bluewave Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 Was that taken in Buffalo? The tweet sad it was from the Blizzard last February in CT, but it could be posted from another storm somewhere. https://twitter.com/WSAZJoshFitz/status/300318710781054977 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 Can we hold off of the play by play of the gfs for a day 9 storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 Can we hold off of the play by play of the gfs for a day 9 storm?Lol, back when they had threads on each model runs there would be hundreds of replies on 10 day storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 Can we hold off of the play by play of the gfs for a day 9 storm? Why? It's the only thing interesting that's happened in the last 5 months weather wise. I'm personally rooting for a 5" driving rain storm to knock out these dry conditions and put all the non sense talk about how storms can't happen in a dry pattern to rest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 Why? It's the only thing interesting that's happened in the last 5 months weather wise. I'm personally rooting for a 5" driving rain storm to knock out these dry conditions and put all the non sense talk about how storms can't happen in a dry pattern to rest. If nothing is interesting, it doesnt mean you still have to fill a quota of daily posts, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 If nothing is interesting, it doesnt mean you still have to fill a quota of daily posts, lol.this threat is interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 this threat is interesting The only thing that's a guarantee is that we are likely to see the coldest air mass of the season Sunday and Monday. Any storm is pretty much up in the air. The trend since September has been no storm or less precip than originally shown and I have to go with that right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 The tweet sad it was from the Blizzard last February in CT, but it could be posted from another storm somewhere. https://twitter.com/WSAZJoshFitz/status/300318710781054977 yep, it was shot about 5 minutes from my house. (we netted 30 inches here) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 yep, it was shot about 5 minutes from my house. (we netted 30 inches here) Epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 The setup at the end of the 06z GFS is a wet dream. Strong miller A down in the gulf once again with the freezing line down near Charleston. Snows for northern Alabama and Mississippi. The piece of the polar vortex breaks off and phases in while another is centered over Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Epic. KOKX BR 02.09.2013 0218Z.png I drove through some of Suffolk County the day after the blizzard and it was truly incredible what happened there. Around Rte 112 seems to be where the highest totals were, upwards of 30". It was very depressing having to turn back west to head back to my place where we received a measly approx. 12". That night was very frustrating being under moderate sleet while that orange/yellow band over Suffolk must have been 5"/hour snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Where's a good place to go to track region wide temperature departures for the month? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Momza Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 For the most part, I like the way we are easing into winter.Very positive signs on the long range..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 I drove through some of Suffolk County the day after the blizzard and it was truly incredible what happened there. Around Rte 112 seems to be where the highest totals were, upwards of 30". It was very depressing having to turn back west to head back to my place where we received a measly approx. 12". That night was very frustrating being under moderate sleet while that orange/yellow band over Suffolk must have been 5"/hour snow. yeah, we were just under that band, the western edge...we had 3-5 inch hourly rates here for a good 6 hrs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Where's a good place to go to track region wide temperature departures for the month? http://www.nws.noaa.gov/view/prodsByState.php?state=NY&prodtype=climate#CF6BDR menu on the top for different stations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Wonder if some stations can get record dry months back to back? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 http://www.nws.noaa.gov/view/prodsByState.php?state=NY&prodtype=climate#CF6BDR menu on the top for different stations Great thanks, looks like many are near normal to a tad below as of the 19th and will fall further after today. I don't think there's any doubt that this month will average below normal especially given the upcoming air mass and for thanksgiving week. What a change when most said November would be above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Great thanks, looks like many are near normal to a tad below as of the 19th and will fall further after today. I don't think there's any doubt that this month will average below normal especially given the upcoming air mass and for thanksgiving week. What a change when most said November would be above normal. We've got that part (the cold) just need some QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 yeah, we were just under that band, the western edge...we had 3-5 inch hourly rates here for a good 6 hrs... Yup. I was reading the reports from you guys and just seething at watching the dual pol radar slither the sleet/snow line 15 miles away from me for most of those hours. The joys of living in southern Nassau County!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 DEGX Overdone but those temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 This isn't right.Texas and oklahoma are getting a foot of snow today and we are get nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 This isn't right.Texas and oklahoma are getting a foot of snow today and we are get nothing They're entitled to their quota too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 They're entitled to their quota too... Not before us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 This isn't right.Texas and oklahoma are getting a foot of snow today and we are get nothing back in 1993 Dallas played New England during an ice storm at home...That storm wasn't a snow maker for NYC but the low level cold air was the theme for that winter... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 back in 1993 Dallas played New England during an ice storm at home...That storm wasn't a snow maker for NYC but the low level cold air was the theme for that winter... It should be noted that November and December we're fairly ho hum that year and our first measurable snow was not until the 29th.. even though it turned very cold right before Christmas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 Good grief it's cold today on the rockpile: Summit Conditions – 3:15 PM, Sun. Temp Wind Gust W. Chill -10.1°F 297° (NW), 101.4 mph 115.1 mph -54.4°F http://www.mountwashington.org/weather/index.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 Surprised this wasn't mentioned at all. Would be a very warm December is this projection verified and is rolled forward.... -WPO/-EPO gets overwhelmed by a raging +PNA. It would be very devastating to see this record-breaking November cold reverse itself in less than two weeks. Wouldn't it be cruel if this is the only arctic shot that delivers a sub-32 degree day to NYC for this winter season? The most cringe-worthy analogs showing up are 1998 and 1996. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 Surprised this wasn't mentioned at all. Would be a very warm December is this projection verified and is rolled forward.... -WPO/-EPO gets overwhelmed by a raging +PNA. It would be very devastating to see this record-breaking November cold reverse itself in less than two weeks. Wouldn't it be cruel if this is the only arctic shot that delivers a sub-32 degree day to NYC for this winter season? The most cringe-worthy analogs showing up are 1998 and 1996. Disagree, 1972 is more cringe-worthy than 1996. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 Surprised this wasn't mentioned at all. Would be a very warm December is this projection verified and is rolled forward.... -WPO/-EPO gets overwhelmed by a raging +PNA. It would be very devastating to see this record-breaking November cold reverse itself in less than two weeks. Wouldn't it be cruel if this is the only arctic shot that delivers a sub-32 degree day to NYC for this winter season? The most cringe-worthy analogs showing up are 1998 and 1996. Yep, in last 2 nights the models have showed this pattern, dumping a huge trough into the west, killing the +pna. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 Disagree, 1972 is more cringe-worthy than 1996. 1972-73 is the by far the most cringe-worthy and I do not think we are going there. But neither do I think we are going to see relentless cold during the early part of this winter. With the strong WAR, and NO high lattitude blocking, storms are forced over us or to our west. This is the pattern we are moving into. When there is a +PNA, we will get these shots of arctic air, as soon as the +PNA breaks down, we will warm up. We will probably go back and forth between +PNA and -PNA. That, in combination with no high lattitude blocking will cause wild swings in temperature readings which I believe will be characteristic of at least the first part of this winter. There is even the possibility that most of this winter could be like this. But in this pattern, usually, when you're cold, you're dry, with most of the storms tracking over us or to our west. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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