wxmeddler Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Damit , in class thursday nights. Looked at clock. 702. Guidanced. Will be so glad when it 0z moves forward 1hr. 23/8/10/0 G If it were me, 25,9,10,0... In the end not a city killer day for a guidance. Still, ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 25/9/14/0 Was debating going 26 or 27 but suckered out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Well, great, went lower than everyone on the high again. Tomorrow is a different setup though so I am more confident. 23/10/16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 26/9/16/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Eek, starting to feel like I should've gone consensus for winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 24/8/13/0.00 Honestly, I thought 24 was pushing it high until I saw few 25 to 27 forecasts from other UNCA forecasters... how is everybody getting higher temperatures than me by few degrees even when I thought I was pushing it too high? Ugh... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 24/8/13/0.00 Honestly, I thought 24 was pushing it high until I saw few 25 to 27 forecasts from other UNCA forecasters... how is everybody getting higher temperatures than me by few degrees even when I thought I was pushing it too high? Ugh... All the models have a cold bias here apparently, even the all powerful euro. And it had 26F for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 All the models have a cold bias here apparently, even the all powerful euro. And it had 26F for tomorrow. Not really, it's all in the wind direction for BWI ... 20-25 is my range tomorrow. Hint: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Not really, it's all in the wind direction for BWI ... 20-24 is my range tomorrow. Hint: Using my own method against me are we. Lol different wind setups need different assumptions. I took that into account today and me and L.B LaForce calculated a temperature of 27F. He did his after the fact so post 0z. The parcel is descending still from a location in Canada between lake huron and lake erie and that descent was about 1500m from the 0z point of origin and the temperature of that area was around 0F. But, we shall see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 This is what I was referring to wxmeddler Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Lol, 7 kts for wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 I can not believe I only put 8 kts for wind. This will come back to haunt me. I was so busy yesterday I forgot to edit my numbers from the morning. I probably can say goodbye to my top spot at Millersville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 I can not believe I only put 8 kts for wind. This will come back to haunt me. I was so busy yesterday I forgot to edit my numbers from the morning. I probably can say goodbye to my top spot at Millersville Why, aren't the winds going to be only around 5 kts today? I would've thought you'd be happy with your wind forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 I hate this city even more than Fairbanks :\ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted February 28, 2014 Author Share Posted February 28, 2014 The wind should round up a bit more, but the peak was likely right around 6z with high pressure overhead today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Winds should be around 12 knots. I hope 15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 4 degrees in an hour without downsloping? Really? !@#$ this place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 The wind should round up a bit more, but the peak was likely right around 6z with high pressure overhead today. 05z. (Midnight-midnight) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Damn. I scrwed myself w/ guidance. ~Sent from a device that cannot speel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Should of stayed with my 27.... light/clam winds ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Well I figured out how to use HYSPLIT for the highs here it seems just need to be more conservative on the lows ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 I can't believe my wind forecast is holding. I was sure I'd get screwed over. Instead I'm #1 overall ATM. Top 2 spots are Millersville. Stunned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 27/11/13/0 climo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 OK. Climo came out 20 minutes ago. 27/11/12-13kts. My 8 will take a hit. No #1 for me. Damn. Oh well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Finished this week at national consensus with three bad days (two my fault and one guidance day). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Punching in the climo numbers I'll be 5th after week 1. Not sure how. Guess I need to remember to forecast next week while off from school. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 WxChallenge 10:51pm via Web After extensive voting, the 10th city of the #WxChallenge will be Grand Forks, ND (KGFK). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 WxChallenge 10:51pm via Web After extensive voting, the 10th city of the #WxChallenge will be Grand Forks, ND (KGFK). Of course... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 WxChallenge 10:51pm via Web After extensive voting, the 10th city of the #WxChallenge will be Grand Forks, ND (KGFK). Oh boy lol. That should be interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Good. Wayyyy better than Charlotte. Wish people had any interest in forecasting for Portland, OR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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