earthlight Posted November 6, 2013 Share Posted November 6, 2013 Here are some weenie maps for you guys. Happy November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman9 Posted November 6, 2013 Share Posted November 6, 2013 With daylight savings ending, we'll have one less hour in the morning before sunrise, doubt nyc will get to 32. lol hahahahahaha, fantastic post.....though I think the broadcaster who said that a few years ago stated "We have one less hour of sunlight now so the days are colder." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 6, 2013 Share Posted November 6, 2013 Kind of nice waiting for model runs a hour earlier, gets you back into it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted November 6, 2013 Share Posted November 6, 2013 hahahahahaha, fantastic post.....though I think the broadcaster who said that a few years ago stated "We have one less hour of sunlight now so the days are colder." Itll come out again in March along with the sun angle posts lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted November 6, 2013 Share Posted November 6, 2013 I bite my tongue but watch this "snow threat" or, whatever one might call it, happen, but then struggle to get any decent snow threats and events down the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 Henry is going with the Euro - in fact he says the storm should develop close to the coast and hook inland http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/meteomadness Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 OH Henry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 10, 2013 Share Posted November 10, 2013 Steve D, JB,DT and LC think this winter will be really active in the east with the NAO being negative for most of the winter. Hopefully they are right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 10, 2013 Share Posted November 10, 2013 Henry's first bust of the year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 10, 2013 Share Posted November 10, 2013 Henry's first bust of the year Right on schedule. First of many I'm sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 10, 2013 Share Posted November 10, 2013 Steve D, JB,DT and LC think this winter will be really active in the east with the NAO being negative for most of the winter. Hopefully they are right. I'm hopeful because of EPO ridging and the Aleutian ridge but we'll see I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted November 10, 2013 Share Posted November 10, 2013 I'm hopeful because of EPO ridging and the Aleutian ridge but we'll see I guess. The Aleutian ridge is useless and a detriment to us if it's low latitude. However it can be beneficial if it's poleward enough (see 1993-94). Our best cold/snow patterns generally coincide with Aleutian troughs in Nino-like regimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 Mt holly has put there first flakes in my point and click. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 I will post this in the banter thread since it's a long range forecast. The latest NAO forecasts are predicting a neutral to negative NAO developing around the last week of November. The forecast also calls for a rise of the PNA to near neutral or slightly positive. Both of these developments will make the teleconnections more favorable for the first time this young season. The long range GFS has been hinting at storminess beyond day 14 in the east. In fact, the 11/11 06z GFS has a nice noreaster' developing off the SE coast just in time for Thanksgiving. While it's to early to say that the pattern might finally be shifting towards more favorable, it's encouraging to see the long range ensembles flipping just in time for December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 Mt holly has put there first flakes in my point and click. We had our first flakes reported in town on Friday afternoon, although I didn't see them since I was at work. Hopefully we can squeeze out a dusting. The 00z Euro had BL issues well inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 The long range GFS has been hinting at storminess beyond day 14 in the east. In fact, the 11/11 06z GFS has a nice noreaster' developing off the SE coast just in time for Christmas.I think you meant Thanksgiving. Unless you have access to some new long range version of GFS model, talk about fantasy range then, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 I think you meant Thanksgiving. Unless you have access to some new long range version of GFS model, talk about fantasy range then, haha. Yes, my bad, guess I just had Christmas on the brain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted November 12, 2013 Share Posted November 12, 2013 Considering starting a separate topic on this but will post it here for now concerning the drought the last few months - we are well on our way towards a top ten dry fall. It seems the GFS wants to give us over an inch and a half of liquid next week BUT it has been doing this all fall predicting precip amounts in excess of 1 inch in the 16 day range then backing off as we approach the event - lets see how it does with the predictions for next weeks event...... http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=KEWR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 Just for fun, but a few of the 06z GEFS members have snow for the area on Thanksgiving Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Fantasy land stuff here please. I mean at least anything past week if its strictly about one model run. Just my 2 cents Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 I'm ready for some snow y'all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 I'm ready for some snow y'all. Looks like the timing is going to be just off for T-Day week but I think the goods will be delivered before Christmas. Looks like a -NAO/-PNA setup going into December which isn't ideal but could work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 Looks like the timing is going to be just off for T-Day week but I think the goods will be delivered before Christmas. Looks like a -NAO/-PNA setup going into December which isn't ideal but could work. Snowy Dec/Jan followed by an early wrap up to the winter is ideal for me. Once spring training starts my snow desire goes to 0. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 Snowy Dec/Jan followed by an early wrap up to the winter is ideal for me. Once spring training starts my snow desire goes to 0. For me it depends on what type of season we've had. If December and January/February deliver the goods I'll be fine wrapping up the snow season March 1st. Nothing beats that day in March when it gets above 60 for the first time and everything comes back to life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 Euro control snowmap for turkey day is epic lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 Euro control snowmap for turkey day is epic lol Might as well post it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 Euro control snowmap for turkey day is epic lol Was it this good? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 Was it this good? snow-door.jpg Was that taken in Buffalo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 Was that taken in Buffalo? I believe after the blizzard in southern New England last February Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 19, 2013 Share Posted November 19, 2013 I believe after the blizzard in southern New England last February Jeeze, I can not imagine that happening around here. That's just epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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