franklin NCwx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Go big or go home!thats the best way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 10, 2014 Author Share Posted February 10, 2014 thats the best way. Lol. The NAM is showing pretty decent snows making it East of the mountains tomorrow also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Lol. The NAM is showing pretty decent snows making it East of the mountains tomorrow also. sure is.. 00nam at 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triadwx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Latest SREF mean has 7.62" of snow for Boone and 8.15" for Asheville. Me gusta. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 0z nam is about to paste us. Earlier phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Lol nam even throws in a few pingers for us. No worries on qpf this run. We have gotten nam'ed again fellas. Paste bomb! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Lol nam even throws in a few pingers for us. No worries on qpf this run. We have gotten nam'ed again fellas. Paste bomb! Not really sure what to say after that run!.......I'm speachless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Lol nam even throws in a few pingers for us. No worries on qpf this run. We have gotten nam'ed again fellas. Paste bomb! Mega nam'ed. That solution would be one for the ages. Can't with to run bufkit on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Mega nam'ed. That solution would be one for the ages. Can't with to run bufkit on that. I can't wait to see that either. Are we thinking it would be all snow for Asheville, or snow/sleet mix? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I can't wait to see that either. Are we thinking it would be all snow for Asheville, or snow/sleet mix? Looks like it was around 8-9" of snow and .3-.4" of sleet. Nasty to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Looks like it was around 8-9" of snow and .3-.4" of sleet. Nasty to say the least. Well this is interesting...now we're beginning to run the risk of the system being too far west and thus warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Well this is interesting...now we're beginning to run the risk of the system being too far west and thus warmer. Ah I think these are just detail right now. If that storm modeled happens it will be epic and I think all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 So did the 00z NAM actually have less QPF for Asheville than the 18z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Well this is interesting...now we're beginning to run the risk of the system being too far west and thus warmer.no, thats a perfect track for bus and probably overdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 No that .3-.4 inches of sleet would translate to another 4-5 inches maybe more if it fell as snow. Also was just thinking and this is for KAVL at the airport not downtown, so maybe not that much of a difference it could keep some all snow. The warm nose doesn't look to be to strong in area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 The warm nose is very small this way. Might be overcome but we have very heavy rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 This has dec 09 written all over it. With that track there is no way we don't get pummeled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Just from a cursory glance the 00z looks like an improvement for pretty much everyone compared to the 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Gfs still playing catchup. I expect it to come back west more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I like where we sit. Gfs doing its typical nw trend. Man when the good storms come out the gfs really lives up to its biases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I like where we sit. Gfs doing its typical nw trend. Man when the good storms come out the gfs really lives up to its biases. I agree. I think it will continue to move NW. Even as we sit right now we'll get a good storm, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 The 00z GEFS looks very similar to the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 It does seem like the downtown is cooler than the airport from observations this winter, but that's just me. I think 6 inches might be a great forecast for Asheville at this rate, but it could be 2-3 inches less or more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 It does seem like the downtown is cooler than the airport from observations this winter, but that's just me. I think 6 inches might be a great forecast for Asheville at this rate, but it could be 2-3 inches less or more. I agree that 6 would be reasonable. Model consensus looks like it would be about 7 right now, barring the NAM, of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 10, 2014 Author Share Posted February 10, 2014 It does seem like the downtown is cooler than the airport from observations this winter, but that's just me. I think 6 inches might be a great forecast for Asheville at this rate, but it could be 2-3 inches less or more. Sounds very reasonable. I know. Lot of people would be ecstatic with 6 inches for Asheville. Also downtown is more up in the mountains than the airport which is probably why cooler reading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Sounds very reasonable. I know. Lot of people would be ecstatic with 6 inches for Asheville. Also downtown is more up in the mountains than the airport which is probably why cooler reading. Certainly cooler, but the further south you go the more precipitation you get. It's a tradeoff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Does anyone have the link to the GSP forecast map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 The 0z Euro holds and gives most of the mountains around 10 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 10, 2014 Author Share Posted February 10, 2014 Lol just when you thought it could not get any better the NAM ups totals again. Looks like several places approaching a foot of snow. Only one run but wow was this run even more impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 This has been a really interesting event to watch unfold. It's funny how the entire nature of the storm has shifted from one of overrunning to an actual low coming through the area and yet the totals have been relatively consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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