MikeGold Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Let's not get carried away with the spring talk Mike. You may want to look at the Euro. Has a nice gradient pattern setting up and a nice storm for us also even though it is in the mid range. Although Euro suggests the baroclinic zone will be nearby initially..with the SW wind flowing into...rain will be the likely form of precip. Even looking at the 8 to 14 day outlook..strongly suggests the presence of a SE ridge with areas a little further North like Virginia probably getting some action. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php Looking further still..maybe blow torch weather towards later part of February per the Euro: http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/anderson/updated-long-range-and-some-snow/22641277 (Scroll down) Finally-the Outlook for Feb/Mar/April suggests above normal temps with a storm track through the Ohio Valley: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/seasonal.php?lead=1 It does seem a shame that some exceptionally cold weather recently netted so little snowfall locally. Still, as I said previously-Spring time brings those cold upper lows that can dump a crazy amount of snow in the higher elevations. Thats what I'm looking forward to! The big Mt. Pisgah storm that dropped five feet of snow in May, 1992 as an example: http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/weathermatrix/anniversary-of-freak-five-feet-of-nc-snow/18831 So in a nutshell-I think with the involving weather pattern...significant NW flow events may be over for the season. Still a shot at some coastal development and upper low scenarios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 So the Asheville airport reported 0.9" of snow with this event. What is odd is that they reported a liquid equivalent of 0.14", making a snow ratio of roughly 7:1. WHAT?! There is absolutely no way that those ratios we had yesterday were that moist. Thoughts?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 So the Asheville airport reported 0.9" of snow with this event. What is odd is that they reported a liquid equivalent of 0.14", making a snow ratio of roughly 7:1. WHAT?! There is absolutely no way that those ratios we had yesterday were that moist. Thoughts?? No where close. Even at the beginning of the event they were much higher. In the obs thread last night even the posters around Charlotte were talking about what a light dry snow it was. Had a grand total of 2 inches, almost an inch of that coming last night. Went negative for the fourth time this year. Temp down to -1.1. We've rented a house on the beach in Belize for our winter vacation for week after next. I've never been there before but I don't care what it's like, I just know it'll be warm. I can't wait! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 29, 2014 Author Share Posted January 29, 2014 So the Asheville airport reported 0.9" of snow with this event. What is odd is that they reported a liquid equivalent of 0.14", making a snow ratio of roughly 7:1. WHAT?! There is absolutely no way that those ratios we had yesterday were that moist. Thoughts?? Ya not sure how they came up with that but no way like Joe said. Also wow Joe a nice vacation. Take pictures man would love to see the scenery down there. Temp has dropped here to negative 1 also with 3.5 inches of snow on the ground. We have diamond dust again this morning. The snow last night is beautiful! Looks like glitter is everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 So the Asheville airport reported 0.9" of snow with this event. What is odd is that they reported a liquid equivalent of 0.14", making a snow ratio of roughly 7:1. WHAT?! There is absolutely no way that those ratios we had yesterday were that moist. Thoughts?? I re-read the paste job I posted & saw this: THE FOLLOWING ARE UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATIONS TAKEN DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS FOR THE STORM THAT HAS BEEN AFFECTING OUR REGION. & as for you and Belize Joe.....UGH!!! You live a really tough life, I have a lot of sympathy for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 I re-read the paste job I posted & saw this: THE FOLLOWING ARE UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATIONS TAKEN DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS FOR THE STORM THAT HAS BEEN AFFECTING OUR REGION. & as for you and Belize Joe.....UGH!!! You live a really tough life, I have a lot of sympathy for you. We go somewhere every Feb. I love the mountains in the winter but by Feb. we're ready for a nice warm break. Does anyone have a good region/statewide link for snow totals? I can't find one. I want see who the "winner" is with this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 We go somewhere every Feb. I love the mountains in the winter but by Feb. we're ready for a nice warm break. Does anyone have a good region/statewide link for snow totals? I can't find one. I want see who the "winner" is with this storm. There is this map put out by NWS Eastern Region. Just glancing at it..not sure any of the models/forecasters did a particularly good job with this last storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 There is this map put out by NWS Eastern Region. Just glancing at it..not sure any of the models/forecasters did a particularly good job with this last storm. Looks like totals weren't as forecasted. I don't think anyone expected the 6 to 8 in NE Tennessee and SW Virginia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K4CF Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Mt. Mitchell tallied nearly 9" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Got the email from AMS president that the "1+ inch storm" contest is still on since KAVL measured 0.9 inch. That's hilarious, but also gave my Feb. 15 prediction a chance, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Rather amazing blue skies today.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 Final snow map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted January 29, 2014 Share Posted January 29, 2014 PROFILES MAY FALL QUICKLY FROM THE W WITH POSSIBLE FROPAAND CAD SCOURING ON WED...BUT WILL KEEP MOUNTAIN PRECIP ALL RAINVERSUS SNOW THROUGH WED AFTN FOR NOW GIVEN THE HIGH UNCERTAINTY INTIMING. THE MON THROUGH WED PERIOD WILL NEED CLOSE WATCHING SINCE AWINTRY MIX ZONE N OF THE WARM SECTOR WILL BE QUITE POSSIBLE...BUTTHERE IS JUST TOO MUCH SPREAD TO PIN THAT DOWN AT THIS POINT. This is from GSP this evening for next Wednesday Feb. 5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Although Euro suggests the baroclinic zone will be nearby initially..with the SW wind flowing into...rain will be the likely form of precip. Even looking at the 8 to 14 day outlook..strongly suggests the presence of a SE ridge with areas a little further North like Virginia probably getting some action. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php Looking further still..maybe blow torch weather towards later part of February per the Euro: http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/anderson/updated-long-range-and-some-snow/22641277 (Scroll down) Finally-the Outlook for Feb/Mar/April suggests above normal temps with a storm track through the Ohio Valley: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/seasonal.php?lead=1 Long range models have been a joke this season, I wouldn't put a penny into any of them. Winter is on for the NC mtns through March as far as I'm concerned. Let's not forget March 1960, true winter pattern right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 Long range models have been a joke this season, I wouldn't put a penny into any of them. Winter is on for the NC mtns through March as far as I'm concerned. Let's not forget March 1960, true winter pattern right there. Ya for some reason I have a feeling we are going to have a big month for winter in March. Ya the models have really overdone the SE ridge this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Ya for some reason I have a feeling we are going to have a big month for winter in March. Ya the models have really overdone the SE ridge this season. Looks like 18z gfs is picking up the signal tonight on a big hit. Its never a bad thing for the euro and gfs to be lined up and I think we sit in the best spot in the south to cash in on the pattern that looks to be setting up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 Boy is it cold out. Down to 3 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Yeah frigid! Heading to bed at 9 degrees. Leave the water running again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 Yeah frigid! Heading to bed at 9 degrees. Leave the water running again. Ya snow or no snow this has been a very cold January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 Temp down to -2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Took few snow pictures around UNCA today. I'll post few of them tomorrow when I do have time. In meanwhile, it look like the low temperature forecast from NWS might get shattered. Already down to 8 degrees at KAVL and it's forecasted to be 8 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 Temp down to -6 so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Temp down to -6 so far. Yikes! How high off the ground is your thermometer? Also is it in a low spot? Looks like you are currently tied with Burnsville as the coldest spot in the State this morning! Looking at the models this morning..hmm don't really see anything but the potential of a lot of rain until 240 hours out on both the Euro/GFS which of course it too far forward to take seriously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Hit -6 this morning around 6am, by 6:10 it had jumped up to -2, now back down to -4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 -2.2° in Weaverville! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Looks like the airport actually got the inch of snow. 28 22 16 19 -19 46 0 0.14 1.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 -2. Euro has a past bomb day 8-9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Nice inversion going on this morning. I'm at 14.8 while areas around Burnsville are as cold as -5. Don, Weaverville officially reporting -3.1. Brrrrrrrrr!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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