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Major Flooding Occuring in Bolder, CO


phil882

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I'm surprised there hasn't been a thread on here yet, but there is a dangerous situation evolving in and nearby Bolder, CO currently. Take a look at some of the river gauges as the area has been slammed with 5-10" of rainfall over the last 48 hours.

 

bocc2_hg.png

 

For those that have been around a while... you might remember the historic river flooding that occurred at the Big Thompson River on July 31st, 1976 killing 143 people. 

 

bimc2_hg.png

 

Some of these locations experienced very heavy upslope rainfall last night, and it appears we are in a repeat performance (although not quite as heavy) tonight. 

 

Bolder_rain.gif

 

There has already been some pretty remarkable scenes as documented by media sources earlier today. Unfortunately the flooding thus far has already claimed 3 lives. Unfortunately things might get worse before they get better. 

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Yeah there is some discussion on the Central/Western subforum

 

This might be one of the strongest worded Flash Flood Warnings I have ever seen

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTEDFLASH FLOOD WARNINGNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO1158 PM MDT THU SEP 12 2013THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...  NORTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST COLORADO...  BOULDER COUNTY IN NORTHEAST COLORADO...* UNTIL 600 AM MDT FRIDAY* AT 1153 PM MDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED A NEW ROUND OF  SEVERE FLASH FLOODING IN FOURMILE CREEK...BOULDER CREEK...AND  LEFTHAND CANYON IN BOULDER COUNTY.  THIS IS A FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR THE FOURMILE BURN AREA...THE  CITY OF BOULDER...AND LEFTHAND CREEK. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW! THIS  IS A POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING SITUATION!* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... WESTERN  ARVADA...WESTERN WESTMINSTER...BOULDER...WESTERN  LONGMONT...SOUTHWESTERN BROOMFIELD...LAFAYETTE...NORTHWESTERN  GOLDEN...LOUISVILLE...SUPERIOR...LYONS...NEDERLAND...JAMESTOWN...  WARD...SALINA...NIWOT...ELDORA...ALLENSPARK...WALLSTREET...ROCKY  FLATS...BRAINARD LAKE...WHITE RANCH OPEN SPACE...ELDORADO  SPRINGS...CRISMAN...GOLD HILL...SUMMERVILLE...PEACEFUL VALLEY...  RAYMOND...MEEKER PARK...SUNSHINE AND LONGS PEAK.AT 1150 PM...BOULDER COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTEDSIGNIFICANT RISES COMING DOWN FOURMILE CREEK OUT OF THE FOURMILEBURN AREA AND INTO BOULDER CANYON. THIS SURGE IS EXPECTED TO REACHTHE MOUTH OF BOULDER CANYON IN THE CITY OF BOULDER WITHIN THE NEXT20 MINUTES. THERE WAS ALSO A 10 FOOT WALL OF WATER COMING DOWNLEFTHAND CANYON. RESIDENTS DOWNSTREAM CAN EXPECT A SIGNIFICANTINCREASE IN WATER LEVELS...EVEN EAST OF THE CANYONS...OVER THE NEXTHOUR.
IF YOU ARE NEAR BOULDER OR FOURMILE CREEKS...GET TO HIGHER GROUNDNOW!  DO NOT TRY TO OUTRUN THIS FLASH FLOOD!
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Speaking of comparisons to the 1976 Big Thompson Canyon flood

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTEDFLASH FLOOD WARNINGNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO1245 AM MDT FRI SEP 13 2013THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS EXTENDED THE* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...  SOUTHEASTERN LARIMER COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL COLORADO...* UNTIL 800 AM MDT FRIDAY* AT 1236 AM MDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED SEVERE FLASH  FLOODING CONTINUING IN BIG THOMPSON CANYON AND THE CITY OF  LOVELAND. FLOODING WAS ALSO OCCURRING ON THE LITTLE  THOMPSON RIVER AND IN SMALLER DRAINAGES IN SOUTHEASTERN  LARIMER COUNTY.  THIS IS A FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR THE BIG THOMPSON CANYON AND  LOVELAND. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW! THIS IS A LIFE THREATENING  SITUATION!* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...  LOVELAND...WINDSOR...ESTES PARK...BERTHOUD AND DRAKE.FLOOD WATERS ARE MOVING DOWN BIG THOMPSON CANYON FROM ESTES PARKINTO LOVELAND. THE FLOW CONTINUES TO INCREASE ON BOTH THE NORTH FORKAND THE MAIN STEM OF THE BIG THOMPSON RIVER. THE FLOW IN THE NORTHFORK OF THE BIG THOMPSON RIVER IS GREATER THAN IT WAS IN THE 1976FLOOD. THE FLOW ON THE MAIN STEM IS THE LARGEST SINCE THAT FLOOD.FLOOD WATERS IN THE CANYON AND IN THE CITY OF LOVELAND WILL CONTINUETO RISE THROUGH SUNRISE...AND FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO MOVEEASTWARD INTO WELD COUNTY.
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FLOOD WATERS ARE MOVING DOWN BIG THOMPSON CANYON FROM ESTES PARKINTO LOVELAND. THE FLOW CONTINUES TO INCREASE ON BOTH THE NORTH FORKAND THE MAIN STEM OF THE BIG THOMPSON RIVER. THE FLOW IN THE NORTHFORK OF THE BIG THOMPSON RIVER IS GREATER THAN IT WAS IN THE 1976FLOOD. THE FLOW ON THE MAIN STEM IS THE LARGEST SINCE THAT FLOOD.FLOOD WATERS IN THE CANYON AND IN THE CITY OF LOVELAND WILL CONTINUETO RISE THROUGH SUNRISE...AND FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO MOVEEASTWARD INTO WELD COUNTY.

 

Just knowing the history of that event... those statements are downright scary! 

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Speaking of comparisons to the 1976 Big Thompson Canyon flood

FLOOD WATERS ARE MOVING DOWN BIG THOMPSON CANYON FROM ESTES PARKINTO LOVELAND. THE FLOW CONTINUES TO INCREASE ON BOTH THE NORTH FORKAND THE MAIN STEM OF THE BIG THOMPSON RIVER. THE FLOW IN THE NORTHFORK OF THE BIG THOMPSON RIVER IS GREATER THAN IT WAS IN THE 1976FLOOD. THE FLOW ON THE MAIN STEM IS THE LARGEST SINCE THAT FLOOD.FLOOD WATERS IN THE CANYON AND IN THE CITY OF LOVELAND WILL CONTINUETO RISE THROUGH SUNRISE...AND FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO MOVEEASTWARD INTO WELD COUNTY.

Yep, here is that gauge cresting at record levels. 9'3 marks the previous record set during the Big Thompson Canyon Flood of 1976.

 

dkkc2_hg.png

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To me the patterns between the Nashville event and this upslope event do not look that similar.  The one May event was a synoptic type flash flood with the upper level jet playing a pretty big role in the event.   The boulder event was more typical of a front range heavy rainfall event with the strong easterly flow helping to focus rain along the front range.  Where this event is highly unusual is the scale of the heavy rains and how large an area that was covered and the fact that it occurred later than most of the big front range events.  Yes both had nice plumes of moisture but that's pretty much how you get major rainfall events.  Both did have a blocking high but the position was very different as was the location of the surface high.  That both occurred during similar MJO phases may or may not ne coincidence.  Anyway, those are my thoughts.

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The Colorado flooding, which flooded many more locations than Boulder, was considered biblical in some ways and I even heard 1,000 year flood for some locations. I know someone who lives in Greeley, CO. She told me that she is dry only because she is high up on a hill. However, it along with a good bit of Greeley is like an island now and she thinks she's stuck there for at least a couple of weeks. It may be several months before nearby bridges are repaired!!

Other cities hit very hard include Aurora and other parts of the eastern Denver metro, Manitou Springs near CO Springs, Estes Park (home of Stanley Hotel from the book and miniseries "The Shining"), and Lyons.

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The pattern today still looks ominous as low level easterly flow develops just behind a cold front in the vicinity of a weak upper trough.  So far it sounds like all my COMET friends are safe. 

Radar is already looking pretty bad. North side of Denver getting rocked now.

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Radar is already looking pretty bad. North side of Denver getting rocked now.

Wow, what a huge mess! Aurora and CO Springs are getting hit hard again. Also, Boulder, Lyons, and Estes Park among other areas are also getting still another soaking. Holy sheet!

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Wow, what a huge mess! Aurora and CO Springs are getting hit hard again. Also, Boulder, Lyons, and Estes Park among other areas are also getting still another soaking. Holy sheet!

 

Looks like the rain was limited somewhat by the lack of strong instability....the highest amounts showing up are in the inch to 1.5 inch range according to the radar with the heaviest activity now east of the mountains. Still that much rain with the ground already soaked is no picnic.  Looks like it should start drying out tomorrow. 

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