UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 00z gfs is no more than some light snow at best... Maybe 2-4" in the absolute best spots... Time to throw in the towel in my opinion.. Gonna be hard to shake half a days worth of model trends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 I just want the city to get enough snow for me to get the day off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 I just want the city to get enough snow for me to get the day off The city is lucky to get 2-4" on this run DC and Philly jackpot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Just a fantastic late winter night out there. Spent an hour skating on my rink, listening to a little Bob Marley. Perfect way to de-stress after a crazy week. Ice was just about the best it's been all winter, which is impressive considering it's essentially March and the amount of snow we've had in the past month. As far as Monday goes, I haven't really been following along (thankfully it appears) but I wouldn't mind a few inches as my practice is opening a new location and we could use a quiet day! Looks like that might be pushing it based on the latest trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 1, 2014 Author Share Posted March 1, 2014 Taking a look at the Sunday Monday event, the euro model would have to have an epic fail in this range to bring us snow. Most recent run was a non event. Anyone have the snow magnet, feel free to use it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 It would be amazing to see if the low temps do happen that's shown on today's 06 GFS run for 3/4 - 3/6. Low temps of -14/18 for KSWF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 1, 2014 Author Share Posted March 1, 2014 has to dig deep into the State College NWS for this nugget .SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...1130Z UPDATE...ALTHOUGH 06Z GFS/GEFS AND 00Z EC SUITE CONTINUES TOFOCUS THE HEAVIEST QPF /AND SNOWFALL/ ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 2-3 LAYERSOF COUNTIES IN PENN...THE 06Z NAM HAS INJECTED A VERY INTERESTINGTWIST TO THIS UPCOMING EVENT BY DISPLAYING A WELL-DEFINED...ANDRATHER INTENSE RIBBON OF 850-700 MB FGEN BETWEEN THE RT22/322CORRIDOR AND I-80 LATE SUNDAY THROUGH THE MID MORNING HOURS MONDAY.THIS FEATURE...LINKED TO THE ENTRANCE REGION OF A 150-160KT 300 MBJET ACROSS THE ERN GLAKES REGION...IS SUPPORTIVE OF THE NUMEROUSHIGHER SREF/SREF PARA MEMBERS...AND LIES WITHIN THE ZONE OF HIGHESTMODEL UNCERTAINTY ATTM /WITH RESPECT TO STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL...ANDTO A LESSER DEGREE - PRECIP TYPE/ ACROSS THE CENTRAL THIRD OF PENN.THE UPCOMING SHIFT WILL BE CLOSELY ASSESSING THE NEXT FEW MODELRUNS FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF EXTENDING THE WINT STORM WATCH A FEWLAYERS OF COUNTIES TO THE NORTH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 It would be amazing to see if the low temps do happen that's shown on today's 06 GFS run for 3/4 - 3/6. Low temps of -14/18 for KSWF.-2 for the low out here. I think that puts me at least ten below 0 lows for the season... A hell of an evening to run out of oil...I went out and got enough fuel to get us through last night, waiting on a delivery now with mixed emotions... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Awesome find...all of the NWS offices have been pretty even-handed with this event, and they all allude to a bigger potential. Seems like every other storm this year - models fail, true mets with experience come closer to wining. On a bigger scale, the ending la nina and coming nino probably contribute more to a snowy march than anything else. I think uncle posted some stats about that, but darned if I can find them before coffee. has to dig deep into the State College NWS for this nugget .SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...1130Z UPDATE...ALTHOUGH 06Z GFS/GEFS AND 00Z EC SUITE CONTINUES TOFOCUS THE HEAVIEST QPF /AND SNOWFALL/ ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 2-3 LAYERSOF COUNTIES IN PENN...THE 06Z NAM HAS INJECTED A VERY INTERESTINGTWIST TO THIS UPCOMING EVENT BY DISPLAYING A WELL-DEFINED...ANDRATHER INTENSE RIBBON OF 850-700 MB FGEN BETWEEN THE RT22/322CORRIDOR AND I-80 LATE SUNDAY THROUGH THE MID MORNING HOURS MONDAY.THIS FEATURE...LINKED TO THE ENTRANCE REGION OF A 150-160KT 300 MBJET ACROSS THE ERN GLAKES REGION...IS SUPPORTIVE OF THE NUMEROUSHIGHER SREF/SREF PARA MEMBERS...AND LIES WITHIN THE ZONE OF HIGHESTMODEL UNCERTAINTY ATTM /WITH RESPECT TO STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL...ANDTO A LESSER DEGREE - PRECIP TYPE/ ACROSS THE CENTRAL THIRD OF PENN.THE UPCOMING SHIFT WILL BE CLOSELY ASSESSING THE NEXT FEW MODELRUNS FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF EXTENDING THE WINT STORM WATCH A FEWLAYERS OF COUNTIES TO THE NORTH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Latest nam is basically a non event for most except extreme LHV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 -2 for the low out here. I think that puts me at least ten below 0 lows for the season... A hell of an evening to run out of oil...I went out and got enough fuel to get us through last night, waiting on a delivery now with mixed emotions... Ouch, it's amazing to see the amount of low temps this year but is not good for the pocket tho. Hope you get the delivery soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 agree - i'm out of wood pellets and can't find anyone that has them in stock. waiting for oil here too... been dumping in 5 gallons at a time but it's eating it faster than i can pour haha Ouch, it's amazing to see the amount of low temps this year but is not good for the pocket tho. Hope you get the delivery soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 Thanks guys, I got a delivery....ouch but whatcha gonna do.., Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 1, 2014 Share Posted March 1, 2014 -2 for the low out here. I think that puts me at least ten below 0 lows for the season... A hell of an evening to run out of oil...I went out and got enough fuel to get us through last night, waiting on a delivery now with mixed emotions... Ouch I've had that happen to me. This cold is getting a little ridiculous now. -2 here as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Looking at all the guidance so far today, I'm glad that I spent a grand total of 7 minutes following this "threat" over the past week. Isn't anyone else in here ready for spring?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Looking at all the guidance so far today, I'm glad that I spent a grand total of 7 minutes following this "threat" over the past week. Isn't anyone else in here ready for spring?!I'm still in the mood for one more good storm. But if not, spring can feel free to show up.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I'm still in the mood for one more good storm. But if not, spring can feel free to show up.lol What a waste of cold air! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Tired of the cold.....just too much now. I could use one more real big snowstorm, but if not, spring warmth is welcome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 How much for Miami ? Smh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 How much for Miami ? Smh And to think the Euro is showing a raging rainstorm next weekend, lol. No middle ground with the PV this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 What a waste of cold air!That's the worst part- if it's going to be cold like this then I want some snow. Cold and dry is boring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I buried 1500 crocus bulbs before the first freeze. i wouldn't mind seeing them soon. at this rate they might come up in june. I'm still in the mood for one more good storm.But if not, spring can feel free to show up.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Temp difference between my house and the woods where the footbridge crosses the Taconic in Yorktown was 13* this morning. It never popped above 32 here but it got to 44 while we were riding and the sun came out for about fifteen minutes. Up to that point we could ride anywhere! Trails be da ned just point it down that draw and rip and then all of a sudden it became work There's still a solid foot in the woods and up to two in sheltered spots. Fatbikes are fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 This takes you here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sn0w Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Gravitylover, what woods do you ride that bike by? Do they border Croton Falls Rd? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Those pics are from Yorktown yesterday. You know where the footbridge crosses the Taconic between Rt 6 and Crompond Rd? I was about 1/2 mile east of that bridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 Forecast to go below 0 tonight, they just keep coming. Usually I only go below zero a handful of nights each season, but here we are in March and still adding to the tally. I've always wanted to live somewhere in the deep north... not as far as the Arctic Circle, but maybe southern Alberta or Saskatchewan. This winter is probably as close to that kind of climate as I'll have the privilege of living in for the near future. Unless something really bizarre happens, this will likely be the last legitimately cold night for the season. Even though all signs point to below-average for the next few weeks, that becomes increasingly boring as the averages continue to climb. I do wish it would snow, but beggars can't be choosers. 2.0" spread over three events since the 2/13 storm has been a bit boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 On a similar note, KPOU ended February -5.6F below. That's pretty amazing. -2.2 for met. winter. Source Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted March 4, 2014 Share Posted March 4, 2014 Forecast to go below 0 tonight, they just keep coming. Usually I only go below zero a handful of nights each season, but here we are in March and still adding to the tally. I've always wanted to live somewhere in the deep north... not as far as the Arctic Circle, but maybe southern Alberta or Saskatchewan. This winter is probably as close to that kind of climate as I'll have the privilege of living in for the near future. Unless something really bizarre happens, this will likely be the last legitimately cold night for the season. Even though all signs point to below-average for the next few weeks, that becomes increasingly boring as the averages continue to climb. I do wish it would snow, but beggars can't be choosers. 2.0" spread over three events since the 2/13 storm has been a bit boring. It has been pretty remarkable. It feels downright balmy on the nights that it doesn't go below 10 degrees. But I agree, it has been a little boring. I guess we are paying for that 2 week stretch of continual snow. Dropped to 5 degrees so far. Should make it below zero here as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 4, 2014 Author Share Posted March 4, 2014 Current temp 3 f Most likely fall to around 4 or 5 below zero Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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