Cory Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 Bummer! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted September 16, 2013 Author Share Posted September 16, 2013 How fast are the winds? Not too impressive-- gusty, with some gusts to tropical-storm force. And keep in mind, we we're in fhe S "eyewall". The most impressive thing with this was the lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted September 16, 2013 Author Share Posted September 16, 2013 The pressure has been remarkably flat. It's fallen about a millibar in the last hour, despite our being so close to the center. That's how we knew something was up. We were not surprised by the 7-am downgrade, given these pressure data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 Not too impressive-- gusty, with some gusts to tropical-storm force. And keep in mind, we we're in fhe S "eyewall". The most impressive thing with this was the lightning. So there is no way to get further north? The N eyewall is where its at unfortunately, and it looks like Sota la Marina is going to take a direct hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted September 16, 2013 Author Share Posted September 16, 2013 Hey, we're proud we made it into the S "eyewall." Our unbroken streak of core penetrations has at least been preserved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 Sorry Josh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted September 16, 2013 Author Share Posted September 16, 2013 So there is no way to get further north? The N eyewall is where its at unfortunately, and it looks like Sota la Marina is going to take a direct hit.See post earlier Re: road.Anyhoo, it's a TS. Zzzzzzz. Heading back for a nice evening in Monterrey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 Bummer man , this one was ripe with potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 See post earlier Re: road. Anyhoo, it's a TS. Zzzzzzz. Heading back for a nice evening in Monterrey. Yea... was just wondering if it was a side road that was taking you closer to the coast or if it was the main road (180). Bummer... it seems like the decoupling last night took its toll Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
apm Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 Of course it looks its best now: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
apm Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 Sorry, trying to post a gif file (Brownsville Radar) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
apm Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 This was such a bad forecast. I wonder if it was a typo: HURRICANE INGRID DISCUSSION NUMBER 15NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL1020131000 PM CDT SUN SEP 15 2013AFTER A SLIGHT JOG TO THE NORTHWEST EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON...INGRIDAPPEARS TO HAVE RETURNED TO ITS PREVIOUS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD COURSEOF 290/05 KT. AS A RESULT...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUSFORECAST TRACK OR REASONING ARE REQUIRED. HURRICANE INGRID SHOULDGRADUALLY TURN WESTWARD AND THEN WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TO THE SOUTH OFA BUILDING MID-LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS TEXAS AND NORTHERN MEXICO DURINGTHE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE NHC MODEL GUIDANCE HAS COME INTO BETTERAGREEMENT ON THE TIMING OF LANDFALL...WHICH SHOULD OCCUR IN ABOUT24 HOURS OR SO. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THEPREVIOUS ADVISORY AND THE CONSENSUS MODEL TVCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmanwx Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 Don't give up so quickly. This tropical storm probably has a stronger "back side" after landfall. Beware of possible flooding. You may wish to reposition on the low rise ("hill") just to your south, especially if the "catastrophic highway failure" of which you speak includes an ongoing bridge washout. PS: a small town to the south is Lavaderos (population 435). From there, you might travel farther north on a series of gravel roads. They're probably impassible if too wet, so don't chance it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 Congrats! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 He mentioned some wind, so by definition it beats Don. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 almost back. raining cats and dogs almost all the way back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted September 16, 2013 Author Share Posted September 16, 2013 Don't give up so quickly. This tropical storm probably has a stronger "back side" after landfall. Beware of possible flooding. You may wish to reposition on the low rise ("hill") just to your south, especially if the "catastrophic highway failure" of which you speak includes an ongoing bridge washout. PS: a small town to the south is Lavaderos (population 435). From there, you might travel farther north on a series of gravel roads. They're probably impassible if too wet, so don't chance it. Hey, snowman-- I have to be honest-- once it was downgraded, I lost my wood for INGRID. I may be desperate for a chase this year-- but not so desperate that I was going to shoot video of tropical-storm conditions along the highway. (I do hurricanes only. ) Add to this the curiously flat pressure trace, and I just found very little reason to sit in the car on the side of the highway for another few hours. Jorge and I decided that, since the event was really under-delivering, the best course of action was to get back up to Monterrey as fast as possible, before the very heavy rainfall would damage the roads too much. It's 5 pm and we're back in Monterrey. I'm in a nice, cozy hotel room and just grateful we got out when we did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewxmann Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 Well, you win some & you lose some I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted September 17, 2013 Author Share Posted September 17, 2013 Well, you win some & you lose some I suppose. Yep. That's what it is. I took a chance on Ernie last year and it panned out awesomely. I took a chance on this one and it didn't. I'm not going to let this one affect my future decisions-- I will continue to be liberal about my chasing decisions and err on the side of going for it, because my fear of missing a good landfall is much greater than my fear of chasing a turkey. This aside... Jorge is a really good friend of mine, and this was the first time we got to hang in three years. That alone made it worth the trip to Mexico. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 Awww. Bust aside, I'm Perry glad we chased Ingrid...it was a great opportunity to hang out with Josh...All the hours we were driving went as fast as Ingrid prior to landfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Hunter Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 The busts make the sweet ones all the more sweet. Trust me, I've been in your current shoes Josh soooo many times before, as you well know! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 Glad you still made the best of it Josh. Damn Manuel. Ingrid could have been 120 kt landfall without it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 Yep. That's what it is. I took a chance on Ernie last year and it panned out awesomely. I took a chance on this one and it didn't. I'm not going to let this one affect my future decisions-- I will continue to be liberal about my chasing decisions and err on the side of going for it, because my fear of missing a good landfall is much greater than my fear of chasing a turkey. This aside... Jorge is a really good friend of mine, and this was the first time we got to hang in three years. That alone made it worth the trip to Mexico. Awww. Bust aside, I'm Perry glad we chased Ingrid...it was a great opportunity to hang out with Josh...All the hours we were driving went as fast as Ingrid prior to landfall Get a room, you two Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 ^^ In La Pesca... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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