Weathergun Posted December 1, 2013 Share Posted December 1, 2013 I don't think Don is canceling anything. He's only citing what the teliconnectors are indicating in conjunction with the analogues. He feels the EPO negative state will relax mid month resulting in a torched east due to the +AO flexing its influence. Historically, he's shown that the analogues do not maintain a -EPO for more than 30 days. Of course it's happened and it could happen this year but the odds of that are less than those of it becoming predominately neutral or positive. It could be another rough winter snow lover wise. I pretty much agree with Don S. But the Euro ensemble mean show some ridging working from NE of Greenland. That might prevent a prolonged torch over the Northeastern US for mid-month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted December 1, 2013 Share Posted December 1, 2013 I pretty much agree with Don S. But the Euro ensemble mean show some ridging working from NE of Greenland. That might prevent a prolonged torch over the Northeastern US for mid-month. Is it pushing NE towards NE Greenland? Or is relaxing towards Greenland? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted December 1, 2013 Share Posted December 1, 2013 Overall, I'd say that the chances of the NYC / Long Island area seeing at least 4 inches of snow during this December are fairly good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted December 2, 2013 Author Share Posted December 2, 2013 Even the NOGAPS has something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 3, 2013 Share Posted December 3, 2013 I have posted a topic of some interest to anyone who likes snow in the main forum, regarding the new NWS snow measurement guide: http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/41853-new-nws-snow-measurement-guide/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted December 3, 2013 Share Posted December 3, 2013 Not sure if anyone has noticed, but Wunderground is now displaying the temps recorded at the heliport in lower Manhattan: http://classic.wunderground.com/US/NY/New_York/KJRB.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 3, 2013 Share Posted December 3, 2013 Not sure if anyone has noticed, but Wunderground is now displaying the temps recorded at the heliport in lower Manhattan: http://classic.wunderground.com/US/NY/New_York/KJRB.html That's helpful to know, thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted December 3, 2013 Share Posted December 3, 2013 That's helpful to know, thanks! Yea, looks like they've been doing so since mid July, but it just showed up as one of the local "airports" for my zip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 Hey everybody, I was wondering if someone here could help me out. Does anyone know a website that would give information on winters around the NYC area before records began? Or if something such as a list of winter storms from the 1700 and early 1800's exist? I know there were eyewitness reports from folks back in the day and I'm just curious to read them. Thanks in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 Some must have hacked the 12z GFS post day ten. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 the operational models tend to show wacky things in the long range. some of us have known this for over 10 years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 the operational models tend to show wacky things in the long range. some of us have known this for over 10 years What's your point? This is a banter thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 the operational models tend to show wacky things in the long range. some of us have known this for over 10 years And so? Of course when that whackiness fits your trollish agenda for the last 12 years plus on weather message boards, the long range output is perfectly accurate with it's depictions right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 ..nick gregory (fox5,nyc) basically said once the cold is here it will stick around for awhile..with "successions" of cold air..he seemed happy saying it ! :-) great met.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Someone tell Lonnie Quinn it is not currently 21 below zero in Denver, CO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Isn't fall over?..time for winter banter thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Forgot to mention that I saw Joe Cioffi back on PIX11 news doing the weather forecast last weekend. I really missed him and glad he is back to this region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Hey everybody, I was wondering if someone here could help me out. Does anyone know a website that would give information on winters around the NYC area before records began? Or if something such as a list of winter storms from the 1700 and early 1800's exist? I know there were eyewitness reports from folks back in the day and I'm just curious to read them. Thanks in advance. The Great Snow Of 1717 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Great_Snow_of_1717 And check out Don S's personal accounts PDF from an older New England thread http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?app=core&module=attach§ion=attach&attach_id=13205 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Awesome, thanks man I really appreciate it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Is the ice impact forecasts a specific product for certain NWS offices or is that a nation wide graphic? NWS Memphis has an ice impact chart that I don't recall ever seeing before. http://www.srh.noaa.gov/meg/?n=ice_impact_index The forecast shows a strip of catastrophic icing just north of Memphis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Is the ice impact forecasts a specific product for certain NWS offices or is that a nation wide graphic? NWS Memphis has an ice impact chart that I don't recall ever seeing before. http://www.srh.noaa.gov/meg/?n=ice_impact_index The forecast shows a strip of catastrophic icing just north of Memphis Looks experimental. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Someone tell Lonnie Quinn it is not currently 21 below zero in Denver, CO. While I have respect for him as a person, he is a terrible met, well, he's not even a met. Falsely given the title of. Yesterday on the 5 o'clock news he said it was 7 below in Denver, when that was completely wrong. Turns out when I checked out later, that was the wind chill. IMO, CBS 2's whole weather team sucks, get some real mets in there please. The so called "meteorologists" they have don't even know what they're talking about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Momza Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 While I have respect for him as a person, he is a terrible met, well, he's not even a met. Falsely given the title of. Yesterday on the 5 o'clock news he said it was 7 below in Denver, when that was completely wrong. Turns out when I checked out later, that was the wind chill. IMO, CBS 2's whole weather team sucks, get some real mets in there please. The so called "meteorologists" they have don't even know what they're talking about. Bring back kasper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TonyLovesSnow Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 U can tell winter is upon us. Look at those winds I just can't wait I have a great feeling about this winter! Hopefully the NAO goes negative so we could get some stalled out blizzards! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 ^^^^^ Wrong thread lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 3, 2014 Share Posted November 3, 2014 I completely forgot about the time change and the model runs moving up in time. I just clicked on SV and was like what? the Euro is running already, and then I remembered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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