UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 OC Snowz going crazy in the main model thread lol... Bottomline is the NAM is useless regardless of which hr/run it is. As long as the GGEM/UK/Euro maintain then its all good in my book Dude please tell me u agree with the point I was trying to make... Lol they are literally outrageous in that thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Dude please tell me u agree with the point I was trying to make... Lol they are literally outrageous in that thread Ive been telling you this since the day u got here. You are fighting a losing battle in there lol. Post here and sit back and watch the nonsense in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 12, 2014 Author Share Posted February 12, 2014 Dude please tell me u agree with the point I was trying to make... Lol they are literally outrageous in that thread I have been burned so many times by the NAM in this time period before a storm, I would not use it until tomorrow afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 But it has the "new data"! A bad model is bad no matter how good its initialization was. Advisory snows north of 84 on that run. It's kinda weird how the back end snows are very healthy from hours 45-51 in Central New England as well as along the Delmarva, but they seem to be lacking in SE NY, E PA and W NJ. Something to do with the dynamics? Or the NAM just isn't seeing it? OC Snowz going crazy in the main model thread lol... Bottomline is the NAM is useless regardless of which hr/run it is. As long as the GGEM/UK/Euro maintain then its all good in my book Someone posted a message from the NWS today that basically said to ignore the NAM beyond day 1. I suspect that was based on one specific model run, but it's probably mostly true anyways. Thankfully, the NAM is one of the first model runs and not the last. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 It's kinda weird how the back end snows are very healthy from hours 45-51 in Central New England as well as along the Delmarva, but they seem to be lacking in SE NY, E PA and W NJ. Something to do with the dynamics? Or the NAM just isn't seeing it? Someone posted a message from the NWS today that basically said to ignore the NAM beyond day 1. I suspect that was based on one specific model run, but it's probably mostly true anyways. Thankfully, the NAM is one of the first model runs and not the last. Not to mention the NAM keeps phasing with the kicker and i don't see how that's gonna happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 It's funny how a random poster that contributes nothing all day says the nam is soooooo consistent so when I disagree with him and point out the fact they're hugging each run that shows snow for NYC metro I'm like an outcast lol If you have a problem with me and what I said PM me. Otherwise lets hope the trends work out so all of us.. NYC/SNE/Hudson Valley etc get a good snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 certainly not all snow for nyc. part of the heavy precip they are sleet or rain Based on that run, they flip as they dry slot. But not after a pretty hefty front end thump. The northern sections of our area would miss a lot of that front end, but pick up some accumulations on the backside as it looks like we wouldn't dry slot. 4km NAM snow maps show our entire area at 10"+ regardless. Probably wasted too much time talking about the NAM as it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 If you have a problem with me and what I said PM me. Otherwise lets hope the trends work out so all of us.. NYC/SNE/Hudson Valley etc get a good snowstorm. The NAM is more accurate now, yes? Also, isn't it at least a little hard to ignore that this model has been very,very consistent? U weren't even the individual I was referring to.. This was the post I was citing........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 0z NAM still gives the area 6-10" lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 And if u think they're taking a non bias look into the forecast in that other thread ur nuts... Now they're in there calling it a south east trend... Look up wishcasting and get back to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 0z NAM still gives the area 6-10" lol.. Yea were still in good shape.. Even if by some outrageous chance that nam verified we still get half a foot plus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 12, 2014 Author Share Posted February 12, 2014 I am riding the Fox 5 10 PM news snow total for my backyard. 12-15 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I am riding the Fox 5 10 PM news snow total for my backyard. 12-15 inches I think a general 8-15 for our whole area is a really good bet locally higher possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 0z NAM still gives the area 6-10" lol.. The 4km NAM is 10"+ area wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 And if u think they're taking a non bias look into the forecast in that other thread ur nuts... Now they're in there calling it a south east trend... Look up wishcasting and get back to me Like a lot of us suburban people I was born in the city and moved to the OC as a kid in the 70's. There is a reason why NYC has a lot of $300 an hour therapists- just saying lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 And if u think they're taking a non bias look into the forecast in that other thread ur nuts... Now they're in there calling it a south east trend... Look up wishcasting and get back to me Dude, your complaining is kinda killing this thread. Please, just drop it. People come here to get away from the other bullsh*t. Not to mention your extrapolation attempt was pretty awful on this page...leave the whining to the other thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 The 4km NAM is 10"+ area wide. 1 to 2" of QPF for everybody on wxbell maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Or u could troll a post I made 25 min ago that was done and over with until u just brought it up...enjoy the storm and stop writing me thanks Im not trolling, im asking you to stop whining in here. If you cant handle being wrong about something, maybe reconsider calling out other people for the same offenses. Ill enjoy the storm, thanks...and ill respond here as i see fit. Put me on ignore if you cant deal with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I'm fairly certain most posters in this thread are with me in agreement that those other threads are the laughing stock of this forum...ur the second poster that found the need to follow me into this thread and bring up something that I did drop so how about u drop it "Follow you"? You need to relax, man. Im just as much a part of this forum as you, and i dont care who else is in agreement with you, i just asked that since you have made your pount NUMEROUS times, to stop mucking up the thread and to move on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Ok I was wrong. the NAMS been so consistent with every run it hasn't wavered in anyway nor has it been the only model to show a pos tilt but it's so correct and I was so wrong lol ur getting put on ignore bye Are you 12? I never said you were wrong about the NAMs inconsistencies. Running away is childish, but i guess itll do. Have a nice night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Dude, your complaining is kinda killing this thread....leave the whining to the other thread.This Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Ok now that's over the RGEM came in east any thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Ok now that's over the RGEM came in east any thoughts? Sure, the last run was so far west I think most aren't surprised it went east this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Sure, the last run was so far west I think most aren't surprised it went east this run. I still think 10-16 is in line for us up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 The GFS is going to make a lot of coastal and eastern folks happy. Edit: more likely to make everyone miserable, actually. Well offshore and very little precip. Tries to go to town at hour 54 but by then even the wraparound snows are east of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Gfs is way east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Gfs is scattered snow showers 2-4" at best for us lmao... If this were to verify I would jump.... I swear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Just awful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Gfs is scattered snow showers 2-4" at best for us lmao... If this were to verify I would jump.... I swear 4-7" deal until you get east of the Thruway/river Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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