jdt Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 11:40 AM, Animal said: Mt Holly Warning is for 12-18 now Excellent! Latest snow map has us in 14-18". All systems are a go!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 13, 2014 Author Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 11:41 AM, rygar said: How much are you guys worried about sleet, should just be between they heavy stuff, but rooting for pure snow obviously! I expect we mix at some point. Maybe only a short time though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 11:41 AM, rygar said: How much are you guys worried about sleet, should just be between they heavy stuff, but rooting for pure snow obviously! I believe our area should avoid any sleet / mix of consequence. If we do get some it will likely be in between the front end and back side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 7:14 AM, snywx said: RAP continues westward trend.. Not complaining but still kind of confused as to why Ulster gets more than the counties around it lol. On 2/13/2014 at 11:30 AM, jdt said: Solid 10-15" all on NW NJ & LHV. If CCB banding works out this evening, which most guidance says it will, then 15-20" in those areas that max out on both sides with no mixing in between. I agree with a NW NJ and LHV jackpot probably. Should get the most intense precip rates. Thinking somewhere elevated in Orange probably ends up near 20 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 i'm more worried about dry slotting than mixing at this point... On 2/13/2014 at 11:30 AM, jdt said: Solid 10-15" all on NW NJ & LHV. If CCB banding works out this evening, which most guidance says it will, then 15-20" in those areas that max out on both sides with no mixing in between. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nick5892 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Mt. Holly just upped my totals to 12-16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Sparta, NW NJ 7AM 18 / 15 Moderate Snow 1.5" measured Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 4km NAM remains locked-in on 12-18" area wide, and continues to have heavy banding on the backside in our area overnight tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 11:57 AM, Patrick said: i'm more worried about dry slotting than mixing at this point... As great as these big events always look as they begin there is always the worry of dry slotting or banding not occurring exactly as modeled. That is just the variability inherent in the weather. Overall, though, I think we are in good shape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nick5892 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Wind actually really kicking up here. Snow blowing off the roof. About 1.75 in hackettstown. Snow slowly picking up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I still see 12-18" areawide up here with isolated spots reaching 20"+. Where the banding/CCB sets up will be key to who sees complete destruction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Monroe at 1K FTW....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nick5892 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 12:14 PM, snywx said: I still see 12-18" areawide up here with isolated spots reaching 20"+. Where the banding/CCB sets up will be key to who sees complete destruction How much are you thinking on the front end? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 13, 2014 Author Share Posted February 13, 2014 anyone have details on the early morning euro. Reports that I read indicated it was decent if not impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
accumulation21 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 1.4 Inches in Hamburg, NJ. Light snow beginning to pick up in intensity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 12:17 PM, Animal said: anyone have details on the early morning euro. Reports that I read indicated it was decent if not impressive. Jackpot just west of NYC with 15-20 inches in NE NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 12:17 PM, Animal said: anyone have details on the early morning euro. Reports that I read indicated it was decent if not impressive. I believe it was impressive both front end and backside CCB for much of the area and supports the idea of 12-18" even 20" in spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 12:17 PM, Animal said: anyone have details on the early morning euro. Reports that I read indicated it was decent if not impressive. Check post #2711 from last night in here.. Shows 1.4"+ for most in the region. Pure porn for all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Looks like R/S line is up to Toms River NJ. I just don't see those 12"+ totals on the immediate coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Latest HRRR loop, and this looks to be before the banding on the backside: http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/jsloopLocalDiskDateDomainZip.cgi?dsKeys=hrrr_jet:&runTime=2014021310&plotName=acsnw_sfc&fcstInc=60&numFcsts=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields%20-%20Experimental&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&resizePlot=1&domain=full Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 12:17 PM, Animal said: anyone have details on the early morning euro. Reports that I read indicated it was decent if not impressive. Look back in this thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 12:35 PM, chietanen said: Latest HRRR loop, and this looks to be before the banding on the backside: http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/jsloopLocalDiskDateDomainZip.cgi?dsKeys=hrrr_jet:&runTime=2014021310&plotName=acsnw_sfc&fcstInc=60&numFcsts=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields%20-%20Experimental&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&resizePlot=1&domain=full Yeah thats till 8pm tonight. Shows 12-15" I already have at least 1.5-2" outside right now. (eyeballing) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 12:35 PM, chietanen said: Latest HRRR loop, and this looks to be before the banding on the backside: http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/jsloopLocalDiskDateDomainZip.cgi?dsKeys=hrrr_jet:&runTime=2014021310&plotName=acsnw_sfc&fcstInc=60&numFcsts=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields%20-%20Experimental&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&resizePlot=1&domain=full Would that link update every hour? Im interested in following it.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Found this interesting from CWG, probably not fully pertaining to us though: Capital Weather Gang Liked · about an hour ago Incredible range of conditions in the region at 6 am. Dulles: heavy snow and 22. Reagan Natl mixed precip and 35. What's happening where you are?The main reason some areas have warmed up quickly is because low pressure to our south (see below) is strong (hence the heavy precip) and slightly west of where it was forecast, and so it is drawing in quite a bit of mild air off the ocean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Are the heavier echoes to our south going to arrive here in mid hudson? If so, when? My wife is trying to decide if she should go to work. I am saying no, but she insists. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 12:40 PM, snywx said: Would that link update every hour? Im interested in following it.. I don't believe so, but I'm not 100% sure. Scroll down to total accumulated snowfall: http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 12:42 PM, chietanen said: I don't believe so, but I'm not 100% sure. Scroll down to total accumulated snowfall: http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/ Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 12:41 PM, White Gorilla said: Are the heavier echoes to our south going to arrive here in mid hudson? If so, when? My wife is trying to decide if she should go to work. I am saying no, but she insists. Without a doubt, probably not til after 9 or 10 looking at the latest HRRR. They may not be quite the intensity that they are down in the city, but easily 1-2" per hour once they get going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 12:44 PM, chietanen said: Without a doubt, probably not til after 9 or 10 looking at the latest HRRR. They may not be quite the intensity that they are down in the city, but easily 1-2" per hour once they get going.Agreed,you can see the steady progress that band is making to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Everyone should start seeing snowfall rates increase within the next 1-2hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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