I get and be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheVille Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Flurries starting on App campus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Channel 13 says all of WNC is experiencing a dry slot due to the high pressure to the north. Expect to have light accumulations through the afternoon No dry slot here in Henderson County. Has been snowing heavily for about 30 minutes now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 It's still way too early in game, guys... it'll get better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Man I'm liking these rates right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Man I'm liking these rates right nowme too. Rates should pick up alot more later. Whay is your measurement now? We look to be at 2.5 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triadwx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I feel your pain. I've lived here for 52 years and have seen this happen several times before where the northern mountains gets skunked by this type of system. Maybe we'll have a good flow snow before the winter is over. Seems that's all we can count on any more. But hey, we get more snow than a lot of people so while frustrating, I'll take what I get and be happy. I went to bed thinking "okay 8-12"+ seems very likely and it'll probably be more". Nope. Nada. I'll consider a dusting a success. Third day in a row we've been bent over when it comes to snow. Too frustrating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Did anyone see the 09z SREF? It looks crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I went to bed thinking "okay 8-12"+ seems very likely and it'll probably be more". Nope. Nada. I'll consider a dusting a success. Third day in a row we've been bent over when it comes to snow. Too frustrating. Don't jump off the cliff yet. It's still too early. It wasn't even predicted to really start in the mountains until early afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I know it's too early to jump of the wagon, but are we in danger of losing our shot at 12+ inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 me too. Rates should pick up alot more later. Whay is your measurement now? We look to be at 2.5 now. 2 inches a little while ago had heavy snow since then I'd say easily 2.5 -3 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I went to bed thinking "okay 8-12"+ seems very likely and it'll probably be more". Nope. Nada. I'll consider a dusting a success. Third day in a row we've been bent over when it comes to snow. Too frustrating. You have got to be shi++ing me man, come on. Unbelievable. Rookies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.