Hvward Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Just ran a bufkit analysis on the latest RAP and its saying between 4-5" of snow with 16:1 rates, 6" with 20:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Just ran a bufkit analysis on the latest RAP and its saying between 4-5" of snow with 16:1 rates, 6" with 20:1 Was that with the 12z or 13z run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I'm leary of taking the RAP at face value. A lot of discussion in the main thread of it having a N & W bias.....hope I'm wrong though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 it was 11z, hold on for some reason they just updated again so give me a sec and ill run it again the 13z data is now up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hoi_polloi9 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Ahh, its in utc? It's confusing to me as well. If I understand it correctly. 13Z would be 1PM London time. Subtract 5 hours = 8AM. This done on military time so when-ever you see a number greater than 12, subtract 12. 0600 = 6AM. 1000 = 10 AM. 1300 (13-12) = 1 PM. 2000 (20-12) = 8PM. Hope that helps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 RAP 13z Bufkit KAVL 16:1 rates: 4.2" 20:1 rates: 5.2" 23:1 rates: 5.9" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 its very frustrating here in the escarpment of the blue ridge seeing it snow on the ridge tops a couple miles away and you can barely squeeze out a flurry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 RAP 13z Bufkit KAVL 16:1 rates: 4.2" 20:1 rates: 5.2" 23:1 rates: 5.9" The RAP seems to have the Plott Balsams at ground zero..maybe 9"? Ha. We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 The RAP seems to have the Plott Balsams at ground zero..maybe 9"? Ha. We shall see. Haha I wouldn't take it at face value but I am sure you know that ha. It will be interesting to see if it verifies though! This is the type of storm that your property cashes in on so I look forward to hearing some obs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Snowing in the teens. Not too heavy just steady snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Snowing in the teens. Not too heavy just steady snow. Same here in downtown Asheville. Roads a little wetter but white mostly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Would be nice to see the precip intensify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 UNC Asheville cancelled classes for the day, calling it a surprise snow. It's snowing somewhat good here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 1" of new snow..2" on the ground with temp of 19 up top. Snow has slacked off but seems to have picked up again just recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triadwx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Enough snow has fallen that the plows are able to plow the streets. And I swear, it seems like every school as cancelled except ASU. Frustrating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 UNC Asheville cancelled classes for the day, calling it a surprise snow. It's snowing somewhat good here. Surprise?! It has been in the cards for days now. Only thing is that it wasn't broadcast by media, social media, or NWS GSP. So it looks like a "surprise." Given all our communication methods of today, it's amazing how stuff like this still happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K4CF Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Not a flake here. A friend south of Burnsville said it's been snowing all morning and that he's approaching 2 inches. Any snow now Joe? Its picked up here across the river Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I think Tracker may have been right on the money last night with 2-4 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Any snow now Joe? Its picked up here across the river Finally getting a flurry now. I'm satisfied, just didn't want to get totally shut out. Even had a peek of sun about 10 minutes ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 GSP just had an update. Extending the advisory to Haywood and Transylvania counties, but no love for Buncombe still. I find it hard to believe we won't reach at least advisory criteria snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Surprise?! It has been in the cards for days now. Only thing is that it wasn't broadcast by media, social media, or NWS GSP. So it looks like a "surprise." Given all our communication methods of today, it's amazing how stuff like this still happens. It's frustrating, isn't it? UNCA pulling the plug on the day when it started to snow tells me that they have no confident in the forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K4CF Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Surprise?! It has been in the cards for days now. Only thing is that it wasn't broadcast by media, social media, or NWS GSP. So it looks like a "surprise." Given all our communication methods of today, it's amazing how stuff like this still happens. That is so true...You know if I depended on the news media for any severe weather, I would be ill-prepared and possibly in a dangerous situation at times. Like the rest of you all, I've been looking at every model and map since last Friday...the globals as well as the outliers. The gradual NW shift and degrees of intensity that this storm has taken doesn't surprise me at all. If I were in a position to inform the public on a mass scale, I think I would try to be as informed as possible. Rant over...back to watching it snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Updated snow map from the NWS. Balsams mtns now show up to 4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Is anyone else getting a little worried about the lack of intensity? It's just been flurrying at UNCA for the last 3 hours... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 WXRISK.com posted this hi-res RAP image assuming 15:1 ratio. SW wind enhancement is evident around the Balsams with downsloping evident near Asheville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Is anyone else getting a little worried about the lack of intensity? It's just been flurrying at UNCA for the last 3 hours... Wow really? I've been watching the Downtown Asheville Cam and it was putting it down earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Anything wrong with this map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K4CF Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 WXRISK.com posted this hi-res RAP image assuming 15:1 ratio. Robert at WxSouth is a genius and a radical at the same time...He was calling for the DELMARVA peninsula to get snow almost 24 hrs ago! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainforrest Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 snow rate picking up again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Anything wrong with this map? The strangest thing about this is the snowfall totals map has most of Buncombe county getting 2 inches or so. That's certainly advisory level, isn't it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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