IrishRob17 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 My average seasonal total thru the end of January is 23.5" and my actual seasonal snowfall through that time is 26.7" which is +3.2" for this point in the season. Whats everyones YTD now.. After today I'm at 41.7, seasonal average for me is 43.3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 I can't say that I have light snow, it's more like the classic snizzle falling out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Whats everyones YTD now.. Somewhere just shy of 40" for me... I think my seasonal average is around 40" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 39.8. right around my avg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 You know its been one of those winters when it drops to 4f and its no big deal lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 Whats everyones YTD now.. 35.6" on the season although I think I may have missed close to an inch when I was in Florida for Christmas week. I have to go through local reports and try to reconstruct some totals. My average is between 35" and 40" so I'm pretty much there already. I don't think KPOU measures snow officially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 You know its been one of those winters when it drops to 4f and its no big deal lol.. I bottomed out at 0 this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 I bottomed out at 0 this morning. Nice!! U are def in a good spot for radiational cooling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 35.6" on the season although I think I may have missed close to an inch when I was in Florida for Christmas week. I have to go through local reports and try to reconstruct some totals. My average is between 35" and 40" so I'm pretty much there already. I don't think KPOU measures snow officially. It's amazing how snowfall averages drop off considerably up and down along the Hudson. You won't have to travel too Far East or west to avg 45"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 It's amazing how snowfall averages drop off considerably up and down along the Hudson. You won't have to travel too Far East or west to avg 45"+ For sure. I'm sure it's been discussed at length, but I wonder if it's attributed more to the warmer valley temperatures or downsloping off the Taconics/Highlands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 7, 2014 Share Posted February 7, 2014 For sure. I'm sure it's been discussed at length, but I wonder if it's attributed more to the warmer valley temperatures or downsloping off the Taconics/Highlands. The Hudson def plays more of a factor then ppl realize. Down sloping & elevations below 200' do not help matters. I've heard somewhere that for every 75' elevation u gain your avg will increase by 1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 8, 2014 Author Share Posted February 8, 2014 Active weather pattern looks to continue. Little nugget from Mt Holly NWS AFD. War Drums are being used for mid week WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY: LOW PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO ORGANIZE ALONGTHE GULF COAST AS THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM DEPARTS WEDNESDAY WITHTHE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKING UP THE EAST COAST THURSDAY. ASUSUAL THERE IS A DECENT SPREAD IN THE TRACK AND TIMING OF THE LOWPRESSURE IN THIS TIME PERIOD. RIGHT NOW THINK THE LAST TWO 12Z 2/6AND 00Z 2/7 OP EC RUNS HAVE BEEN TO AMPED WITH THIS SYSTEM AND THATTHE TRACK MAY BE A BIT FURTHER EAST MORE IN LINE WITH THE 12Z ECMWFFROM TODAY. IF THE LOW TRACKS INLAND OUR REGION SNOW IN THE POCONOSAND NW NJ WITH SNOW CHANGING TO RAIN FOR THE METROPOLITANPHILADELPHIA REGION AND THE SHORE. A TRACK JUST OFFSHORE COULDRESULT IN MORE SNOWFALL. A TRACK EVEN FURTHER OFFSHORE INFLUENCED BYTHE NEXT SYSTEM OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS SHOWN IN THE 12Z GFS ANDUKMET WOULD RESULT IN A MISS AND A WARMER THURSDAY. EITHER WAY THISSYSTEM WILL BRING UP A LOT OF GULF AND ATLANTIC MOISTURE AND COULDPROVIDE THE REGION WITH A DECENT AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION. FOR NOWWILL LEAN MORE TOWARD A TRACK THAT IS JUST OFFSHORE. AND WENT WITHLOW LIKELY POPS CENTERED ON THURSDAY MORNING.FRIDAY: A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE CONTINUING TO MOVE UP THE EASTCOAST ON FRIDAY. HOWEVER THE NEXT FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE INTOWARD THE END OF PERIOD, KEEPING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF POPS AROUND.THE NEXT PUSH OF CAA IN THE WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW MAY BE DELAYEDTILL THIS NEXT SYSTEM PASSES UNTIL LATER IN THE DAY ALLOWING FORANOTHER DAY CLOSE TO OR JUST ABOVE NORMAL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Yeah noticed it earlier .. Upton is extremely bullish for mid week.. All snow pops are 70% 6 days out.. Impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Yeah noticed it earlier .. Upton is extremely bullish for mid week.. All snow pops are 70% 6 days out.. Impressive Funny that the NWS put out all these statements chastising people about the uncertainties in long range weather forecasting then you see something like this. Just checked Albany and we are at 50%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 8, 2014 Author Share Posted February 8, 2014 Funny that the NWS put out all these statements chastising people about the uncertainties in long range weather forecasting then you see something like this. Just checked Albany and we are at 50%. Upton & Mt Holly NWS still discuss a midweek storm, but language used indicated they are not expecting this to be all that bad. Basically a storm may impact the area. Typical storm that us folks in the burbs can handle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 8, 2014 Share Posted February 8, 2014 Made it down to -3 here this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 9, 2014 Author Share Posted February 9, 2014 Good Day, GFS & NAM agree on a 1 to max 3 inch snow fall later today. Mid week still looks interesting for our area. Mt Holly & Upton though are now discussing more mix and rain in the forecast. Current temp 15F Best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 When you start to hear mixing/changing to rain on the coast you gotta love your chances up here. Interesting week ahead for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 This is for Thursday right? Hope so, boss comes back Wednesday night so I can't miss a day because of weather until Thursday. Anybody know of any groomed xc ski trails in the area other than Fahnestock SP? They won't let me in there with my fatbike, I need to find a place that will. Are the snowmobile trails at Stewart worth the trip and are there any on the east side of the river? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 This is for Thursday right? Hope so, boss comes back Wednesday night so I can't miss a day because of weather until Thursday. Anybody know of any groomed xc ski trails in the area other than Fahnestock SP? They won't let me in there with my fatbike, I need to find a place that will. Are the snowmobile trails at Stewart worth the trip and are there any on the east side of the river? Looks like a Wednesday night into Thursday type of deal if I have the timing right. GGEM is quite the show for NYC Metro but a solid event up here as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Made it down to -3 here this morning.Another below 0 low, -1 this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 This is for Thursday right? Hope so, boss comes back Wednesday night so I can't miss a day because of weather until Thursday. Anybody know of any groomed xc ski trails in the area other than Fahnestock SP? They won't let me in there with my fatbike, I need to find a place that will. Are the snowmobile trails at Stewart worth the trip and are there any on the east side of the river? I can't say if the Stewart trails are worth it but I can say they appear to be popular based on the number of cars i saw in the lot off of Route 207 yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Another below 0 low, -1 this morning. Snowpack ftw.. Looks like we will be adding to it this week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Snowpack ftw.. Looks like we will be adding to it this week Been really busy with work stuff, how does the midweek storm look for the interior folks? Quick glance it looks like more of a coastal threat? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Been really busy with work stuff, how does the midweek storm look for the interior folks? Quick glance it looks like more of a coastal threat? Yup, growing consensus on a significant coastal low somewhere around the benchmark, but various mets seem to agree that the incoming low in the Great Lakes will encroach on the NW side of the nor'easter and limit how far up our way the heavy precip gets. Canadian looked like we get in on the heavy stuff but it was a narrow corridor between dry and rain, and the Euro had a decent low close-in, but not a lot of QPF up here. Thinking this might be one of those storms where just to our south and east get good accums and we deal with .25"/hour stuff, but obviously nothing's certain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 These early comparisons in the NYC Metro forum to 2/25/10 is ridiculous. That storm was def a monster & wrapped up but that storm also made landfall in Suffolk county and continued north into SNE hence the insane R/S line from NW/SE. Im sure most of us would welcome a similar storm with open arms but I don't see the comparison. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I have a feeling the kicker won't be moving quite so quickly and this will tuck in a bit closer to the coast. That would put us in the jackpot zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I have a feeling the kicker won't be moving quite so quickly and this will tuck in a bit closer to the coast. That would put us in the jackpot zone. Inside the benchmark minus the kicker will be ideal for us up here. As of right now I'm liking the coastal hugger idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 What's the snowpack like up there? Down here it's about 15" deep and nearly bulletproof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 9, 2014 Author Share Posted February 9, 2014 Update on the event tonight from Mt Holly. NJZ001-007-008-PAZ054-055-060>062-092130-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON231 PM EST SUN FEB 9 2014...SNOW STARTING TO MOVE INTO THE REGION...SNOW SHOWERS HAVE BEGUN TO MOVE INTO THE POCONO AND LEHIGH VALLEYREGION, AND WILL SPREAD EAST ACROSS THE REGION BY 4 PM EST. SNOWFALL RATES WILL BE NEAR 1 INCH PER HOUR AT TIME, RESULTING INVISIBILITIES OF LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.SNOWFALL TOTALS IN THE REGION ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 3INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS NEAR 4 INCHES, ESPECIALLY INELEVATED TERRAIN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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