Hvward Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Ya that storm was pretty god here in Haywood. Had some decent lightning and heavy rain. Bring on the severe weather! There will be snow on the ground in a week. Yeah was thinking about that this morning! There may be a little truth to those tales, it wouldn't hurt my feeling one bit to see more snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 So, I see there was a tornado warning in Western NC last night, huh? Impressive velocity scan for the mountains... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 19, 2014 Author Share Posted February 19, 2014 Enjoy this weather guys because it wont last long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 Enjoy this weather guys because it wont last long. Awwww.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 20, 2014 Share Posted February 20, 2014 Alright, I'm in for one more good blast of winter. Beginning around the first of March, let winter go full retard on us for a couple of weeks. Ice, snow, freezing rain, brutal sub-zero temps, insane wind chills, sleet, thunder snow, blizzard conditions, etc............. Then, let's wind it up. I want to hear a damn bird chirp. A little color would be nice too. Brown, grey, and white is getting old. My skin is dry and I'm so white I could lay down in the snow and disappear. The dogs are getting fat. One more shot. Deal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 20, 2014 Author Share Posted February 20, 2014 Alright, I'm in for one more good blast of winter. Beginning around the first of March, let winter go full retard on us for a couple of weeks. Ice, snow, freezing rain, brutal sub-zero temps, insane wind chills, sleet, thunder snow, blizzard conditions, etc............. Then, let's wind it up. I want to hear a damn bird chirp. A little color would be nice too. Brown, grey, and white is getting old. My skin is dry and I'm so white I could lay down in the snow and disappear. The dogs are getting fat. One more shot. Deal? Lol well Joe spring may not get into full swing until April bud. Hey I bet the birds will be chirping but they may be covered in snow also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Do any of you guys have thoughts on the potential March 1 storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeGold Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Do any of you guys have thoughts on the potential March 1 storm? Don't really see anything then looking at latest model runs. The Euro shows the potential of mtn snow next Wednesday. Perhaps that is what you are referring to? In general, which such cold hanging out just to the North going well into March-some hope that one of the waves will phase into something significant locally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 21, 2014 Share Posted February 21, 2014 Just because the moisture isn't there on the models currently doesn't mean it won't be in place when the low comes. I am focusing on the low tracks and up until the past few gfs runs, the next 3 storms were going to track from the gulf up north through the Atlantic or the far southern states. Imho this is what we need to watch. The last two gfs runs have shown light snow over wnc for the 26th/27th but I wouldn't even trust that until we begin to see it pop up under hr84. I think we are in a wait and see pattern where cliff diving should be at a minimum because we have already had a great snow storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 21, 2014 Author Share Posted February 21, 2014 Confidence is growing that we see some snow next Wednesday with another arctic blast coming down. It looks very impressive and could send most of the mountains back down near zero degrees again this winter. As for a big storm I just do not see it right know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 I've been so busy but from what I have been hearing what the models are showing for the next week or two are too far south and east for us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 22, 2014 Share Posted February 22, 2014 12z gfs drops 2-3 inches of snowfall across all of wnc around the first of March. Winter isn't over just yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted February 23, 2014 Share Posted February 23, 2014 Had some sleep in my eyes so to speak this am but, did I see a rain to snow paste job around 3/4 on the 6Z GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 23, 2014 Share Posted February 23, 2014 Yeah Don I think we see flurries tomorrow am. A 1-3 inch event during the week probably Wednesday morning. Then after that I think we have two chances at 3"+ snowfalls back to back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 23, 2014 Share Posted February 23, 2014 Yeah Don I think we see flurries tomorrow am. A 1-3 inch event during the week probably Wednesday morning. Then after that I think we have two chances at 3"+ snowfalls back to back. I know our snow chances are still pretty good in March for the mtns. but I'm getting a little impatient, seems like its always another 5 days or another 10 days, we're going to run out of time if something doesn't pop soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 23, 2014 Author Share Posted February 23, 2014 Euro continues to show below average temps through much of the period. Not sure of a snow storm of not but looks to stay cold for the next 9 days or so with troughs continuing to swing through the Eastern half of the country with the PV Just North of us in Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 24, 2014 Share Posted February 24, 2014 surprised there isn't a lot of chatter about the 3-3/3-4 storm. Frank Strait on his blog thinks wnc mtns could get a good thumping of snow that the cold air should be in place for that storm. might need the storm to track just a hair further south to be on the good ole northwest side of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 ..THE FORECAST FOR GRANDFATHER MOUNTAIN NC AT 5946 FT... .TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS 25 TO 30 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. .TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN THROUGH THE DAY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 44 MPH. .TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS. WEST WINDS 25 TO 30 MPH...INCREASING TO 30 TO 35 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 56 MPH. WIND CHILL VALUES AROUND 10 ABOVE AFTER MIDNIGHT. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS AROUND 20. NORTHWEST WINDS 30 TO 35 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 59 MPH. WIND CHILL VALUES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS BELOW ZERO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 12z nam and 12z hi res nam both have snow potential starting early tomorrow morning so I ran bufkit (cobb5 setting) on them both for fun. The nam gave KAVL .5" of snow and the hi res nam gave KAVL 2.1" of snow. SREF plumes support around .25" of snowfall so I don't think this is going to be much but it will be something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hoi_polloi9 Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 12z nam and 12z hi res nam both have snow potential starting early tomorrow morning so I ran bufkit (cobb5 setting) on them both for fun. The nam gave KAVL .5" of snow and the hi res nam gave KAVL 2.1" of snow. SREF plumes support around .25" of snowfall so I don't think this is going to be much but it will be something. It will be snow on my daughter's birthday!!!! She will love it but I will have to explain to her, no, it will not be enough to build all the snowmen, snow angels, snowforts and snowballs you want. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 12z nam and 12z hi res nam both have snow potential starting early tomorrow morning so I ran bufkit (cobb5 setting) on them both for fun. The nam gave KAVL .5" of snow and the hi res nam gave KAVL 2.1" of snow. SREF plumes support around .25" of snowfall so I don't think this is going to be much but it will be something. yep GSP not bitting I guess. But I hope your right and not GSP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Radar over middle Tennessee starting to light up. My temp is at 36.7, this could get very interesting around 3-4am. Good luck to all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 26, 2014 Author Share Posted February 26, 2014 Hvward, on 25 Feb 2014 - 11:46 PM, said: Radar over middle Tennessee starting to light up. My temp is at 36.7, this could get very interesting around 3-4am. Good luck to all! Ya not sure if we get anything much but flurries. These systems looks like junk. Both look about as disorganized as you can get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Ya not sure if we get anything much but flurries. These systems looks like junk. Both look about as disorganized as you can get. FWIW...the 9 o'clock GSP update sounds slightly more bullish than this afternoon. But I agree, I don't see us getting much more than flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Well that moisture dryed up pretty quick... Oh well, maybe some nwf flurries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Well that moisture dryed up pretty quick... Oh well, maybe some nwf flurries yep this winter has been much better but was hoping for one more descent snowfall before spring sets up shop. I've always said I would like two descent snowfalls and I'll be ready for spring. I know March here is still pretty good but with the models showing a nice snow event just to lose them is getting old. I figured one of these storms coming up would stick but we keep losing them. We are running out of time with these ten day events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 SREF really bulking up snow totals for March 1st The mean is up to .33 inches now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 SREF really bulking up snow totals for March 1st The mean is up to .33 inches now! Is that .33" liquid equivalent? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 Is that .33" liquid equivalent? Ha, no. I wish. .33 inches of snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 27, 2014 Share Posted February 27, 2014 What a miserable day here in Charleston. Rained all day and then a cold, dripping, heavy drizzle that continues. The air is hard to breath. My dry, pasty, scaly mountain skin dropped the humidity 2%. I need altitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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