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Sept 11-12 Wednesday, Thursday Storm Threat


free_man

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Lost power earlier this eve from storm that toppled a tree onto power line outside my house. Heard a loud wind roar. Better than average lightning and thunder.

Re: Thursday's threat, to me it looks just as good as today's; there is no EML but bulk shear looks to be greater and 12hr Height falls are better than past two days were.

Looks like today could rock

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Here is some lightning I caught tonight just off exit 18 on I-89 in VT (Georgia, VT)

 

Great shots!

 

A timing question (I'm tarveling so no time to look myself).  I'm driving home from Philadelphia, leaving around 5:00p.m.  Any sense of the timing/placement of storms between there and GC (probably getting in around 10-11).

 

TIA, folks.

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lots of storm regeneration

 

Finally had a cell hold together for the best storm of the year for me here on the Midcoast last night. 1.00" of rain, 3/4" hail, and absolutely intense lightning. Power went out and stayed out until wee hours of the morning. Also lost cell service for about an hour. The lightning was the most violent I have seen in quite a few years. Very close Cloud/Ground strikes every 2-3 seconds, and spider lightning that continued for over an hour after the storm passed through.

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Long lightning show last night. We lost half a big maple to a lightning strike in the back yard. It fell on part of our vegetable garden but other than the damage to the tree, it only took out part of a cheap metal fence, the tomatoes, and the aptly named squash.

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The 12z ALB sounding isn't all that impressive but does show stronger shear.  The 12z OKX sounding is more impressive but does show a cap just above 500mb and with steeper lapse rates.  Given how they had much more convective overturning up near Albany yesterday and current sat trends we can probably look at OKX for similar instability values.  

 

The HRRR also isn't overly impressive with action later on.  Our best hope is the pre-frontal is active but it doesn't come through too early.

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000

WWUS81 KBOX 121435

SPSBOX

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA

1035 AM EDT THU SEP 12 2013

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>005-008>012-026-NHZ011-012-015-122000-

HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-

EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-

WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-

EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-

CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-

WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...

VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...

ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...CHESTERFIELD...

BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON...SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...

WORCESTER...AYER...JAFFREY...KEENE...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...

PETERBOROUGH...WEARE

1035 AM EDT THU SEP 12 2013

...A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE LATE TODAY AND

THIS EVENING ALONG WITH A LOCALIZED FLOOD THREAT...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN

AREAL COVERAGE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ACROSS INTERIOR SOUTHERN NEW

ENGLAND. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH

THE BEST CHANCE OF THIS BETWEEN 5 AND 10 PM. THE MAIN CONCERN

WILL BE FOR LOCALIZED STRONG TO DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH HAIL A

SECONDARY CONCERN.

HEAVY RAIN WITH THE STRONGER STORMS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN AREAS OF

POOR DRAINAGE STREET FLOODING. IN ADDITION...IF STORMS CAN TRAIN

OVER A SPECIFIC AREA THERE WILL BE A VERY LOCALIZED FLASH FLOOD

THREAT.

$$

FRANK

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