REDMK6GLI Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 11:21 AM, OrangeCountySnowZ said: We could really jackpot up here with some 20"+ amounts is someone gets into that heavy banding.. My guess is whoever is just on the right side of the 850 line will get hit hardest you guys are going to get slammed for once! enjoy it, im going to see maybe a quarter of that on LI about 6" total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 11:24 AM, REDMK6GLI said: you guys are going to get slammed for once! enjoy it, im going to see maybe a quarter of that on LI about 6" total Good luck to you too! I have a feeling you will exceed 6 inches down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 11:13 AM, Animal said: Must admit, I really like the 6 GFS. Current temp 2F I'd take it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 11:24 AM, REDMK6GLI said: you guys are going to get slammed for once! enjoy it, im going to see maybe a quarter of that on LI about 6" total I wouldn't dismiss higher total for u guys yet. If u get the wrap around some of The models show may give u 6 inches or more just with that. They can easily over perform . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Down to -4 here this morning. What a winter we've been having! I love snow and cold, but I wouldn't mind a redux of March 2012 after this month is over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 12:37 PM, chietanen said: Down to -4 here this morning. What a winter we've been having! I love snow and cold, but I wouldn't mind a redux of March 2012 after this month is over.I'm with you on that, once we get to March first, I start shifting into spring mode. My low this morning was -13...only 14 degrees lower than what Upton was calling for... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I just don't want to have to get more heating oil again this year. Enough with the cold and that's from a dyed in the wool winter guy. So, lookin' like a foot or more tomorrow huh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 2:14 PM, gravitylover said: I just don't want to have to get more heating oil again this year. Enough with the cold and that's from a dyed in the wool winter guy.So, lookin' like a foot or more tomorrow huh. That's why I got rid of oil and got a wood stove lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 This area looks to be the JP as of now. It's right at the crosshairs between the heaviest precipitation and coldest air. It also stands the greatest chance of not dry slotting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 2:48 PM, YanksFan27 said: This area looks to be the JP as of now. It's right at the crosshairs between the heaviest precipitation and coldest air. It also stands the greatest chance of not dry slotting. And if the CCB sets up over the n/w NJ & interior s/e NY areas will see a good dumping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 ^^ and unless I'm reading things wrong as you get further east (and in this thread I'm further east) the chances of dryslotting are nearly zilch. The hilly zones east of the Taconics always seem to do well with ccb's so I have a feeling I'll be pushing 18" by 10pm tomorrow night. Of course, moving the snowbanks back yesterday I broke my lifting shovel so I'm down to the pusher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Where, when, how intense the CCB is later tomorrow will determine the jack pot. Most areas due equally well on front end with slight favor to NW areas due to less threat of warming above 32. Will be exciting but could be painful to watch later tomorrow depending on that all important CCB. I like 10-15" for NW areas with 15"+ if CCB gets us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 1:35 PM, IrishRob17 said: I'm with you on that, once we get to March first, I start shifting into spring mode. My low this morning was -13...only 14 degrees lower than what Upton was calling for... Dropped to -6 here.. This winter will be remembered for its constant cold & snowpack. Many of us will be looking at as 24"+ snowpack come friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 12z GFS looks preliminarily like 1.5" to 2" QPF for most folks here. For your viewing pleasure - in the wee hours Friday morning: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 3:46 PM, Juliancolton said: 12z GFS looks preliminarily like 1.5" to 2" QPF for most folks here. For your viewing pleasure - in the wee hours Friday morning: gfsNE_sfc_prec_042.gif Thats an increase from 6z which was impressive. Wow! 978mb kissing MTP!! Now this an example of what we need for jackpot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 12z RGEM Hr30 30-40mm of snow areawide! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pitmaster Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 4:03 PM, snywx said: 12z RGEM Hr30 30-40mm of snow areawide! Wow- that is impressive. Going to be a hell of a storm! What's the start time for our neck of the woods? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I am on my way back from San Diego to JFK. Being a complete weenie and making use of the wifi in-flight. Looks like I timed my return trip perfectly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 4:19 PM, Radders said: I am on my way back from San Diego to JFK. Being a complete weenie and making use of the wifi in-flight. Looks like I timed my return trip perfectly. Boy you sure did! This looks to be a grand slam for us! Jackpots all around us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Models are really bumping snow totals up less than 24 hrs out.. This could be a HECS especially for many of us inland folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 What is everyones current snow depth?? 12.5" at the stake here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 4:32 PM, snywx said: What is everyones current snow depth?? 12.5" at the stake here 10.5" at my parents house in Valley Cottage, though i think at my house a few hundred feet up we're over 11 still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I think the Mid HV is in a really good spot with this, but it does depends on the CCB banding, if it doesn't focus on this area, this will be another typical 6-12 inch type storm, if it does focus on this area, then you're talking a MECS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I really would not be shocked at all if someone pulled off 30" up here. The short range high res models are starting to come in range and look ridiculously strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 That countdown to May 1st thread in the NE forum keeps flashing through my mind. Something about having a 3' snowpack is starting to bug me I must be getting old This looks good http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=24.5550593&lon=-81.77998709999997&site=all&smap=1&searchresult=Key%20West%2C%20FL%2033040%2C%20USA#.UvundGJdWxU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 4:32 PM, snywx said: What is everyones current snow depth?? 12.5" at the stake hereSo many weenies clogging the board, UGH! 11" at my stake but I took a number of measurements around the yard and have a closer to 12" average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I worry about what the snowpack will be up in this region after this week and what that will mean for March flooding chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 4:32 PM, snywx said: What is everyones current snow depth?? 12.5" at the stake here 10 at my stake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 5:00 PM, YanksFan27 said: I worry about what the snowpack will be up in this region after this week and what that will mean for March flooding chances. Its gonna be reminiscent of Feb 2010 up here in regards to snowpack. Take plenty of pics!! lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 5:04 PM, snywx said: Its gonna be reminiscent of Feb 2010 up here in regards to snowpack. Take plenty of pics!! lol.. Well hopefully we avoid a nasty coastal like March 2010 had dumping 4" of rain on top of the melting snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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