HKY_WX Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I was given the go ahead to be able to work from home the rest of the week. i am debating to make the drive to hickory in the morning adn then head back to raleigh this weekend when it melts. i can't decide if i want to do it or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Lol exactly. They want the best model solution for them. Hey I don't blame them but you just cannot go against the Euro right know. You are right, this side of WNC doesn't want sleet but there is legitimate head scratching due to a well-defined CAD signature and a track modeled to go into it. It will indeed be interesting for sure, I'd take a Euro track all day if somehow the entire column could stay below 0C or at least a small warm nose that can be overcome with heavier rates. Either way, mountains and foothills look primed for a classic storm. Might have to head to my parents near Hickory if sleet mixes in too much here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 I was given the go ahead to be able to work from home the rest of the week. i am debating to make the drive to hickory in the morning adn then head back to raleigh this weekend when it melts. i can't decide if i want to do it or not. Brandon do it! Man Hickory into the mountains and foothills are going to get nailed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Brandon do it! Man Hickory into the mountains and foothills are going to get nailed. I think i'm going to. I may leave tonight. I almost had an orgasm when i saw the euro's read out for hickory lol. almost 1.4 of all snow. unreal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I was given the go ahead to be able to work from home the rest of the week. i am debating to make the drive to hickory in the morning adn then head back to raleigh this weekend when it melts. i can't decide if i want to do it or not. Do it Man. You can't miss out on storm like this if it actually happens. I have a question, you mentioned some gulf coast convection robbing some of the moisture in your update last night. Do think that still might be a problem? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 You are right, this side of WNC doesn't want sleet but there is legitimate head scratching due to a well-defined CAD signature and a track modeled to go into it. It will indeed be interesting for sure, I'd take a Euro track all day if somehow the entire column could stay below 0C or at least a small warm nose that can be overcome with heavier rates. Either way, mountains and foothills look primed for a classic storm. Might have to head to my parents near Hickory if sleet mixes in too much here. Ya and who knows a further West track may not even make a difference in precip type. This is an impressive wedge for the Carolinas and into GA. These storms you just never know. I hope everyone get nailed really but the model who has led this storm is the Euro. Also my heart goes out to those people who are in the path of the ice storm. This is really going to be a bad deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 You are right, this side of WNC doesn't want sleet but there is legitimate head scratching due to a well-defined CAD signature and a track modeled to go into it. It will indeed be interesting for sure, I'd take a Euro track all day if somehow the entire column could stay below 0C or at least a small warm nose that can be overcome with heavier rates. Either way, mountains and foothills look primed for a classic storm. Might have to head to my parents near Hickory if sleet mixes in too much here.the cad is not going to stop this thing from running inland the upper lower is getting captured and getting pulled northwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I think i'm going to. I may leave tonight. I almost had an orgasm when i saw the euro's read out for hickory lol. almost 1.4 of all snow. unreal DO it. The western piedmont and foothills are gonna get crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 I think i'm going to. I may leave tonight. I almost had an orgasm when i saw the euro's read out for hickory lol. almost 1.4 of all snow. unreal No kidding man. Just get in your vehicle and head up this way, Going to be epic. With that deformation band setting up and I fully expect reports of thundersnow from this storm. Ya the Euro has been hammer the mountains and foothills for several days of upwards of a foot plus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triadwx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 WPC and others have explained why the Euro and other models are too farwest with the tracck beccause of the wedge that is set up. The Euro might have the overall idea right but that doesn't mean it has the exact track right. This made me almost laugh aloud in class. Brick being Brick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 the cad is not going to stop this thing from running inland the upper lower is getting captured and getting pulled northwest. 10-4, just saying what was being discussed. I read what HM said in the MA forum, made sense. Like I said, this is a classic one and I can always head 40 miles up 16 to see a foot or more if need be. Pulling for some one up in the mountains/foothills to break the 18" mark! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 No kidding man. Just get in your vehicle and head up this way, Going to be epic. With that deformation band setting up and I fully expect reports of thundersnow from this storm. Ya the Euro has been hammer the mountains and foothills for several days of upwards of a foot plus. i'm going to do it. just talked with the folks. they don't care if i hang out at their place for a couple of days lol. i feel like josh heading into the eye of the storm lol. will report back tonight... hky storm chaser signing off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I was given the go ahead to be able to work from home the rest of the week. i am debating to make the drive to hickory in the morning adn then head back to raleigh this weekend when it melts. i can't decide if i want to do it or not. Brandon, overwhelming support!.....you really need to pull the trigger on this. This had the potential to be a one of the the most historic storms in our lifetimes for the SE. Hickory looks like it could be ground zero. There are many in this thread that will tell you that you're not promised anything in life. Don't let this oppertunity pass you by! Good luck & continue to post in our thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Could someone explain to me why GSP has likely snow beginning at 4 am, when all of the models seem to point to a start time of late morning or early afternoon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 For those of us that have been around since (pre 02) we only had one main on eastern wx, you understand. The entire state will NEVER be happy. Plan and simple. We use to have to discuss a storm with MA and New England folks in it. argh Storm on everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 i'm going to do it. just talked with the folks. they don't care if i hang out at their place for a couple of days lol. i feel like josh heading into the eye of the storm lol. will report back tonight... hky storm chaser signing off. Sweet alright another local poster up this way. Be careful man and keep us updated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I'm going to go ahead and make a call of 10 inches for KAVL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 For those of us that have been around since (pre 02) we only had one main on eastern wx, you understand. The entire state will NEVER be happy. Plan and simple. We use to have to discuss a storm with MA and New England folks in it. argh Storm on everyone! Before my time but I have heard you guys talk about it & it sounds like it wasn't pretty for the SE crew! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 Noticed something this evening that we are getting some blue sky which is ok but the temp has dropped 5 degrees the past hour. Down to 29 degrees. Anybody else experiencing this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 I'm going to go ahead and make a call of 10 inches for KAVL. Sounds good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Noticed something this evening that we are getting some blue sky which is ok but the temp has dropped 5 degrees the past hour. Down to 29 degrees. Anybody else experiencing this. Overcast in Henderson County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Noticed something this evening that we are getting some blue sky which is ok but the temp has dropped 5 degrees the past hour. Down to 29 degrees. Anybody else experiencing this. Yes the sun briefly popped out here in Lenoir. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Total qpf for AVL from the 18z GFS was 1.1 inches. coolwx classified .1 inches as rain, but I find that unlikely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Brandon, overwhelming support!.....you really need to pull the trigger on this. This had the potential to be a one of the the most historic storms in our lifetimes for the SE. Hickory looks like it could be ground zero. There are many in this thread that will tell you that you're not promised anything in life. Don't let this oppertunity pass you by! Good luck & continue to post in our thread. Thanks mayne, will do. I'm going to hit the road in a few hours. i will try to make a last forecast sometime before bed tonight. talk to you guys after while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 Yes the sun briefly popped out here in Lenoir. Ya still in and out here with clouds and clear sky. Man it is getting cold again here. Never really warmed up to begin with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Robert is going for very high totals especially just east of the blue ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 Thanks mayne, will do. I'm going to hit the road in a few hours. i will try to make a last forecast sometime before bed tonight. talk to you guys after while. Good call man be safe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Robert is going for very high totals especially just east of the blue ridge. What qualifies as very high? Just a couple weeks ago I would've considered 5 inches very high... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Just showed clear skies over Yancey Co. on WLOS '85. Looks like its a high elevation thing. Edit: Jacob you just got a shout out on the news, woman saw a car in the ditch in Henderson Co. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 What qualifies as very high? Just a couple weeks ago I would've considered 5 inches very high... He posted the map publicly on his personal FB page, It was 10-15 with locally higher amounts in the adjacent foothills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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