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Interior NW Burbs & Hudson Valley - Discussion


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Mod Snow here w/ a temp of 28F

 

2" otg..

 

 

Still think many in Orange & Putnam see 3-5"

I'm already approaching the high end of that.  Surprisingly fluffy and easy to shovel even though it was warm (air and ground) when it started and flake size has mostly been small.  There were a few periods of good growth so there are a fair bit of air pockets helping the fluff factor.  

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Seems like the models are pretty locked in for tomorrow.  There has been little sensible change over the past two days of modeling, at least for my immediate area.  Any changes from here should be minimal.  I think a general 6-10" with some isolated higher amounts is where we end up.  Question will be if we mix at all.  Just based on past events, I would expect at least a few pingers, but probably not til the bulk of the precip has fallen. 

 

Continuing with light to moderate snow here, haven't been outside but it looks to be close to 2" here.  Nice little appetizer for tomorrow night and Wednesday.

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I managed to pull out 3.5" in the last 5-6 hrs... Tomorrow's storm looks to be a major front end dump on snow followed by a possible sever ice storm

I think we all stay predominately snowy with sleet at some point when the WAA is at its most prolific. Anybody who stays mostly snow can expect 5-7" with a few inches more possible in localized bands/at minor elevations/if wraparound thermodynamics materialize after the initial onslaught. I haven't had a single storm at or over 1' since Halloween 2011, and I think tomorrow gives me a decent shot, but probably short.

 

2.4" new with light but efficient snow

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Albany's map... seems a little generous?

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/aly/Past/Snow_PNS/WSW.htm

(I'm not sure how to post that as an image on this board, can someone clue me in?)

3.8 total here, nice little storm with light to moderate snow from time to time. As point out, a nice appetizer for the rest of the week. The only question I have on that map is the odd shape to the 8-10 area. I would expect that to follow the Hudson River more closely should it happen.

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3.8 total here, nice little storm with light to moderate snow from time to time. As point out, a nice appetizer for the rest of the week. The only question I have on that map is the odd shape to the 8-10 area. I would expect that to follow the Hudson River more closely should it happen.

 

Definitely a little strange.  No easterly flow with this storm, so there shouldn't be any issues with shadowing, correct?  And they even state in their AFD that sleet, if it develops, would not affect snow totats.  I guess they are basing that map more off dynamics of the system than QPF because the numbers seem to be dropping over time.  We were around 1" or a little over and now it's more in the 0.75" range. 

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Uptons P/C for MBY is pretty generous as well.  7-15" for the event.

 

 

  • Snow, mainly after midnight. Low around 23. Calm wind becoming northeast around 6 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible.
  • WednesdaySnow, freezing rain, and sleet. High near 27. Northeast wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible.
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3.8 total here, nice little storm with light to moderate snow from time to time. As point out, a nice appetizer for the rest of the week. The only question I have on that map is the odd shape to the 8-10 area. I would expect that to follow the Hudson River more closely should it happen.

 

I guess the 3-5" call worked out after all for most in our immediate region

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Definitely a little strange. No easterly flow with this storm, so there shouldn't be any issues with shadowing, correct? And they even state in their AFD that sleet, if it develops, would not affect snow totats. I guess they are basing that map more off dynamics of the system than QPF because the numbers seem to be dropping over time. We were around 1" or a little over and now it's more in the 0.75" range.

IMO the immediate valley can get a shadow from the east and/or the west plus it's generally a lower elevation. I've noticed this difference around New Windsor where I grew up. My folks house is at 125' close to the river, in a mile or so you can up to 300 feet and I've seen a difference in just that short distance.

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IMO the immediate valley can get a shadow from the east and/or the west plus it's generally a lower elevation. I've noticed this difference around New Windsor where I grew up. My folks house is at 125' close to the river, in a mile or so you can up to 300 feet and I've seen a difference in just that short distance.

 

I used to live off Old Forge Hill Rd in New Windsor for about 2 yrs and that area was an absolute snow hole. New Windsor has to be one of the worst places for snow in the county. 

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I used to live off Old Forge Hill Rd in New Windsor for about 2 yrs and that area was an absolute snow hole. New Windsor has to be one of the worst places for snow in the county.

That can be true but there have been exceptions. Believe it or not the Forge Rd area typically gets more than my folks neighborhood.

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That can be true but there have been exceptions. Believe it or not the Forge Rd area typically gets more than my folks neighborhood.

Finished up with 3.5 here. It is amazing in New Windsor it's self, you can have lower totals here on the east side by the river and out on the west side by Rock Tavern, make out a little better most of the time. Then go a couple miles south to storm king and be a different world up there with the higher elevations.  Much fun ahead in the next 6 days. :snowman: 

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