SnoJoe Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Light snow Temp - 29.4 Wind - 19/G 29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 What an insane difference in climates today. Sun popped out across the piedmont and temps shot up. Feels like I need to put shorts on at 52 degrees while our mountain folks are seeing flakes fly. And this potential for tomorrow night and friday does need a separate thread "if" the threat is real. I just tried catching up in the model thread and one could get easily lost with so many systems being discussed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 What an insane difference in climates today. Sun popped out across the piedmont and temps shot up. Feels like I need to put shorts on at 52 degrees while our mountain folks are seeing flakes fly. And this potential for tomorrow night and friday does need a separate thread "if" the threat is real. I just tried catching up in the model thread and one could get easily lost with so many systems being discussed. Lol it is 48 down here in the valley with sunshine. 20 Degree temp difference in only about 40-50 miles as the bird flies. As for Friday I would love to the a NW trend take hold! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Dust up on Beech 850s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 What an insane difference in climates today. Sun popped out across the piedmont and temps shot up. Feels like I need to put shorts on at 52 degrees while our mountain folks are seeing flakes fly. And this potential for tomorrow night and friday does need a separate thread "if" the threat is real. I just tried catching up in the model thread and one could get easily lost with so many systems being discussed. Lol it is 48 down here in the valley with sunshine. 20 Degree temp difference in only about 40-50 miles as the bird flies. As for Friday I would love to the a NW trend take hold! My temp went from 42.3 at 12pm down to 27.4 now. It was one of those fronts that you could tell almost the minute it came through. The wind changed direction instantly and down went the temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 5, 2014 Author Share Posted February 5, 2014 Temps have dropped quite a bit here also. Down to 30 degrees with a stiff wind. Cloud deck is lowering but no snow yet. I just came from Asheville and there was blue sky over there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 5, 2014 Author Share Posted February 5, 2014 Temps are really diving down to 28 degrees with very light snow commencing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Temps are really diving down to 28 degrees with very light snow commencing. Good deal '85! Clouds have finally moved overhead here in downtown. Lots of clouds on water vapor, will be interesting to see if we get some flakes here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Temps are really diving down to 28 degrees with very light snow commencing. Steady light snow here but had a couple of nice moderate showers. Have a dusting already. Where'd this come from? Wasn't expecting this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 5, 2014 Author Share Posted February 5, 2014 Good deal '85! Clouds have finally moved overhead here in downtown. Lots of clouds on water vapor, will be interesting to see if we get some flakes here. Ya it is those small flakes but the wind will cut you in two. Nice maybe squeeze out some flurries in town. Steady light snow here but had a couple of nice moderate showers. Have a dusting already. Where'd this come from? Wasn't expecting this. Nice Joe! Ya the models were not really picking up on this. Looks moisture is being squeezed out across the mountains. Nice surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Cancelled my trip down to the mtn today. Too much snow locally! Will try next weekend. Waist deep on my front sidewalk ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 6, 2014 Author Share Posted February 6, 2014 Cancelled my trip down to the mtn today. Too much snow locally! Will try next weekend. Waist deep on my front sidewalk ! Nice Mike you lucky thing you! Man yall have been getting hammered all winter! Looking at the RAP it looks like this flow continues right through tomorrow morning along the TN/NC boarder. Temp down to 25 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 6, 2014 Author Share Posted February 6, 2014 Snowing here nicely know. Vehicle and patio furniture are covered. This is nice after the last 5 days or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Got some nice small flakes falling through my flood light. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Man, what a wake up call. A few half decent days and I forgot it's still winter. It's 20.8 with a 23 mph wind gusting to 38 with light snow. Weclome back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Look like we might have to start worrying about potential threat around 2/11, but I'm going to wait one more day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Ended up with just a dusting up top and 17 degrees. The pic of the relative humidity field at 850 mb for part of last night. The area in the pink box tells the normal story...all moisture sucked away. The Smokies are absolutely killing me this year! (Note that Met's location is just outside that box in Haywood county where the upstream ridges aren't nearly as tall.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Euro snowfall output for Tue/Wed time frame. (Separate thread also was already created for this possible event with this image posted.) Let the wishcasting commence! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 6, 2014 Author Share Posted February 6, 2014 That would be great Mike really that would be a nice event but you know how these things end up disappearing. Lol we as Joe said what a wake up call! Winter is back! Temp down to 19 degrees with about a quarter inch of snow on the ground. I have reports of upwards of about an inch closer to the boarder. Beautiful rime ice on the mountains also. Still getting very light snow.. Very winter like outside. Oh Mike you will get yours bud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 I've got close to an inch with heavy rime this morning. It's cold! 15.9 with a breeze. Looks like nothing much until next Wed. I'll be gone but pulling for everyone else. Maybe it'll be the "The Big One". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Latest GFS looks good for Tuesday night/Wed. Lots of qpf and model soundings should be just barely cold enough to support snow. No warm nose showing up over the mtns. Isothermal layer hugging the 0 deg C line..drops below near 6000 feet and above. Low-levels winds are on low side for enhancement but Blue Ridge areas are favored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Latest GFS looks good for Tuesday night/Wed. Lots of qpf and model soundings should be just barely cold enough to support snow. No warm nose showing up over the mtns. Isothermal layer hugging the 0 deg C line..drops below near 6000 feet and above. Low-levels winds are on low side for enhancement but Blue Ridge areas are favored. 12z GFS showed .27 inches of snow followed by .65 inches of ice for Asheville, I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 12z GFS showed .27 inches of snow followed by .65 inches of ice for Asheville, I believe. Per bufkit analysis on the 12z GFS for KAVL it looks like it drops 2.3" of snow (with cobb05 conversion) and like you said .65" of ZR so this taken verbatim would be an absolute mess. Looks like 12z gfs bufkit is all snow in Boone with a solid 3-4" for Tuesday night thru Wednesday with an inch of snow also showing up between Saturday and Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Per bufkit analysis on the 12z GFS for KAVL it looks like it drops 2.3" of snow (with cobb05 conversion) and like you said .65" of ZR so this taken verbatim would be an absolute mess. Looks like 12z gfs bufkit is all snow in Boone with a solid 3-4" for Tuesday night thru Wednesday with an inch of snow also showing up between Saturday and Monday. Looking at point soundings..not see the freezing rain potential. (Either at or all below freezing.) Here is an example. At the later half of the storm..looks it goes just above 0 but not much. It would likely wet bulb to just below zero if this model sounding is to be believed. (For sure-the highest elevations would be at or just above the slight warm nose leading to snow.) At worse this sounding would represent a little sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 New EURO run crushes southern apps.. nice CAD and great track for classic southern apps snow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 New EURO run crushes southern apps.. nice CAD and great track for classic southern apps snow.. What are the eastern and Western extents of the precipitation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Thanks Mike! Sounds perfect to me, would rather have sleet than zr any day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 What are the eastern and Western extents of the precipitation? 12 Z Euo. (I think snowfall for the previous six hours ending at map time.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 12 Z Euo. (I think snowfall for the previous six hours ending at map time.) Wow, that looks like a perfect hit for WNC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 6, 2014 Author Share Posted February 6, 2014 Wow what a turn around in weather. Temps hanging in the low to mid 20s with snow on the ground and rime ice on surrounding mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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