rgwp96 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 getting deer pics in the snow always come out cool. here is one from my backyard trail cam(deer love pumpkins) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 It's been a long time. Perhaps feb 26th 2010? Certainly the last few winters have seen the coastal areas cash in on the monster storms more. This area has had a rough patch for sure. Feb 6 of last year.....we were so close..... 40 inches in CT, 10 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 It's been a long time. Perhaps feb 26th 2010? Certainly the last few winters have seen the coastal areas cash in on the monster storms more. This area has had a rough patch for sure. One of my favorites! Some of the heaviest snowfall rates I have ever witnessed.. Some parts of eastern Orange county ended with 32-38". Only difference with that one was the extreme cutoff of heavy snow from W-E.. Parts of western Putnam county were getting buried while it was ++RN in Danbury. Truly an amazing storm to watch unfold.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 At 6 pm, the temperature reached 19° in White Plains. This was the first reading below 20° since last winter when the temperature fell to 18° on February 2, 2013. This cold is the real deal Don.. Do you see this -EPO pattern continuing through the winter? Its been a looong time since I've seen a start this cold.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 One of my favorites! Some of the heaviest snowfall rates I have ever witnessed.. Some parts of eastern Orange county ended with 32-38". Only difference with that one was the extreme cutoff of heavy snow from W-E.. Parts of western Putnam county were getting buried while it was ++RN in Danbury. Truly an amazing storm to watch unfold.. It was definitely a W/E type deal, very unusual to watch SW CT get shut out, and for areas over here to do better. All I know is that apart from this storm, 2009-2010 was one of the most frustrating seasons for me... I had just moved up here from NYC and I had hoped for a snowier place to live. Little did I know I would have to sit and watch storm after storm crush the mid-atlantic while I sat here smoking cirrus under a rotting, confluent air mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 13, 2013 Author Share Posted December 13, 2013 Good evening, Current temp is 12F High today 23F Low 10F Cold is the word for the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 It was definitely a W/E type deal, very unusual to watch SW CT get shut out, and for areas over here to do better. All I know is that apart from this storm, 2009-2010 was one of the most frustrating seasons for me... I had just moved up here from NYC and I had hoped for a snowier place to live. Little did I know I would have to sit and watch storm after storm crush the mid-atlantic while I sat here smoking cirrus under a rotting, confluent air mass. Yeah that season was pretty frustrating for most in the interior. Obviously we know thats the exception and not the norm. Ive been up here since the mid 90s and those sharp qpf cutoffs were the craziest I've seen especially that consistent in a season. Ironically Feb '10 was probably the snowiest month I've ever experienced with about 52" for that month alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 21z SREF Snow Plumes have a snowy mean for these parts... POU - 8.9" MSV - 9.4" HPN - 5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 21z SREF Snow Plumes have a snowy mean for these parts... POU - 8.9" MSV - 9.4" HPN - 5" How accurate usually are they this far out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 NAMS colder so far for this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 All i can say is LOL at the 00Z NAM. Talk about wrapped up bomb! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 WOW @ the NAM... We get smoked! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 How accurate usually are they this far out? Within 36 hrs they can become useful... They usually go off the previous cycle. Watch 03z SREF show an increase due to the NAM at 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 I am not going to get drawn in by the NAM, but that would be awesome as depicted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab94 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM/2013121300/USA_ASNOWIPER_sfc_057.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 I am not going to get drawn in by the NAM, but that would be awesome as depicted. The NAM definitely has a reputation for going ballistic at this time range. Don't remember the exact event last year but at about this range it was showing obscene amounts of near 40" in NNJ. Not as out there with this run but on high side of all guidance thus far thus needs to be taken as suspect for now based on past performance. If rest of 0z trends similar then we may be seeing a real uptick if not then the NAM is likely upto it's usual games and by 18z tomorrow will come back in line. As of now I like 5-8" for the NW areas with sleet possible especially SE edge. 8"+ possible ~I-84 on north in typically favored locations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 I am not going to get drawn in by the NAM, but that would be awesome as depicted. Yeah I would cut those totals in half or until it has some serious support Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 The NAM definitely has a reputation for going ballistic at this time range. Don't remember the exact event last year but at about this range it was showing obscene amounts of near 40" in NNJ. Not as out there with this run but on high side of all guidance thus far thus needs to be taken as suspect for now based on past performance. If rest of 0z trends similar then we may be seeing a real uptick if not then the NAM is likely upto it's usual games and by 18z tomorrow will come back in line. As of now I like 5-8" for the NW areas with sleet possible especially SE edge. 8"+ possible ~I-84 on north in typically favored locations. Exactly my thinking... Until it has some support stick with the original plan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM/2013121300/USA_ASNOWIPER_sfc_057.gif doesnt work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 A safe qpf estimate for a given locale in situations like this: ((Euro qpf x 5) + (GPS qpf x 3) + (RGEM qpf x 2) + (NAM qpf x 0.5)) divided 11! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 NAM likes weenies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 hi-ho Northwest friends.... I'm just an amateur, but I'm liking the Euro--GFS--NAM--GEM combination... I'm more and more convinced we in the NW burbs are gettin' smoked this weekend.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Snow bomb incoming on the RGEM... 48hrs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 So far NAM, GFS, RGEM all show warning criteria snowfall. Look for WSWs to be issued overnight for the area.. Already going up for C PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Man if the GGEM is correct we will be dealing with another event 3 days after this one. Looks to be a potent clipper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Man if the GGEM is correct we will be dealing with another event 3 days after this one. Looks to be a potent clipper Those never work out here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Those never work out here... I remember quite a few clippers hitting the northern areas. This yr just seems soo different then the past 3-4 yrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Still looking good here for tomorrow. Hope to avoid IP and ZR here in KPOU.....that's my only worry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 I will keep my expectations realistic and be happy with 6 inches of snow at KPOU. More is certainly possible, but I think that is a reasonable estimate. NAM QPF is usually overcooked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Yes, best to keep expectations min. IHeck Ill be happy even with 4 inches as long as the ground is completely white! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.