K4CF Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Congrats to yall mountain folks seeing snow on christmas eve. Fair amount of moisture showing up on radar in WV,KY, SWVA, NWNC should offer atleast a few hours of snow. Thank you...Hopefully everyone will see some more snow this season...Merry Christmas to you and yours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCCatawba Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Snowing in Boone! http://www.resortcams.com/webcameras-king-street-boone.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Light snow falling here in downtown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 24, 2013 Author Share Posted December 24, 2013 A nice burst of snow has come in. We had snow last night and when I got home from work the cars were covered. Know the temp in down to 23 degrees with snow starting to dust the ground but because of the recent warmth and all the rain the snow is having a hard time laying on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 24, 2013 Author Share Posted December 24, 2013 The radar looks great coming from TN. Big win for the GFS showing this. The NAM was like what moisture. Things should really pick up in the next hour for the favored upslope regions. Crazy surfaces are starting to stick better. Still snowing moderately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 We had on & off bursts of moderate snow today. No accum. but, pretty to watch though. One thing I can tell is it's windy and cold....28.0° in Weaverville, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 24, 2013 Author Share Posted December 24, 2013 We had on & off bursts of moderate snow today. No accum. but, pretty to watch though. One thing I can tell is it's windy and cold....28.0° in Weaverville, Yep same here Don. I thought the moisture in TN would make it over the mountains but I was wrong. Nice to see the flakes flying though. Windy with temp of 23 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted December 25, 2013 Share Posted December 25, 2013 Met..passed through on I40 overnight.and yes there is some snow on the ground in Haywood County near the TN border...almost enough to qualify for a white Christmas..very nice! Merry Christmas! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted December 25, 2013 Share Posted December 25, 2013 Nice cold Christmas morning here in Weaverville. Got down to 14.5°.........Hope you all enjoy the day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted December 25, 2013 Share Posted December 25, 2013 Merry Christmas mountain folks! Hopefully a couple of you are enjoying a powdered sugar christmas. I believe we will have a lot more to post about in the next couple of weeks seeing as the indices seem to be going somewhat favorable. I am excited to use my new infrared thermo to check road and grass temps. I believe that if we can pull the -nao predicted for jan. and the jetstream will track lows from the gulf across the panhandle and to the nc/sc coast, we here in the mountains can really cash in. Lining up a couple of crucial blocking's has been painstaking over the last few years but it looks like we might have a window opening. On that note Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted December 26, 2013 Share Posted December 26, 2013 You higher elevation folks may get a surprise from the system this weekend. The 12 NAM shows 850s cold enough for snow. Maybe more so for Virginia but maybe also for northern NC mountains: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 26, 2013 Author Share Posted December 26, 2013 Met..passed through on I40 overnight.and yes there is some snow on the ground in Haywood County near the TN border...almost enough to qualify for a white Christmas..very nice! Merry Christmas! Ya it was very nice Christmas eve. We had some heavy burst of snow. Nice cold Christmas morning here in Weaverville. Got down to 14.5°.........Hope you all enjoy the day! YaDon we dot down to 9 yesterday morning. It was nice it felt like Christmas. Merry Christmas mountain folks! Hopefully a couple of you are enjoying a powdered sugar christmas. I believe we will have a lot more to post about in the next couple of weeks seeing as the indices seem to be going somewhat favorable. I am excited to use my new infrared thermo to check road and grass temps. I believe that if we can pull the -nao predicted for jan. and the jetstream will track lows from the gulf across the panhandle and to the nc/sc coast, we here in the mountains can really cash in. Lining up a couple of crucial blocking's has been painstaking over the last few years but it looks like we might have a window opening. On that note merry xmas to you guys and all of your families, I hope it is blessed! I think we could see several different opportunities for snow over this next month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 NAM shows the beginning of an ice storm here in the mountains early new years eve with the temps aloft crashing. GFS says nbd just a couple showers here nothing to see. None the less GFS shows a nice hit for us on the 1/2 & 1/3 storm so I have a good feeling we will be talking about something frozen pretty soon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 27, 2013 Author Share Posted December 27, 2013 NAM shows the beginning of an ice storm here in the mountains early new years eve with the temps aloft crashing. GFS says nbd just a couple showers here nothing to see. None the less GFS shows a nice hit for us on the 1/2 & 1/3 storm so I have a good feeling we will be talking about something frozen pretty soon! Ya I think we may get a couple of upslope events the next ten days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 NAM shows the beginning of an ice storm here in the mountains early new years eve with the temps aloft crashing. GFS says nbd just a couple showers here nothing to see. None the less GFS shows a nice hit for us on the 1/2 & 1/3 storm so I have a good feeling we will be talking about something frozen pretty soon! Not to hijack the mountain thread. But if the NAM is correct then it will be too warm for ice in the mountains... if fact the overall setup no ice period. Looks to be a R>S system with the top down cooling. http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=NAM&grid=221&model_yyyy=2013&model_mm=12&model_dd=27&model_init_hh=06&fhour=84¶meter=TMPF&level=2&unit=M_ABOVE_GROUND&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false# Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 Not to hijack the mountain thread. But if the NAM is correct then it will be too warm for ice in the mountains... if fact the overall setup no ice period. Looks to be a R>S system with the top down cooling. http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=NAM&grid=221&model_yyyy=2013&model_mm=12&model_dd=27&model_init_hh=06&fhour=84¶meter=TMPF&level=2&unit=M_ABOVE_GROUND&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false# Ah thanks NC. Just finished my first semester at Mississippi State so I am still learning how to exactly read things. I figured I would throw my opinion in for a critique. How does a system like this compare to a warm nose that causes icing? Does it have to do with the storms tilt as it comes ashore? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 Ah thanks NC. Just finished my first semester at Mississippi State so I am still learning how to exactly read things. I figured I would throw my opinion in for a critique. How does a system like this compare to a warm nose that causes icing? Does it have to do with the storms tilt as it comes ashore? I may not be entirely right but to an extent yes. More of a factor is the placement of the ULLs. Which my climo is different from yours so its hard to compare. But generally you want the ulls to be close enough to each other so the thermal profiles are close together. Typically what provides ice in the piedmont is a miller b setup... which one low(surface and 850) typically goes along the mountains while transfering to a coastal but there will be a sw flow aloft caused by the 850 while having a hp pushing in cold air at the surface. Maybe there is someone more knowledgeable to explain it better. I can honestly say writing in life has not been a strong hold of my... Ive always found it difficult to explain my thoughts on paper. But if the nam is right then this will be a cold pocket aloft meaning below freezing from about surface all the way up to the top of the clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted December 27, 2013 Share Posted December 27, 2013 Thanks NC I appreciate the explanation. What your saying makes a lot of sense and I agree the sw flow plays a big part. It will be interesting to see how this all plays out. I would imagine if this scenario manifests itself, those above 3500' will stand a much better shot at accumulating snowfall then the Asheville area which lies aprox. 2000' & 2200' above sea level. '85 tends to be 6-8 degrees colder then I am on a typical day, so he could have blizzard conditions at his house 30 miles away and there will be clear skies over downtown with 0% chance of snow. Maybe we can get MikeGold to post a Bufkit analysis, I always enjoy looking at those because it gives us a better idea of what elevations will see what precip. type. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 NAM looks to be keeping places like Beech Mtn. & Boone in the snow from around 033hr on out to the 076hr mark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Heavy snow and 35 degrees on the mtn currently..surprise? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Now 31..ground covered..heavy snow continues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Heavy snow and 35 degrees on the mtn currently..surprise? Please post some pics.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Now 31..ground covered..heavy snow continues Thats awesome Mike! 38 at my place, will be interesting to see where this goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCCatawba Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Nice little cold pocket of air supportive of his -SN ob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 28, 2013 Author Share Posted December 28, 2013 Now 31..ground covered..heavy snow continuesic Nice Mike! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted December 28, 2013 Share Posted December 28, 2013 Ugh..now just rain and 32..less than one inch of snow. I was excited for a minute considering the amount of precip expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 30, 2013 Author Share Posted December 30, 2013 Well getting in under 100 hours a way I thought we may need to focus out attention to this arctic blast coming in towards the end of the week. Looks like we could have a significant snow event for the upslope regions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 30, 2013 Author Share Posted December 30, 2013 We could also see some flakes flying today closer to the TN/NC boarder. Bob the man ans GFS showing this today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted December 30, 2013 Share Posted December 30, 2013 Was thinking the same thing '85. Today would be a perfect day to drive up the parkway and sit at an overlook to see a little snow! Too bad it is a Monday. I am looking forward to seeing how cold this airmass is that has been modeled. I saw a couple of maps that had Boone barely making it into the single digits. It will be interesting to see if this verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 30, 2013 Author Share Posted December 30, 2013 Was thinking the same thing '85. Today would be a perfect day to drive up the parkway and sit at an overlook to see a little snow! Too bad it is a Monday. I am looking forward to seeing how cold this airmass is that has been modeled. I saw a couple maps that had Boone barely making it into the single digits. It will be interesting to see if this verifies. Ya I think this air mass could be one of the coldest air masses we have seen in 2 years. Will be interesting to see how it all plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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