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Sept 11-12 Wednesday, Thursday Storm Threat


free_man

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I have the air on in the truck on calls. Muggy as hell

lol it's like 66/64 and damp. To each their own. But I was thinking of starting a fire when I got up this morning (but I'm in a summer only camp that definitely does not have the insulation like most normal homes). I will say it is muggier than it was this morning, but I wouldn't be turning on the AC anytime soon.

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It's about the farthest thing from cool out imaginable.. lol..there's nothing cool about today at all. As soon as the sun pops out here shortly..you'll be wiping with 3-5 rolls per sitting

PF and I think it's chilly with the rain and wind at 68 degrees and you think it's AC weather, to each his own. I was outside working on the yard pre rain and it was a little chilly. Apparently our definitions of uncomfortable are different. 68/66 is comfortable the rain and wind make it chilly
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PF and I think it's chilly with the rain and wind at 68 degrees and you think it's AC weather, to each his own. I was outside working on the yard pre rain and it was a little chilly. Apparently our definitions of uncomfortable are different. 68/66 is comfortable the rain and wind make it chilly

I dunno..radar estimates and radar itself..say it hasn't rained in your area much at all

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Instability is a non-issue tomorrow. We need to work on a trigger and wind shear isn't all that great either. Threat increases as one goes north toward the Canadian border or along/west of the Appalachians.

 

Yeah the EHI is not correlated to the greatest instability tomorrow which is indicative of what you said. The greatest shear will be in my neck of the woods in comparison to the rest of New England (with the overall max in Canada, NAM has around 40 knots here). It is mainly unidirectional as opposed to a substantial veering profile. I wouldn't rule out a tornado where flow becomes locally backed but again the key is getting a sufficient trigger before we can start anything. Either way if it does crank my chances are greater at shooting a nice shelf again over the lake as opposed to chasing a discrete supercell across the valley.

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SPC WRF brings some stuff into NRN NE this evening and overnight from like nrn NH and into ME. I can buy that.

 

Tomorrow looks rather interesting on the WRF as well. Even if it's too aggressive..another moisture surge and subtle height falls should kick off storms in NY state and migrate east.

Indeed. It's very aggressive. We'll see but the synoptic look is better than it's been with all the factors you mentioned.

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