Juliancolton Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I'd love to have total faith in the Euro but no other guidance is really suggesting any sort of notable storm for my area. Who knows... I might have gotten too invested in this event too early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 This is a median Snowfall map off all 15 analog models as posted by a met on another site Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I'd love to have total faith in the Euro but no other guidance is really suggesting any sort of notable storm for my area. Who knows... I might have gotten too invested in this event too early. What's ur area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 ..convective feedback LMAO! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 My biggest concern for the NW zones is the northern stream kicker. As the heavy banding heads north the kicker will begin to exert some amount of pressure. If strong enough it's affects would probably be two fold. One would be to push the overall track a bit east. That alone probably not going to hurt us to much if at all depending on exactly how much east. The other part is for it to restrict a northwestward expansion of the precip shield I.e sharp cutoff. The combo of the two is the concern. If the euro begins to tick east and show signs of less precip to the NW then this concern will grow exponentially imo. But for now just something to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 GFS is west if previous runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 What's ur area? Whoops, forgot storm mode removes location from my header. Central Dutchess near Taconic/US 44. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 UK is music to my eyes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 UK is music to my eyes. ukmet.gif Great track. Positive signal on the gfs too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 UK is music to my eyes. ukmet.gif That's probably too warm for even some of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 So far the NAM was east , The GFS was west , The UKMET was west , Leaves the Canadian the Euro . This is why you don't freak out over 1 OP run . Think this is you`re storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Off topic tonight but I'm at 2 degrees already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Off topic tonight but I'm at 2 degrees already. -1.8F here, forecast low of +2. No reason we won't continue to drop with clear skies and deep snowpack. Went for a frigid moonlight walk earlier this evening in some open meadows, just beautiful. Afternoon-like shadows in the middle of the night with the moon reflecting off the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Off topic tonight but I'm at 2 degrees already. Same here.. 2f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 GGEM hr62 Ill take it.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 UK is music to my eyes. ukmet.gif Thing of beauty!! With the exception of the NAM every model run was positive for our neck of the woods. Euro time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Thing of beauty!! With the exception of the NAM every model run was positive for our neck of the woods. Euro time! Sounds like the euro is great for us now too. Roughly 48 hrs away- liking things right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 Current temp is 2F. Saw Sussex Airport was -8 earlier. Nice to th see the 6Z NAM/GFS more west with the precip field. Mt Holly & Upton NWS all are using caution due to american models Best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Think this is our foot+ Current temp is 2F. Saw Sussex Airport was -8 earlier. Nice to th see the 6Z NAM/GFS more west with the precip field. Mt Holly & Upton NWS all are using caution due to american models Best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Great trends last night today should be fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Still don't like seeing the SREFs so low on QPF for the north western zones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Low was -6, sitting at -3 currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Rooting for you guys , think someone sees 15 to 20 up there , Good luck . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Rooting for you guys , think someone sees 15 to 20 up there , Good luck . Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Rooting for you guys , think someone sees 15 to 20 up there , Good luck . So your not worried about the lack of QPF for the north west zones? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 So your not worried about the lack of QPF for the north west zones? Not at all. Euro ensembles over an inch good ratios. U guys max out on the board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 Low was -6, sitting at -3 currently. Valley locations were frigid this morning. I went down the mountain to a deep valley area in Vernon to check the temps on the way to work. Car temp hit negative 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
accumulation21 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Animal, I can confirm a low of -8 in Hamburg (another low lying area just to your south). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 NWS still won't commit lol prolly waiting for 12z suites Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Valley locations were frigid this morning. I went down the mountain to a deep valley area in Vernon to check the temps on the way to work. Car temp hit negative 7. Yup. Big differance in the valley and hilltop temps. I only went down to +6, and saw Vernon Valley reporting -6. This might be our first 12"+ storm this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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