Mallow Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 As of now, I'm thinking 35/23/?/0.06 for the verification. It's all about the wind for me. If we don't see any higher hourlies today, I'm thinking 12-13kts is about all we've managed so far. If we do over the next 3-5 hours (I think we will), I'm still liking my 15kts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 I think 12 kts is a good guess at this point. Westerly (especially NW) winds downslope right onto the airport from the fall line (500ft/4mi). With sunshine 36 is a lock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Wind back up to 10kts, temperature only up to 33F so far. Gotta keep that high low and that wind high! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Out of the due west too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 35F, I'm thinking 36 is going to be the high today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Evening Climo: 35/23/12/0.06 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Missed the high and low by a degree so far and did pretty bad with precip. (had 0.02). Looks like the wind won't be any higher than the 12 knots on the climo report, I had 15 kts but I guess they didn't mix all that well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Hey guys, Don't forget to put in your vote for city #10. Voting ends 02/28. http://wxchallenge.com/challenge/city10_voting.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Evening Climo: 35/23/12/0.06 Could end up being 35F or 36F. I'm gonna need that 35F if the 12kts holds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 Could end up being 35F or 36F. I'm gonna need that 35F if the 12kts holds. Go Charlotte Go! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.B. LaForce Posted February 25, 2014 Share Posted February 25, 2014 I was hoping for another Alaska city... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 32/19/19/0.11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.B. LaForce Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Close! 32/19/19/0.10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 32/19/19/0.10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 30/16/22/0.11. I don't see why they shouldn't be able to tank tomorrow night. Low-level moisture shouldn't be an issue. Winds, I feel should be strong once the CAA hits them tomorrow, and the high, I couldn't calculate one above 30F tomorrow using Hysplit air parcel trajectories. The air was coming from northern Illinois and northern Indiana and I made sure to adjust the elevation change between the two places and still could only get up to 30F. But again, I feel I get unlucky ALL THE TIME! LMAO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 32/19/17/0.12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 33/18/20/0.10 Low confidence on the high/low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 34/18/21/0.16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Did one final air parcel trajectory calculation using HYSPLIT. Bufkit says we mix to 2000m agl so I used that as my highest using the 18z GFS and an end time of 18z. Well That green dot in ND was about -19.3889C and the air starts out 1500m higher than where it ends up at BWI, but I also added the elevation change between the two places so all in all I calculated I needed to add 17.5C to the starting temperature in ND to get -1.3889C which rounded up in Fahrenheit gave me 29F. If it only gets to 29F tomorrow I'll be damned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Only 0.02" precip., looks like I'll bust wicked high for today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 I guess downslope can overcome anything. FML Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Clouds broke early.. whoops. 35 here we come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 My home station is up to 37 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Well good thing it's warming up since I got killed on the precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Damn, I originally had 34F for a high and 0.08 for precip. Should've stuck with those numbers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 37 your station must not b shaded properly that seems warm compared to others around BWI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 37 your station must not b shaded properly that seems warm compared to others around BWI. It was only briefly when it coincided with max winds, my station is also 150ft lower than BWI. http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KMDSEVER7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 35 last hour with peak winds at 26kts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 That might get winds to verify in the 20-22 range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Whats the elevation of the apps just west of Baltimore? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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