snywx Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Good morning! This mornings low was a balmy 8F.. Winter is here and here to stay! This weekend is looking good for a warning criteria snowfall.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Good morning! This mornings low was a balmy 8F.. Winter is here and here to stay! This weekend is looking good for a warning criteria snowfall.. I say bring the cold and snow on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Finally looks like the move to the NW 'burbs will pay off... (kidding..please don't tell my better half that the only reason I wanted to be up here was for the snow haha) Here's the twins playing in the coating we had Tuesday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Good morning! This mornings low was a balmy 8F.. Winter is here and here to stay! This weekend is looking good for a warning criteria snowfall.. Wow, you really bottomed out up there on the mountain in your deep snow cover I'll check later for the exact number but my low was in the mid teens, we usually don't have that big a difference between our temps. Looking forward to Saturday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Wow, you really bottomed out up there on the mountain in your deep snow cover I'll check later for the exact number but my low was in the mid teens, we usually don't have that big a difference between our temps. Looking forward to Saturday! lol.. I wish! Yeah was surprised to look at my weather station and see how low we dropped. Tonight may be even colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 GFS came in warmer wigh more ice for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Have a map/model output? I'm not seeing that much of a difference for you... GFS came in warmer wigh more ice for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Perhaps Im misinterpreting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 12, 2013 Author Share Posted December 12, 2013 Storm looks to be a the biggest of the year to date. A crushing blow for my backyard on most of the recent models. Upping my snow total best guess to 6-8 inches followed by some sleet near the end. I may even cook up some weenies on the grill Saturday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Anyone have 12Z Euro snow amounts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Anyone have 12Z Euro snow amounts? At a rough guess, 12Z Euro is printing out 4-6 inches for KPOU area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 At a rough guess, 12Z Euro is printing out 4-6 inches for KPOU area... Sounds good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 15z SREF snowfall mean for POU is 8.8", MSV is 8.9", HPN is 5.1" Starting to get into their useful ranges.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Perhaps Im misinterpreting It did come in warmer but still pretty much an all snow event for us. If you are 40+ miles NW of the city then your chances of mixing are pretty low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Another brutally cold night on tap for the region... Already down to 17/8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
itsdnice Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Fun times ahead! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Fun times ahead! Yes indeed!! Whats your snowfall total so far up there in this young season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Confidence is growing for the weekend.. I just hope that we don't get shut-out of precipitation when any transfer takes place to the coastal low or suffer dry-air virga issues. Lift looks good and most don't seem to be concerned about this though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
itsdnice Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Yes indeed!! Whats your snowfall total so far up there in this young season? If I had to guesstimate I'd say about 6" so far. It's funny I try not to get too excited cause you never know when the rug is gonna get pulled out from under you but after getting caught up today's runs I have to admit my excitement level is going up big time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Confidence is growing for the weekend.. I just hope that we don't get shut-out of precipitation when any transfer takes place to the coastal low or suffer dry-air virga issues. Lift looks good and most don't seem to be concerned about this though... I am a bit concerned about dry air eating up the precip initially, but I think dynamics are richer for lift and snow growth compared to last event.. The transfer dry slot if it occurs should be south of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Confidence is growing for the weekend.. I just hope that we don't get shut-out of precipitation when any transfer takes place to the coastal low or suffer dry-air virga issues. Lift looks good and most don't seem to be concerned about this though... I am a bit concerned about dry air eating up the precip initially, but I think dynamics are richer for lift and snow growth compared to last event.. The transfer dry slot if it occurs should be south of us. Hope so! I am in hopewell junction btw. Are you in downtown Poughkeepsie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 The GFS is showing quite a bit of freezing rain after a front end thump for KPOU, in the neighborhood of 0.3", do you guys think this is overdone? The NAM has a similar amount of sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 The GFS is showing quite a bit of freezing rain after a front end thump for KPOU, in the neighborhood of 0.3", do you guys think this is overdone? The NAM has a similar amount of sleet. I honesty think KPOU rides the line. Could easily see it go either way and it stays frozen and/or we are left with some light freezing rain once the heavier precipitation moves out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 At 6 pm, the temperature reached 19° in White Plains. This was the first reading below 20° since last winter when the temperature fell to 18° on February 2, 2013. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Hope so! I am in hopewell junction btw. Are you in downtown Poughkeepsie? I live in town of POU, closer to Pleasant Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Definitely dropping off quickly tonight. Most areas of the Hudson valley are in the mid teens already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 I honesty think KPOU rides the line. Could easily see it go either way and it stays frozen and/or we are left with some light freezing rain once the heavier precipitation moves out. Im hopeful it's mostly snow during the heaviest precip. A change to ice at the end would just help preserve the snowpack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 I honesty think KPOU rides the line. Could easily see it go either way and it stays frozen and/or we are left with some light freezing rain once the heavier precipitation moves out. Im hopeful it's mostly snow during the heaviest precip. A change to ice at the end would just help preserve the snowpack. Agreed. And IP or no IP, IMO there is no way we go above freezing at the surface. This area tends to do well at fending off the warm layers and seems to hold on to the cold pretty well. Should be a fun Saturday watching this evolve either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Im grateful there is very little chance for plain rain up here. The coastal folks are struggling with that possibility. BTW, it's been a while since we've had a setup that has frozen inland and rain on the coast. I got tired of the heaviest snow always being south. Now, I have to deal with heaviest snow being north. BTW, when was the last time the mid Hudson valley was in the lollipop sweet spot, jackpot in a storm with less to the south and north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Im grateful there is very little chance for plain rain up here. The coastal folks are struggling with that possibility. BTW, it's been a while since we've had a setup that has frozen inland and rain on the coast. I got tired of the heaviest snow always being south. Now, I have to deal with heaviest snow being north. BTW, when was the last time the mid Hudson valley was in the lollipop sweet spot, jackpot in a storm with less to the south and north? It's been a long time. Perhaps feb 26th 2010? Certainly the last few winters have seen the coastal areas cash in on the monster storms more. This area has had a rough patch for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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