snywx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 This gonna be another NW special.. Surface temps along the coast are awfully warm.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 On 2/17/2014 at 4:07 PM, snywx said: This gonna be another NW special.. Surface temps along the coast are awfully warm.. Might ride this out in Liberty at 1,600 feet, good qpf there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 On 2/17/2014 at 4:07 PM, snywx said: This gonna be another NW special.. Surface temps along the coast are awfully warm.. Have not been in Liberty in 6 weeks, back in 2010, Middletown had more snow and roofs collapsing than liberty. Who has more snow depth now do you think before I drive up there, Middletown, Woodbury Common or Liberty? Thnaks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 On 2/17/2014 at 4:15 PM, sferic said: Might ride this out in Liberty at 1,600 feet, good qpf there?I'll tell you what's good up there, the snowpack. I went through there this weekend, impressive! Not that the two foot or so pack around here is anything to sneeze at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 On 2/17/2014 at 4:18 PM, sferic said: Have not been in Liberty in 6 weeks, back in 2010, Middletown had more snow and roofs collapsing than liberty. Who has more snow depth now do you think before I drive up there, Middletown, Woodbury Common or Liberty? Thnaks! Right now probably Liberty.. We have a general 24-28" snowpack throughout OC with probably 30"+ up in Sullivan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Current snow depth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 On 2/17/2014 at 4:18 PM, sferic said: Have not been in Liberty in 6 weeks, back in 2010, Middletown had more snow and roofs collapsing than liberty. Who has more snow depth now do you think before I drive up there, Middletown, Woodbury Common or Liberty? Thnaks! I didn't measure in Liberty but have around north central Orange County which is in the 22-25" range. Based strictly on the snowbanks here and what I saw up there Liberty takes the prize. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEC Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 On 2/17/2014 at 4:18 PM, sferic said: Have not been in Liberty in 6 weeks, back in 2010, Middletown had more snow and roofs collapsing than liberty. Who has more snow depth now do you think before I drive up there, Middletown, Woodbury Common or Liberty? I'm five miles southeast of Liberty and there's a 26" depth here (as of yesterday). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html GGEM shows low placement off Long Island redeveloping and giving areas NW of NYC a solid dump of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 On 2/17/2014 at 5:31 PM, OrangeCountySnowZ said: http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html GGEM shows low placement off Long Island redeveloping and giving areas NW of NYC a solid dump of snow Wxbell precip map for the RGEM is dry for most folks here, about 1/4" QPF in general. More over the city and coastal CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 On 2/17/2014 at 5:42 PM, Juliancolton said: Wxbell precip map for the RGEM is dry for most folks here, about 1/4" QPF in general. More over the city and coastal CT. TWC is actually bullish on amounts for once lol calling for 3-6" for my are Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 On 2/17/2014 at 5:43 PM, OrangeCountySnowZ said: TWC is actually bullish on amounts for once lol calling for 3-6" for my are You want bullish? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 On 2/17/2014 at 5:47 PM, Juliancolton said: You want bullish? Lol... Not happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 On 2/17/2014 at 6:30 PM, snywx said: Lol... Not happening Never say never- at least not for the past several days lol Maybe some forecasters are trying to play catch up for the last few storms- guess you can only want to be caught with your pants down so many times hahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 I'm really surprised by the numbers being thrown out there by people (some saying 10" or more). Very bullish indeed. It does look like my part of Dutchess might fare a littler poorer than east or south of here, but that's not atypical in a setup like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 On 2/17/2014 at 6:39 PM, Pitmaster said: Never say never- at least not for the past several days lol Maybe some forecasters are trying to play catch up for the last few storms- guess you can only want to be caught with your pants down so many times hahaha True... But 6"+ is a huge stretch. Not one piece of guidance shows that for the area. Even the nam is only 4-5" for the area. I guess time will tell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 On 2/17/2014 at 6:50 PM, snywx said: True... But 6"+ is a huge stretch. Not one piece of guidance shows that for the area. Even the nam is only 4-5" for the area. I guess time will tell Yeah- will probably be a 2-4 type deal. On a side note, after about 4 days of "mild" weather end of this week, it looks like we get chilly again next week with some more potential for the white stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 60 day Departure From Normal.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 On 2/17/2014 at 7:10 PM, West Mtn NY said: NAM is more................. Cant see the map.. Meteocentre maps are usually the most accurate & shows 4-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 If I had to make an early guess I would say 2-4" areawide with locally 5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 On 2/17/2014 at 7:20 PM, snywx said: If I had to make an early guess I would say 2-4" areawide with locally 5" Hi res. shows 8" -6" from S to N over the county at 10-1 ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 On 2/17/2014 at 7:25 PM, West Mtn NY said: Shows 8" -6" from S to N over the county at 10-1 ratios Interesting. You seem to like the higher amounts too? These small and short lived suprise events are often the most fun to follow. Upstream radars look pretty impressive at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 On 2/17/2014 at 7:25 PM, West Mtn NY said: Hi res. shows 8" -6" from S to N over the county at 10-1 ratios8 would be awesome- that way when temps warm up for a few days the melting that occurs will get us back to our current snow depth lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 On 2/17/2014 at 7:20 PM, snywx said: If I had to make an early guess I would say 2-4" areawide with locally 5" Does that hold true for Liberty or better ratios 35 miles nw of you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Looks like the 18z nam took a step toward reality with its precip amounts.. Still like 2-4" area wide Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 On 2/17/2014 at 8:16 PM, sferic said: Does that hold true for Liberty or better ratios 35 miles nw of you?Ratips won't be that much better up there compared to here.. It's a small to potentially moderate event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 On 2/17/2014 at 8:18 PM, snywx said: Ratips won't be that much better up there compared to here.. It's a small to potentially moderate event Ok, I'll take my 2-4 in Liberty with no rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 I'm working today in Harlem and our snow pack is literally twice the size.. Expected more down here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 They just hoisted the WWA for 3-5 for some of our areas. 2-4, 3-5 whatever it is will mark 5 nights of seeing some snowfall. Feb has turned into a blockbuster month with 11 days left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 On 2/17/2014 at 8:37 PM, snywx said: I'm working today in Harlem and our snow pack is literally twice the size.. Expected more down hereThat's the heat of the island for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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