UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Yup- it gets hard to read thru any useful info vs some of the other nonsense. We would all love 2 feet for every storm. But in the end Mother Nature is going to do what she's gonna do. Regardless of how much falls- it's going to be a cool storm with snow, wind and frigid temps. Not to mention god forbid you make an OBS that doesn't favor what they want and u get 40 responses about how negative you are lol, and if u turn around and say the opposite ur a weenie... I'll stick to this thread from now on I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Not sure what your guys thoughts are but I thought it might be wise to have our own separate OBS thread for tomorrow as well seeings how that OBS threads gonna be a disaster tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Not to mention god forbid you make an OBS that doesn't favor what they want and u get 40 responses about how negative you are lol, and if u turn around and say the opposite ur a weenie... I'll stick to this thread from now on I thinkLol - exactly. I'm no weather expert so I usually just post my obs. On a rare occasion I may ask a question- like how does it look for the Hudson valley? A few guys are nice enough to reply. After years of observing I find earthlight and Don Sutherland to be excellent posters and I like to follow what they have to say. And of course our own snywx is always very informative for our area- which I always appreciate. Actually, everyone is really great in this sub forum as far as not getting crazy or obnoxious over the weather. I do know this much - whenever there is a storm we usually do quite well when it comes to snows. And I'm fortunate to live in the snow belt of Orange County here in Monroe lol Funny thing last night was that I went to mass at sacred heart in Monroe and there was about a half inch that fell within an hour- but I drove home about 5 miles away and it was bare by my house. Just goes to show you, the weather can surprise both good and bad. Especially in winter - when you think of all the ingredients it takes to get a big storm, we've been fortunate to have some doozy's over the years. Kind of spoils us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 I may actually post a bit more in here as well. I usually post simple opinions on what I see from a current weather model, and if it's anything other than "great run!", it's said to be negative. By the end of the run, everyone ends up saying the same initial concerns I may have with a run lol....it just was preceded by their 5 posts of "improvements at h5!! More amped!!" Just to be led to "well it seemed more amped at first".... Lol I do plan to post a lot less on the model threads anyway. Clearly my posts add no value to them, it's just kind of thinking out loud Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 I may actually post a bit more in here as well. I usually post simple opinions on what I see from a current weather model, and if it's anything other than "great run!", it's said to be negative. By the end of the run, everyone ends up saying the same initial concerns I may have with a run lol....it just was preceded by their 5 posts of "improvements at h5!! More amped!!" Just to be led to "well it seemed more amped at first".... Lol I do plan to post a lot less on the model threads anyway. Clearly my posts add no value to them, it's just kind of thinking out loud I think moderation has really dropped the ball Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Not sure what your guys thoughts are but I thought it might be wise to have our own separate OBS thread for tomorrow as well seeings how that OBS threads gonna be a disaster tomorrow Nah we can post obs in here as well as discussion. Since there are only like 10-15 of us that post in here it usually works out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Nah we can post obs in here as well as discussion. Since there is only like 10-15 of us that post in here it usually works out. Ok I just didn't wanna post OBS in here if it wasn't appropriate.. Btw I'm getting some light snow falling.. You got anything out there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Ok I just didn't wanna post OBS in here if it wasn't appropriate.. Btw I'm getting some light snow falling.. You got anything out there? Alittle on top of what was already on the ground from yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NepaJames8602 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Glad to see this thread is at least "sane" this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Glad to see this thread is at least "sane" this evening. Don't worry we're gonna keep it realistic lol... Anyone have any concerns with virga at onset with the dry artic mass here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Glad to see this thread is at least "sane" this evening. Glad to see you posting more James.. Thankfully 99% of the ppl who post in this sub-forum are level headed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 0z Euro holds serve for the area.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 3z SREF Snowfall Mean.. POU -- 12.6" MSV -- 11.7" HPN -- 9.2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 19 degrees and light snow falling - dusting so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 2, 2014 Author Share Posted January 2, 2014 16 f light snow falling. Off to work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 16 f light snow falling. Off to work I am already at work! Do not seen any significant reason to change the map I posted late yesterday afternoon in this thread. Models, from a qpf output, have been relatively steady in the 0.4-0.8" range across much of the area. Current radar is a little discouraging but not unexpected at this point. Main show is generally 6pm tonight - 9am Friday. Any snow today will be of little significance until north of at least I-84 and likely a bit north of there. Regardless it will snow and it will get windy and cold! Its January and it is going to look and feel like it! Enjoy all! Now go burn some wood! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 19 here, light snow, at work (1000 ft commute) lol 16 f light snow falling.Off to work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 nice snow pics... OT, but those paw prints leading up to your car, i call them "hell no" tracks. I see tracks to my car in the snow from anything other than a human, hell no i'm not going in. Alittle on top of what was already on the ground from yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 All guys north of LI, good luck and i hope you get the totals your hoping for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DRVTS Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Could there be spots that exceed a foot if banding occurs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Could there be spots that exceed a foot if banding occurs? I would say yes but if and where exactly that may occur is very difficult to say with full confidence. IMO the best candidates for that as it stands now are parts of LI and perhaps parts of the Hudson Valley / Interior SE NY. As with most winter storms in this region there will be a few surprises both positive and negative. It is probably a pretty safe call to broad brush the entire area with a 5-10" forecast. A few areas may exceed and few may fall short but most probably with in that range. I think the problem with most people is when they see a snow accumulation forecast the immediately ignore the low number and focus on the high one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Impressive temperature gradient across the mid Hudson Valley right now. Looking at the Wunderground stations, it's in the single digits in a few locations in northern Dutchess County and low 20's in the southern part of the county. It's 13 degrees IMBY in the Town of Pok with light snow falling. Just more than a dusting so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Nice dusting, but sad that all the steady snow is just ti the north. Damn! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 When I left the house a little after 6 there was a thick, dense coating of about 1/2". There were long needles falling and packing in tight and it was actually abrasive rather than slippery. Easy drive into the city but I don't expect it to be anything less than entertaining for the ride home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2112wxgrl Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Cloudy and quite breezy already. Wantage, NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Really impressed by the snow falling with a complete lack of radar returns around here. Nothing heavy but definitely accumulating. Down to 10 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Yes, interestingly snow is falling minus radar echoes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Noaa has lowered my totals to 4-8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 2, 2014 Author Share Posted January 2, 2014 Noaa has lowered my totals to 4-8 I personally have never really been to thrilled with this storm. Euro looked good for QPF over night though. With that be said: If I squeezze out 0.30 QPF, I should get 4 to 6 inches. If I get lucky with QPF and get around 0.40 liquid with great ratios, then 6 to 10 is possible. All in all a decent event is expected. Best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 I personally have never really been to thrilled with this storm. Euro looked good for QPF over night though. With that be said: If I squeezze out 0.30 QPF, I should get 4 to 6 inches. If I get lucky with QPF and get around 0.40 liquid with great ratios, then 6 to 10 is possible. All in all a decent event is expected. Best I agree I'm really not sure where the "superstorm" mentality came from with this event...I have a feeling it started with that big 00z nam run a couple nights ago... That's why I'm staying in this thread lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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