poleshiftnow Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 look at the comma head explosion in the gulf this thing is going to bomb off VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
itsdnice Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Figured I'd share this although I'm sure people have seen this kinda chart before..I do realize that ratio's are figured out by more than surface but it's something cool to look at anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 I hope I am wrong but I just have trouble seeing the upper end of DTs 12-16 verifying in the Hudson Valley / NW NJ area. 12" are going to be possible in the usual spots that tend to do well, but I think that is the exception rather than the norm and most areas will fall shy of that. I like 7-10 for the area. Perhaps I am under-estimating the expected ratios but there is only so much that you can get with 0.4-0.6" of moisture which looks like the consensus amount of modeling. Again, I hope I am proven wrong, it is has been a while since we have had a storm this cold and I am sure these Mets know what they are doing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heavy Snow Warning Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 I hope I am wrong but I just have trouble seeing the upper end of DTs 12-16 verifying in the Hudson Valley / NW NJ area. 12" are going to be possible in the usual spots that tend to do well, but I think that is the exception rather than the norm and most areas will fall shy of that. I like 7-10 for the area. Perhaps I am under-estimating the expected ratios but there is only so much that you can get with 0.4-0.6" of moisture which looks like the consensus amount of modeling. Again, I hope I am proven wrong, it is has been a while since we have had a storm this cold and I am sure these Mets know what they are doing. I've been very surprised at many of these calls. I've seen several calling for 12-24, 8-16, etc. I just don't see it. I think this is shaping up to be a simple 4-8--hopefully I am wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Figured I'd share this although I'm sure people have seen this kinda chart before..I do realize that ratio's are figured out by more than surface but it's something cool to look at anyway. There you go.............As you can see with that chart , with the temps in the single digits tonight every tenth of an inch liquid would turn into 4" of snow. Other factors weigh in like the winds changing the structure of flakes etc. but if we get .5 liquid up here, that is a sure 10-15". A .4 would yield 8-12". Anything less than that the storm was a bust for us anyway, though we would still have to shovel several inches of talcum powder. This is the kind of setup that a band setting up over a location for a hour could dump 3 or 4 inches easily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Man, just imagine if we were to have an inch of qpf with these temps....that's near 40 inches of snow! I can't even imagine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Heavier echoes incoming just to our west. Here we go! I predict 12-15 inches region wide due to ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 There you go.............As you can see with that chart , with the temps in the single digits tonight every tenth of an inch liquid would turn into 4" of snow. Other factors weigh in like the winds changing the structure of flakes etc. but if we get .5 liquid up here, that is a sure 10-15". A .4 would yield 8-12". Anything less than that the storm was a bust for us anyway, though we would still have to shovel several inches of talcum powder. This is the kind of setup that a band setting up over a location for a hour could dump 3 or 4 inches easily. It's certainly going to be interesting to see what transpires. Looking forward to it regardless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 DT is one of the best around.. His problem is his arrogance. 12-16" does seem a bit high but I will gladly take it EDIT: Looks like DT is following the Euro closely with his snowmap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Figured I'd share this although I'm sure people have seen this kinda chart before..I do realize that ratio's are figured out by more than surface but it's something cool to look at anyway. If you were to go by that map 10-15" should be pretty easy to achieve for the area considering our temps are already in the 10-15f range. Fun times ahead ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Well given the radar presentation over Boston and the amount they have had already, I can quite easily see that these higher totals hold some merit. I would have never thought Boston would have 6-8 on the ground already..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Im at work in the city for another 6 hrs.. I need updates from you guys!! lol Lets jump start this thread Here is a little eye candy for all my fellow NWers 12z Euro Snowmap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Im at work in the city for another 6 hrs.. I need updates from you guys!! lol Lets jump start this thread Here is a little eye candy for all my fellow NWers 12z Euro Snowmap Here's to hoping for high end verification! Safe travels home my friend. Down to 12 degrees with light snow continuing to fall. Will keep you posted! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Radar looks to be just on the verge for all out snow for our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Radar looks to be just on the verge for all out snow for our area It's knocking on the door Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NepaJames8602 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Moderate snow has begun here in the Poconos, temp is 14.0 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Moderate snow now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Im at work in the city for another 6 hrs.. I need updates from you guys!! lol Lets jump start this thread Here is a little eye candy for all my fellow NWers 12z Euro Snowmap 87 n 84 closing at midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 87 n 84 closing at midnight. Yeah I heard... I get out at 2200 so I'm good plus ill be in uniform Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Yeah I heard... I get out at 2200 so I'm good plus ill be in uniform Its different for you guys, but i always change before driving home. Terrified ill cut off the wrong person one day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Back home in Pok, 7 degrees IMBY with light to moderate snow falling. Radar looks great! Should be a fun night! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Its different for you guys, but i always change before driving home. Terrified ill cut off the wrong person one day Yeah our officers run 3 different tours with start times at 600,1400,2200.. U working tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 How is it lookin up there guys?? I need updates!! lol.. Cloudy down here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 roads are still ok back this way... although visibility is near zero at times. started ripping with that wall of white on radar... the green echoes on mt holly radar are 1"/hr rates up here. be careful. How is it lookin up there guys?? I need updates!! lol.. Cloudy down here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Heaviest snow of the day falling now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 From DC but visiting my parents in the Hudson Valley, just did some hiking in the Catskills, figured I'd post some road conditions in this thread. Route 28 was pretty bad at Ashokan and the snow was picking up when we around 3:30, 87 was surprisingly bad, 84 was also in not so great shape. Saw multiple cars in ditches. Taconic was snowy until around Peekskill Hollow Road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Barely flaking here. I just got home and there isn't much more than there was at six this morning but the coating is more dense so everything is covered but the roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 State of emergency declared, cops going around with speakers telling people to love there cars lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 2, 2014 Author Share Posted January 2, 2014 Current temp 9F with light to moderate snow falling in Highland Lakes. Forecast is for 4 to 12 inches depending on the weather service used. Roads are snow covered in my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 State of emergency declared, cops going around with speakers telling people to love there cars lol Where? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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