Quincy Posted September 6, 2013 Share Posted September 6, 2013 The Weather Challenge (WxChallenge) begins in a few weeks on September 30th. Who's in this year?For those of you who are not familiar with the Challenge, it's a forecast contest spanning an entire school year (contestants can participate in only one semester if they choose) and students, faculty, staff and alumni can participate. Cities are selected from around the country, so it's challenging for just about any forecaster. Don't forget to forecast though, because penalty points can rack up very fast! Click here for more information:http://wxchallenge.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted September 6, 2013 Share Posted September 6, 2013 Fall 2013 Houston, TX KHOU September 30 - October 10 Cheyenne, WY KCYS October 14 - October 24 Norman, OK*** NRMN October 28 - November 7 (OK Mesonet site) Concord, NH KCON November 11 - November 21 Grand Rapids, MI KGRR December 2 - December 12 Spring 2014 Atlanta, GA KATL January 27 - February 6 (AMS-2013) Fairbanks, AK PAFA February 10 - February 20 Baltimore, MD KBWI February 24 - March 6 Redding, CA KRDD March 10 - March 20 TBD* TBD March 24 - April 3 Springfield, MO ** KSGF April 7 - May 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted September 18, 2013 Share Posted September 18, 2013 Signed up today. username:jthyde Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted September 18, 2013 Share Posted September 18, 2013 I'll be nimbus again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted September 18, 2013 Share Posted September 18, 2013 negNAO again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderman Posted September 20, 2013 Share Posted September 20, 2013 Just mailed off the entry form and check today. Can't wait! jbaile again ... can't wait, should have lots of time to forecast this year for once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted September 23, 2013 Share Posted September 23, 2013 In charge of the Ohio State group and down as mike14 again! Super pumped! I'm going to really try to not miss days this year...Even if I have to forecast like 4 days out and lose some accuracy, those climo penalties really kill you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted September 23, 2013 Share Posted September 23, 2013 I'm doing it for my first time this year...in as OHUJMS. Looking forward to it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted September 23, 2013 Author Share Posted September 23, 2013 In charge of the Ohio State group and down as mike14 again! Super pumped! I'm going to really try to not miss days this year...Even if I have to forecast like 4 days out and lose some accuracy, those climo penalties really kill you! Missing days really hurts your score very quickly, especially if you miss more than one or two days. What you said is the best suggestion, submit forecasts in advance if you have to and you can always go back and change them later. I'll be participating as QUINCY / Category 0. (alumni) This time around I'm doing the entire school-year for the first time since I was in school back in 2008-09. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted September 25, 2013 Share Posted September 25, 2013 I'm in again this year. Mad about last year. I missed one forecast at the last city and I missed the tournament because of it. Fairbanks in February should be fun....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazess556 Posted September 28, 2013 Share Posted September 28, 2013 Looking forward to participating again this year as blazer in Category 0. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
battlebrick Posted September 28, 2013 Share Posted September 28, 2013 Going to do it, why not. Very excited! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted September 30, 2013 Share Posted September 30, 2013 Forecast day #1 due by 0z for KHOU (Houston Hobby Airport) A pretty normal day in Houston, warm, muggy, but a chance of showers in the afternoon as a mid level feature sits overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted September 30, 2013 Share Posted September 30, 2013 This is going to be one of those cities where your going to put 0.00" for precip for a week and then suddenly there is one day where they get like an inch and a half to kill your score. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted September 30, 2013 Share Posted September 30, 2013 This is going to be one of those cities where your going to put 0.00" for precip for a week and then suddenly there is one day where they get like an inch and a half to kill your score. Two years ago in Miami, I was in an easy place for a trophy on the last day.. Then it rained 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted September 30, 2013 Share Posted September 30, 2013 Two years ago in Miami, I was in an easy place for a trophy on the last day.. Then it rained 2". That day in Miami specifically popped into my head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderman Posted September 30, 2013 Share Posted September 30, 2013 It's on! Good luck everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted September 30, 2013 Share Posted September 30, 2013 Just FYI before we start in regards to what you can post pre-0z. Post 0z you can do whatever you want with the forecast you just made. Acceptable Forms of CollaborationDiscussions regarding meteorological conditions affecting the forecast, whether as part of a formal classroom setting or an informal briefing. The use of suggested ranges in forecast variables (e.g., by a briefer), provided these suggested ranges are reasonably wide and accompanied by a meteorological justification that the forecaster critically agrees with. Use of specially developed forecast tools developed "in-house", if such use is voluntary. Unacceptable Forms of CollaborationHaving another person or a group of individuals enter forecasts. The copying of specific forecast numbers provided by other team members. Entering or editing of forecasts based on team consensus, individual team member forecast numbers, or forecast ranges suggested by other forecasters that are not reasonably wide announced prior to the 0000 UTC deadline. (NOTE: Although reasonably wide forecast ranges may be given if accompanied with a meteorological justification, specific forecast numbers should never be posted or announced prior to the 0000 UTC deadline in any circumstance.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
battlebrick Posted October 1, 2013 Share Posted October 1, 2013 question: i was switching between 2 temps at around 00:00 UTC. I had one forecast in before then, but then when I tried to switch at 00:01 UTC, it said it was late. Will the old one still count and I will not be penalized, or does the new one count + penalized? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted October 1, 2013 Share Posted October 1, 2013 question: i was switching between 2 temps at around 00:00 UTC. I had one forecast in before then, but then when I tried to switch at 00:01 UTC, it said it was late. Will the old one still count and I will not be penalized, or does the new one count + penalized? The breakpoint is 00:01:00z. Anything before is today's forecast, anything after is put towards tomorrows forecast. The late message is just telling you we're late for tonight forecast, but since you entered one prior to 00:01z then that forecast is accepted and no penalty will be applied for today's forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted October 1, 2013 Share Posted October 1, 2013 Tropical cities are always a tough call on precip. I went 86/74/11/0.09 but it could easily end up being a Mr. Blutarsky day. Here's to another semester! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
battlebrick Posted October 1, 2013 Share Posted October 1, 2013 precip was hard 86/74/9/0.18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted October 1, 2013 Share Posted October 1, 2013 86/75/12/0.00 A little insolation in the morning and a helping of luck on the precip. Latest runs are putting that little mid-level low just a tad further to the east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 1, 2013 Share Posted October 1, 2013 Went with 86/76/13/0.00 Tough forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
battlebrick Posted October 1, 2013 Share Posted October 1, 2013 you're all making me feel nervous with these precip forecasts pray for a stray t-storm lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 1, 2013 Share Posted October 1, 2013 you're all making me feel nervous with these precip forecasts pray for a stray t-storm lol 0.18" is definitely possible tomorrow. 9kts max sustained winds, not so much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
battlebrick Posted October 1, 2013 Share Posted October 1, 2013 0.18" is definitely possible tomorrow. 9kts max sustained winds, not so much probably should have went with 10-11 kts, kind of kicking myself for that but we'll see what happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 1, 2013 Share Posted October 1, 2013 probably should have went with 10-11 kts, kind of kicking myself for that but we'll see what happens I don't even think 10 is reasonable, personally... but ya, we'll see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted October 1, 2013 Share Posted October 1, 2013 Now forecasting for Univ. of Washington this year. 87/74/11/0 Didn't put rain so it will probably rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 1, 2013 Share Posted October 1, 2013 86/74/13/0.00 for me tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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