Stormlover74 Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 even if october ends up +4 and november +2 I still don't think that would put it near the top of the list of warmest falls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 even if october ends up +4 and november +2 I still don't think that would put it near the top of the list of warmest falls 2011 averaged 59.7 and is in 12th place...1982 averaged 59.1...September 2013 averaged 67.9...If October averages 60.0 (which is a possibility) and November averages 50.0 it would make the top 20 warmest falls at 59.3... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 Uncle W...I'm just a bit confused. I found September to be coolish and looking at the long range, I highly suspect that the second half of October will be coolish and make up for the early warmth. 2011 averaged 59.7 and is in 12th place...1982 averaged 59.1...September 2013 averaged 67.9...If October averages 60.0 (which is a possibility) and November averages 50.0 it would make the top 20 warmest falls at 59.3... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 I'm having flashbacks to March 2001. Holes in the radar, storm couldn't get itself together until well north of our area, yet models and forecasts kept saying heavy snow coming, heavy snow on its way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted October 10, 2013 Author Share Posted October 10, 2013 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saturn510 Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 Well last winter we hardly had any fantasy storms. So its nice to see. But we dont want another pre halloween storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 11, 2013 Share Posted October 11, 2013 0z GFS has a nice cold shot in the long range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted October 11, 2013 Share Posted October 11, 2013 Uncle W...I'm just a bit confused. I found September to be coolish and looking at the long range, I highly suspect that the second half of October will be coolish and make up for the early warmth. yes it does look coolish...I was using NYC departures...Lets hope October ends up on the cool side... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted October 11, 2013 Share Posted October 11, 2013 We've haven't had any negative departure days yet w/ the warm overnights. October will finish warmer than normal, but the extreme positives will be erased with a cold Oct 18th-31st period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted October 11, 2013 Share Posted October 11, 2013 Total Snowfall 2000-01 through 2012-13 (Last 13 Years) Boston / Logan Airport: 620.9 inches / average 47.76 inches Brookhaven Lab, L.I. / Upton: 538.6 inches / average 41.43 inches New York City / Central Park: 410.1 inches / average 31.55 inches Philadelphia / International Airport: 321.9 inches / average 24.76 inches Baltimore / BWI Airport: 253.0 inches / average 19.46 inches Washington / Reagan Airport: 182.7 inches / average 14.05 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 11, 2013 Share Posted October 11, 2013 Bill Evans must say the word umbrella 6x per forecast Does anyone need an umbrella for sprinkles? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 11, 2013 Share Posted October 11, 2013 More snow in Deadwood http://rapidcityjournal.com/webcams/deadwood/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 when you guys are slobbering over negative departures next week i'll remember how quiet this place got for today's just as impressive (if not more so) positive departures Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 when you guys are slobbering over negative departures next week i'll remember how quiet this place got for today's just as impressive (if not more so) positive departures So, you mean the opposite of what you do? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 So, you mean the opposite of what you do?it only seems that way because we've had lots of positive departures these past 5 years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 it only seems that way because we've had lots of positive departures these past 5 years I know its been a negative departure day surrounded by positives when you come and comment. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 when you guys are slobbering over negative departures next week i'll remember how quiet this place got for today's just as impressive (if not more so) positive departures I like that, if the negatives were as low as some of the positive days we saw this month, everyone would have a field day. It's been remarkably warm this month with probably only 2007 being more extreme. It'll add a certain shock value even if temperatures are near or slightly below normal. I know the public will think we are in a freezer next week when temps are maybe a couple degrees below the norm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 I like that, if the negatives were as low as some of the positive days we saw this month, everyone would have a field day. It's been remarkably warm this month with probably only 2007 being more extreme. It'll add a certain shock value even if temperatures are near or slightly below normal. I know the public will think we are in a freezer next week when temps are maybe a couple degrees below the norm. Yeah we're looking at above normal the next 4 or 5 days then maybe one or two days near -5 through next Thursday. We'll still be running at least +4 by then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 28, 2013 Share Posted October 28, 2013 So +3 to +4 is very significant, wasn't July similar with regard to departures? If it were -3 to -4 everyone would make a big deal about it, but warm months like this are pretty much more normal nowadays and we don't even notice it that much. Pretty soon we could see +5 and higher departures in the coming years. amwx is a denier board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 28, 2013 Share Posted October 28, 2013 amwx is a denier board who cares? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 28, 2013 Share Posted October 28, 2013 I know its been a negative departure day surrounded by positives when you come and comment. Lol that's usually how trolls work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted October 28, 2013 Share Posted October 28, 2013 who cares? It kind of matters when the board's reputation and intellectual integrity are at stake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted October 31, 2013 Share Posted October 31, 2013 years when October averaged 60.0 or higher...the 30 year normal winter ave temp is 35.5...So the average of these years is near the 30 year normals but milder than the long term...snowfall is near the 30 normals also...Year....enso....snowfall....temp....1900....la nina......9.1".....31.71908....neutral...20.3".....36.71920....la nina....18.6".....34.9...12.5" snowstorm in NYC late February...1931....neutral.....5.3".....40.11941....neutral...11.3".....32.9...cold wave first half of January...1946....neutral...30.6".....34.8...Blizzard in Late February1947....neutral...63.2".....30.0...26" of snow late December...record snow cover...1949....la nina....11.6".....37.51950....la nina....13.8".....35.91953....el nino....15.8".....37.4...8" snowstorm in January..1954....la nina....11.5".....34.01961....neutral...18.1".....33.3...10" snowstorm in Newark and Boston on 12/24...1963....el nino....44.7".....33.3...12.5" blizzard in January...1968....el nino....30.2".....32.9...15.3" snowstorm in February1971....la nina....22.9".....35.1...snowy February...1973....la nina....23.5".....35.5...ice storm in December...1984....la nina....24.1".....36.4...very cold January1990....neutral...24.9".....39.2...9" snowstorm late February1995....la nina....75.6".....32.3...snowiest of all time...2007....la nina....11.9".....36.4average.............24.4".....34.9long term ave.....28.3".....33.5number.. La.. Ne.. El snow...60"+.. 2....1....1....040"+.. 1....0....0....130"+.. 2....0....1....120"+.. 5....3....2....010"+.. 8....5....2....101"+.. 2....1....1....0...............................................average for enso...enso....#.....temp snowla nina 10...35.1....22.3"neutral 7....35.1....24.9"el nino 3.....34.5....30.2"................................................ October will end up averaging 60.0 to 60.2 this year...21st time it will average 60.0 or higher...It also will be one of the driest...1963 was the driest and one of the warmest...November 63 continued on the mild side but became wet....November 30th marked a big change that year...1931 was warm and dry but September was warm also...2013 had a normal September...there are some great neutral years and some bad ones...one extreme or the other...1990-91 had near normal snowfall but was quite mild...If enso stays on the minus side I think December will end up below normal with average snowfall... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 forky won the october contest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 3, 2013 Share Posted November 3, 2013 forky won the october contesti need to participate more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 3, 2013 Share Posted November 3, 2013 i need to participate more You can't lose picking warmer nowadays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted November 4, 2013 Share Posted November 4, 2013 With daylight savings ending, we'll have one less hour in the morning before sunrise, doubt nyc will get to 32. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted November 4, 2013 Share Posted November 4, 2013 The big question is, will it ever rain again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted November 4, 2013 Share Posted November 4, 2013 The big question is, will it ever rain again? I've cut my grass twice since Aug maybe make it up with frz precip this winter LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted November 6, 2013 Share Posted November 6, 2013 Bump...so the "omg" and "weenies hugging models" posts can stay out of the discussion thread... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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