NavarreDon Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Some morning pics.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K4CF Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Currently 9oF and flurries with 2-3" on the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Beech Mountain in Avery Time: 2014-01-03 13:00 UTCEvent: 5.0 SNOWSource: LAW ENFORCEMENTRemark: STRONG WIND MAKES MEASURING DIFFICULT. AROUND 5 INCHES OF SNOWFALL. -2 DEGREES. http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/lsr/#GSP/201401021950/201401031515/0100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2014 Author Share Posted January 3, 2014 Very cold morning out. Low of 3 degrees with a general 2-3 inches of snow on the ground. Hard to really tell because the wind was howling through the whole night. There are spots of a dusting the there are 6 inch drifts. Even though there are hardly any clouds in the sky we have been getting flurries all morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moonhowl Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 I have about a half inch here in West Asheville, around an inch in the Thanksgiving storm but 20 minutes from me, KAVL seems to never get any at all. very interesting. Back when I used to work in downtown Avl, during NW flow events almost always when snow flurries and snow showers were occurring you could look south toward KAVL and see that the sun was out south of town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K4CF Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Very cold morning out. Low of 3 degrees with a general 2-3 inches of snow on the ground. Hard to really tell because the wind was howling through the whole night. There are spots of a dusting the there are 6 inch drifts. Even though there are hardly any clouds in the sky we have been getting flurries all morning. Same here 85...absolutely the bluest sky here with very fine particle snow flying...the west facing slopes are still whited in here...temp now up to 15oF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2014 Author Share Posted January 3, 2014 Same here 85...absolutely the bluest sky here with very fine particle snow flying...the west facing slopes are still whited in here...temp now up to 15oF Yep I forget what that is called when all the moisture is being wrung out of the atmosphere. Boy is it beautiful outside though. Looking for more Sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Back when I used to work in downtown Avl, during NW flow events almost always when snow flurries and snow showers were occurring you could look south toward KAVL and see that the sun was out south of town. I can attest to this working and living downtown. It seems like Town Mountain and Reynolds Mountain funnel a few flakes our way but they never make it much farther then Biltmore. Looking at the 12z nam & 12z gfs they both show decent moisture with a good cold shot. It is nice to see them agreeing this far in advance. With this looking to be more of a synoptic event I feel that location within Buncombe County will be less of a factor then last nights snow. The gfs shows another low working its way from the coast of FL directly northward as our front pushes through. It will be interesting to see if we can some interaction to occur between the two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2014 Author Share Posted January 3, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2014 Author Share Posted January 3, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K4CF Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Nice shots! Is that multiflora rose bushes up on the hill? or blackberry bushes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2014 Author Share Posted January 3, 2014 Nice shots! Is that multiflora rose bushes up on the hill? or blackberry bushes? Ah blackberry bushes. My wife makes our own blackberry jam. As you can see we have pots of wood ready for the cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K4CF Posted January 3, 2014 Share Posted January 3, 2014 Ah blackberry bushes. My wife makes our own blackberry jam. As you can see we have pots of wood ready for the cold. Thats great...I have blackberry bushes mixed in with the multiflora roses in my cow pasture...those things are the devil if you've ever dealt with them...they grab hold of you and wont let go without bringing a little blood lol! I hear ya on the firewood...Im bringing out the seasoned locust to carry me thru Monday-Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2014 Author Share Posted January 3, 2014 Thats great...I have blackberry bushes mixed in with the multiflora roses in my cow pasture...those things are the devil if you've ever dealt with them...they grab hold of you and wont let go without bringing a little blood lol! I hear ya on the firewood...Im bringing out the seasoned locust to carry me thru Monday-Wednesday Ah there ya go. We have white oak, maple, and locust also. Going to need it. Man have not seen this type setup in years or this type cold for years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 3, 2014 Author Share Posted January 3, 2014 Both the NAM and GFS comes in a little wetter with this next event. Going with 2-4 inches around 2000 feet and 3-6+ in the higher elevations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Both the NAM and GFS comes in a little wetter with this next event. Going with 2-4 inches around 2000 feet and 3-6+ in the higher elevations. Liking the sound of that 85! Well my forecast low is 16° & I am currently @ 16.5°. A bust on the low side looks likely! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 4, 2014 Author Share Posted January 4, 2014 Liking the sound of that 85! Well my forecast low is 16° & I am currently @ 16.5°. A bust on the low side looks likely! Lol Ya Don going to be a cold one. Already down to 11 degrees at the house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Confidence building for more significant Mountain Snow Event Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ASU2014 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Snow falling yesterday on campus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
landof2rivers Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Temperature is rising here tonight above Boone. The highest I saw on the thermometer today was 15. Temp then dropped to 13, but has risen since then. Thermometer is now showing 17. Anyone in the area noticing rising temps? I ask because I think 13 was forecast to be the low for overnight and I didn't see where temps may rise beforehand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 00z nam coming in much more dry as of hr 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Temperature is rising here tonight above Boone. The highest I saw on the thermometer today was 15. Temp then dropped to 13, but has risen since then. Thermometer is now showing 17. Anyone in the area noticing rising temps? I ask because I think 13 was forecast to be the low for overnight and I didn't see where temps may rise beforehand. Must be some sort of inversion up there? We are slowly dropping & down to 13.8 in Weaverville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 4, 2014 Author Share Posted January 4, 2014 Thought this was interesting looking at the weather just across the boarder in TN they are more gun ho on a significant NW flow snow setting up all the way through Tuesday morning which the GFS supports this. GSP has not really been hitting this at all. only have us at about 30 to 40 percent chance of snow Monday then clear. Here is what I am talking about. ANOTHER...EVEN STRONGER STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE REGION SUNDAYAND SUNDAY NIGHT...WITH ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL LIKELY BY SUNDAYEVENING ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ABOVE 2000 FEET...INCLUDINGMUCH OF THE NORTHERN CUMBERLAND PLATEAU...THE MOUNTAINS OFSOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND ALONG THE TENNESSEE/NORTH CAROLINA BORDER.THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION IN THEVALLEY SUNDAY NIGHT WHICH MAY RESULT IN HAZARDOUS DRIVINGCONDITIONS FOR THE MORNING COMMUTE ON MONDAY.ACCUMULATING SNOW COULD CONTINUE ALL THE WAY INTO TUESDAY MORNINGACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND ALONG THE TENNESSEEAND NORTH CAROLINA BORDER AS A STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW REMAINS INPLACE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Yeah '85 was looking at both bufkit's last night and both showed good snow growth all the way through tuesday with relative humidity around 70%. This set up is very dynamic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Return flow is working it's magic in Weaverville this am. Temps have risen 3° in less than a hour! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 00z NAM looks to have been an outlier coming in very dry and now has came back around on the 06z agreeing with the solution the GFS was hinting of. Temps should crash sunday night and the fun will begin, I think 3-5 inches in the valley is not a far stretch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 00z NAM looks to have been an outlier coming in very dry and now has came back around on the 06z agreeing with the solution the GFS was hinting of. Temps should crash sunday night and the fun will begin, I think 3-5 inches in the valley is not a far stretch. If that call verifies it would be our best snow since the winter of 10-11! .....yes please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 00z NAM looks to have been an outlier coming in very dry and now has came back around on the 06z agreeing with the solution the GFS was hinting of. Temps should crash sunday night and the fun will begin, I think 3-5 inches in the valley is not a far stretch. If that call verifies it would be our best snow since the winter of 10-11! .....yes please. I think 3-5" is far too high. The precip is fast-moving and upslope on the GFS and Euro look weak since the winds are more northerly this time. My best guess for AVL is around 1" if we are lucky. Upslope areas 2-4" only because the wind direction is not genuinely orthogonal enough (yet) for me to go with higher amounts. Sent from my steam-powered printing press. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 I think 3-5" is far too high. The precip is fast-moving and upslope on the GFS and Euro look weak since the winds are more northerly this time. My best guess for AVL is around 1" if we are lucky. Upslope areas 2-4" only because the wind direction is not genuinely orthogonal enough (yet) for me to go with higher amounts. Sent from my steam-powered printing press. HT, when you say AVL , is that KAVL or downtown? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 I think 3-5" is far too high. The precip is fast-moving and upslope on the GFS and Euro look weak since the winds are more northerly this time. My best guess for AVL is around 1" if we are lucky. Upslope areas 2-4" only because the wind direction is not genuinely orthogonal enough (yet) for me to go with higher amounts. Sent from my steam-powered printing press. HT, when you say AVL , is that KAVL or downtown? Good catch. KAVL with half inch. Downtown with one inch. Sent from my steam-powered printing press. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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