phil882 Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 Storm has really accelerated on radar... could be coming in as early as 12z the way thing are looking. Latest recon fix is at 23.0833N 96.4833W Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 goodluck guys! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 Should have some infrastructure just based on quick web search for Barra del Tordo http://www.mexicomike.com/tamaulipas/barra_del_tordo.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted September 16, 2013 Author Share Posted September 16, 2013 Should have some infrastructure just based on quick web search for Barra del Tordo http://www.mexicomike.com/tamaulipas/barra_del_tordo.html Yep-- it's one of the only towns of any substance between La Pesca and Tampico, and it's been on the forecast track for five advisories, so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohleary Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 NHC has her making landfall due east of Aldama Municipality at this point. About 22.92N, 97.77W. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 I hope Josh and Jorge are in position... the western "eyewall" is nearly onshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted September 16, 2013 Author Share Posted September 16, 2013 Hey, Phil & crew-- Jorge and I made the decision to hit the road at 3 am based on what appears to be a well-defined eyewall inching close to the coast on BRO radar. However, we confess to being puzzled by the discrepancies between the radar and the IR imagery, which just don't match up. In addition to this, we're a half hour N of Tampico, and we're still seeing the moon and stats though a high cirrus veil-- with calm winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 Cool thanks for the update Josh... the center on radar is definitely the real center, but despite its looking halfway decent on radar it looks like the upper level portion of the circulation completely decoupled over the past 6 hours and only now is deep convection starting to fire back over the center. Unfortunately without recon we don't really have a true estimate of the current intensity of Ingrid, but I'd estimate it is weaker than 00z (and the pressure was rising on the recon flights as the decoupleing took place which supports that theory). Good luck with the "eyewall penetration" and try to get into the northern portion of the feature on radar which recon was showing the strongest FL and SFMR winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 As it stands now you need to get N of that lake - Republica Espanola Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 I don't know, guys. Weirdest looking hurricane I can remember landfalling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted September 16, 2013 Author Share Posted September 16, 2013 We're hauling azz N, up the 180, in the direction of Soto La Marina. The sudden development and N jog of that eyewall feature caught us by surprise and we're now rushing to get into it. We're relying 100% on Brownsville radar at this point-- and we're completely ignoring the infrared satellite presentation, which is rather bizarre. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eyewall2005 Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 We're hauling azz N, up the 180, in the direction of Soto La Marina. The sudden development and N jog of that eyewall feature caught us by surprise and we're now rushing to get into it. We're relying 100% on Brownsville radar at this point-- and we're completely ignoring the infrared satellite presentation, which is rather bizarre. Good plan... hope you can get there in time! For what its worth IR shows blossoming convection over the radar identified center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 Halfway between San jose de las rusias (southern eyewall) and Soto la Marina (northern eyewall) Looks like it is barely gaining lat now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted September 16, 2013 Author Share Posted September 16, 2013 Almost to San Jose, Scott. I checked the radar and we beat the eyewall to this location-- awesome! Will call you in a minute Re: next steps. We can't run loops right now so we're not sure of the cyclone's heading. Heavy, blowing rain from the NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 Almost to San Jose, Scott. I checked the radar and we beat the eyewall to this location-- awesome! Will call you in a minute Re: next steps. We can't run loops right now so we're not sure of the cyclone's heading. Heavy, blowing rain from the NW. Pretty much due west... maybe 275 degrees is its heading. The eyewall is attempting to consolidate in the final moments, with convective elements wrapping on the S side of the center for the first time in a while. Looks like the centroid of the eye will be inland within the next several hours... probably by 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 Phone keeps dropping. Stay in San Jose for now. You may need to adjust N or S for an exact center penetration. Not sure if recon is going to get a fix in time to help out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 Phone keeps dropping. Stay in San Jose for now. You may need to adjust N or S for an exact center penetration. Not sure if recon is going to get a fix in time to help out. Recon is not gonna make it in time... this is < 1 hr till landfall. Its moving nearly due west now so I think Scott has the right idea... stay put and it looks like you take a direct hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted September 16, 2013 Author Share Posted September 16, 2013 Hey, guys! We're stopped at a random point in the highway due to a catastrophic road failure due to water-- we can't go further N. Our position is 23.5288N 98.0299W, just S of that highway junction. This is where we're gonna ride it out. Moderate rain and gusty winds-- and LOTS of lightning, some of it quite brilliant, with thunder. Pressure 1000.8 mb and falling slowly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 Looks like your in the SW eyewall feature... you will likely miss the center of the eye to the south unless you go north on 180... but it sounds like its impassable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted September 16, 2013 Author Share Posted September 16, 2013 Phil, that radar doesn't look anything like what we're seeing on the BRO radar. According to that, we're exactly due W of the center-- perfectly positioned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 Phil, that radar doesn't look anything like what we're seeing on the BRO radar. According to that, we're exactly due W of the center-- perfectly positioned. Here is a more zoomed out view. It looks like the center will pass by just to your north... If 180 is passable, I would try to move another 10-20 miles further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted September 16, 2013 Author Share Posted September 16, 2013 Bust! Lolz. Heading back to Monterrey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 I think the center is on the coast, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted September 16, 2013 Author Share Posted September 16, 2013 P.S. Phil, we're still getting W winds, which makes sense wince we're right in that S "eyewall" feature-- so we think you're right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StatenWx Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 P.S. Phil, we're still getting W winds, which makes sense wince we're right in that S "eyewall" feature-- so we think you're right. How fast are the winds? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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