Met1985 Posted December 18, 2013 Author Share Posted December 18, 2013 Well we got the cold air but no moisture. Go figure that has been our luck this year. Current temp down to 19 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Well we got the cold air but no moisture. Go figure that has been our luck this year. Current temp down to 19 degrees. Looks like yesterday evening worked out as expected. Some minor accumulations along the TN line to nothing more than flurries on my mtn top. Grandfather..84 mph wind gusts last night. Beech's webcam view suggests maybe an inch or so. http://www.resortcams.com/webcameras-pinnacle-inn.php I can't remember that last day it wasn't snowing here locally! Took this pic walking into work this morning-the snow is getting a little out of hand..and a massive storm is possible over the weekend. I actually will be down my mtn top Christmas day but not really expecting much weather at that time either. When will the pattern change? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K4CF Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Well we got the cold air but no moisture. Go figure that has been our luck this year. Current temp down to 19 degrees. Yep...as Ray said "15 minutes of shock and awe" last night...lots of power outages in Mitchell/Yancey counties for about 3 hours...Kudos to French Broad Electric! Those line guys are second to none when it comes to restoring power here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Looks like LeConte did quite well in the snow department: http://www.highonleconte.com/1/post/2013/12/its-a-very-dangerous-thing-to-do-exactly-what-you-want.html Very cool bear tracks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCCatawba Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Looks like that streamer brought thunder snow. 12/17/2013 0730 PM1 miles W of Bluefield, Tazewell County.Snow e0.5 inch, reported by public. Observed thunder snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Looks like yesterday evening worked out as expected. Some minor accumulations along the TN line to nothing more than flurries on my mtn top. Grandfather..84 mph wind gusts last night. Beech's webcam view suggests maybe an inch or so. http://www.resortcams.com/webcameras-pinnacle-inn.php I can't remember that last day it wasn't snowing here locally! Took this pic walking into work this morning-the snow is getting a little out of hand..and a massive storm is possible over the weekend. I actually will be down my mtn top Christmas day but not really expecting much weather at that time either. When will the pattern change? OK, now you're just rubbing it in our faces, Mike! Hmmm.... Snow on the face. I've forgotten what that feels like... By the way, where exactly in MI is home for you? I know that you've posted it before, but I can't remember. I have family in the Grand Rapids area, and they seem to have been getting decent lake effect snows recently, but nothing to the extent in your picture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 OK, now you're just rubbing it in our faces, Mike! Hmmm.... Snow on the face. I've forgotten what that feels like... By the way, where exactly in MI is home for you? I know that you've posted it before, but I can't remember. I have family in the Grand Rapids area, and they seem to have been getting decent lake effect snows recently, but nothing to the extent in your picture. That pic was of downtown Lansing. I used to live in Northern Lower Michigan's snow capital..Gaylord but now live in a more temperate area of Michigan near Lansing. Haven't got the tremendous lake snows that some areas have(Over 100" already!) but still they have been steady and frequent last couple of weeks. Interesting that you mention Grand Rapids..I'm spending New Years eve at a party there assuming the drive over isn't too bad. Pic is from the Keweenaw Peninsula during the recent snow blitz just to further make snow lovers in the South land drool! http://www.johndee.com/ (And over course the famous Twin Lakes Webcam:http://www.johndee.com/ncn/twinlakes_ncn.htm ) Oh-here is the latest shot from Snowshoe..obviously some areas did pretty good in the last NW upslope event!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K4CF Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 FWIW...last nights GGEM showing some upslope snow for the mtns on Christmas Eve...still waiting to see what the 12Z says Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Looks like it develops a coastal late but may give us some snow showers Christmas eve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K4CF Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 FWIW...last nights GGEM showing some upslope snow for the mtns on Christmas Eve...still waiting to see what the 12Z says ** 12Z GGEM trending more with some mtn snow...GFS showing it as far down as SW Virginia now** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 20, 2013 Author Share Posted December 20, 2013 Looks like the GFS is trending towards some snow showers Christmas eve and at least it will be cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 Mtn folk..get your snow shovels ready? A new.. must read article written by a NW Flow expert: http://cimmse.wordpress.com/2013/12/20/potential-for-a-surprise-nw-flow-snow-event-on-23-24-december-2013/ It appears the extremely heavy rain forecast for the Ohio Valley this weekend may result in intense snowbands Monday night/Tuesday for the NC mtns not well handled by the forecast models. Also..from the NWS forecast discussion this morning: "FINALLY...DEVELOPING NW FLOW MAY BRING SNOWSHOWERS TO THE NRN AND CENTRAL NC MTNS MONDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLYALONG THE TN LINE. WITH H8 TEMPS FALLING QUICKLY TO -10 TO 12 DEG CAND THE VERY MOIST UPSTREAM GROUND CONDITIONS...WE COULD SEE SOMERATHER VIGOROUS SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 Mtn folk..get your snow shovels ready? A new.. must read article written by a NW Flow expert: http://cimmse.wordpress.com/2013/12/20/potential-for-a-surprise-nw-flow-snow-event-on-23-24-december-2013/ It appears the extremely heavy rain forecast for the Ohio Valley this weekend may result in intense snowbands Monday night/Tuesday for the NC mtns not well handled by the forecast models. Also..from the NWS forecast discussion this morning: "FINALLY...DEVELOPING NW FLOW MAY BRING SNOW SHOWERS TO THE NRN AND CENTRAL NC MTNS MONDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE TN LINE. WITH H8 TEMPS FALLING QUICKLY TO -10 TO 12 DEG C AND THE VERY MOIST UPSTREAM GROUND CONDITIONS...WE COULD SEE SOME RATHER VIGOROUS SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT." Ha! I posted the bolded without refreshing Mike. Great read in that link. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 21, 2013 Author Share Posted December 21, 2013 Mtn folk..get your snow shovels ready? A new.. must read article written by a NW Flow expert: http://cimmse.wordpress.com/2013/12/20/potential-for-a-surprise-nw-flow-snow-event-on-23-24-december-2013/ It appears the extremely heavy rain forecast for the Ohio Valley this weekend may result in intense snowbands Monday night/Tuesday for the NC mtns not well handled by the forecast models. Also..from the NWS forecast discussion this morning: "FINALLY...DEVELOPING NW FLOW MAY BRING SNOW SHOWERS TO THE NRN AND CENTRAL NC MTNS MONDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE TN LINE. WITH H8 TEMPS FALLING QUICKLY TO -10 TO 12 DEG C AND THE VERY MOIST UPSTREAM GROUND CONDITIONS...WE COULD SEE SOME RATHER VIGOROUS SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT." Great read Mike thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 Yeah thanks Mike for that read, was very informative. I am assuming with this we would have a better chance of those snow showers making it out of the higher mountains and giving the valley's a dusting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 .SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...AS OF 245 AM EST SUNDAY...THE AXIS OF VERY HIGH PW/S WILL WORKQUICKLY EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA MONDAY MORNING. CATEGORICAL POPSARE WARRANTED ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT...THOUGH ADDITIONALEXCESSIVE RAINFALL ISN/T EXPECTED AFTER 12 UTC MONDAY AT THIS TIME.A STRONG NORTHERN STREAM UPPER LOW WILL PUSH ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTICSTATES DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN STRONG COLDADVECTION AND MODERATE NW FLOW. H8 TEMPS WILL FALL TO -12 TO -14 DEGC DURING THE MORNING HOURS ON TUE. WITH THE WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINUPSTREAM OF THE REGION OVER THE PAST COUPLE DAYS THE AIRMASS ISLIKELY TO CONTAIN MORE LLVL MOISTURE THAN INDICATED BY THE MODELS.I/VE UPPED SNOWFALL TOTALS THROUGH NOON TUESDAY TO AROUND AN INCHALONG THE TN LINE OF CENTRAL AND NRN MTNS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2013 Author Share Posted December 23, 2013 Looks like tomorrow we will see temps drop off steadily then we see snow coming in on Christmas eve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2013 Author Share Posted December 23, 2013 12z GFS still showing some snow coming in tomorrow but the NAM is not buying it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 12z GFS still showing some snow coming in tomorrow but the NAM is not buying it. Interesting setup coming over the next few nights imo. How do you think the models are handling that swath of moisture streaming across Kansas? If this front stalls off the coast, there will be a lot of moisture available in the area with cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K4CF Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 Interesting setup coming over the next few nights imo. How do you think the models are handling that swath of moisture streaming across Kansas? If this front stalls off the coast, there will be a lot of moisture available in the area with cold air. Apparently not very well, the 12Z NAM doesnt even show the swath of snow in eastern Kansas/Missouri now that's heading straight for us lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2013 Author Share Posted December 23, 2013 Apparently not very well, the 12Z NAM doesnt even show the swath of snow in eastern Kansas/Missouri now that's heading straight for us lol Lol was just going to say the same thing. The NAM does not handle upslope snow very well at all. Really most models do not handle it very well. Hvward like K4CF said this could be interesting. We are going to be dealing with a very cold airmass and some stiff NW flow winds. I like the GFS going forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K4CF Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 GSP afd just busted my white Christmas bubble...sounded good at the start...but not even an advisory The mountains are another story. A strong short wave will drop into theupper trough moving toward the area tonight and across the areaTuesday. In addition to the short wave...low level moistureincreases and deepens overnight and through the day Tuesday...along withcold advection and strengthening low level northwesterly winds. Also...instability develops as the low level lapse rate increases fromdiurnal surface warming and the low level cold air advection. That said...it is a quickshot of moisture and the best forcing moves just north of the County warning forecast area.Therefore...do not expect any significant accumulation from thedeveloping scattered snow showers. However...the precipitation rates could bequite dramatic if the instability develops as expected. This couldlead to some very brief intense snow showers...but still lightaccums limited to mainly the highest elevations of the northern mountains andpossibly the smokys...with few to no snow showers elsewhere acrossthe mountains given the limited nature of the accums...will not issue anadvisory but keep mention in the severe weather potential statement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K4CF Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Anyone seeing the snow on the radar in eastern KY? or perhaps in the SW mtns of NC? Looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Anyone seeing the snow on the radar in eastern KY? or perhaps in the SW mtns of NC? Looks good nothing falling here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 24, 2013 Author Share Posted December 24, 2013 We have snow! Temp is 29 degrees with a dusting on the vehicles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Winter is back! The Young propeller anemometer is getting rime ice build up so the WS425 sonic anemometer is more accurate in these conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Some very light flurries this am in Weaverville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K4CF Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 GSP saying another chance for some snow showers later this morning into early afternoon...returns on MRX radar are really popping up good now to my Northwest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K4CF Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Moderate snow shower now @ 26 oF Laying on elevated surfaces now at 2600' NC 261 (Roan Mtn), NC 197 (Unaka Mtn), and NC 226 (Iron Mtn) gaps near the TN line are now snow covered...lower elevations are ok....for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Congrats to yall mountain folks seeing snow on christmas eve. Fair amount of moisture showing up on radar in WV,KY, SWVA, NWNC should offer atleast a few hours of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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