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WxChallenge 2013-14


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Giving the fact the winds are calm and skies are clear it will have no problem decoupling tonight so I went 54/23/9/0 for tomorrow.

 

Edit: I upped the low by 1 degree looking at last minute sref data, and reasoning for upping the low was the fact that the dew point temperature will be constant in the low 20's along with increasing RH numbers. 54/24/9/0

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I couldn't find a higher high than 57 because of the high clouds tomorrow and possible inversion in the morning, but I guess I wouldn't be surprised with a high of 59, but more likely 55-57. Decided not to use dry adiabatic lapse to bring down the temp because of the cloudiness unlike today which was perfectly clear. 

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Day 3 = 21 and Day 4 = 19 LMAO. Wish I looked deeper into day 4 low. Didn't really notice the chance of going calm and clear for a long period of time. Knew about the pwats and dry air advecting in but not the calm nature of the winds. 

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41/27/28/0.

 

I know I'm probably way too bold with my wind forecast, but I need to make up ground and both NAM and GFS have some serious winds that are perfectly aligned in the boundary layer so I'm hoping they can mix them down.

 

Only person in the game to put 28 kts for their wind.  I thought I was being bold with 25.  Best of luck to you.

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