weatherwiz Posted September 28, 2013 Share Posted September 28, 2013 Maybe more towards mid-October. Other than that ridging pattern we get that gives us a heat up and a few transient fropas, upper atmospheric flow looks rather stale. I hate rain in the fall though because it drops leaves prematurely and nothing is worse than wet, damp leaves. With ridging just off to our east, that could allow for fronts, especially those weak fronts, to stall just to our west and that would allow for moisture to just work up the coast and wherever the axis of stronger lift/forcing setup is where we'd have to watch for the heavier axis of rainfall. i hate the wind in the fall...nothing is worse then walking through wind and it blowing your hood off and impeding your walking. highly annoying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 28, 2013 Share Posted September 28, 2013 I agree with Ryan that it is something to watch anyways. Models do try to hint at the possibility of moisture getting entrained into the trough late next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted September 28, 2013 Share Posted September 28, 2013 I agree with Ryan that it is something to watch anyways. Models do try to hint at the possibility of moisture getting entrained into the trough late next weekend. I could sort of see a ragged looking high end TS/low end Hurricane barreling through Florida on Friday and bringing some moisture up the coast? We'll see... something to watch after another few days of painfully boring wx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 28, 2013 Share Posted September 28, 2013 Euro ensembles pretty warm day 4 through 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 29, 2013 Author Share Posted September 29, 2013 I could sort of see a ragged looking high end TS/low end Hurricane barreling through Florida on Friday and bringing some moisture up the coast? We'll see... something to watch after another few days of painfully boring wx. Gulf looks very hostile to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted September 29, 2013 Share Posted September 29, 2013 Gulf looks very hostile to me Environment doesn't look great but it seems like it could pull off one of those October surprises as the trough digs and you get an area of strong divergence over the storm helping deepen it even in the presence of moderate wind shear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 29, 2013 Author Share Posted September 29, 2013 Environment doesn't look great but it seems like it could pull off one of those October surprises as the trough digs and you get an area of strong divergence over the storm helping deepen it even in the presence of moderate wind shear.better get its act together in the Caribbean other wise you end up with another naked circulation ie Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted September 29, 2013 Share Posted September 29, 2013 better get its act together in the Caribbean other wise you end up with another naked circulation ie Euro That's not really what the Euro shows... it has a huge mass of convection with a fairly broad circulation over Florida. Again... nothing terribly exciting but something to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted September 29, 2013 Share Posted September 29, 2013 I have a hard time buying into it. Not only is it disorganized, but models have it moving over Cuba and into much drier air, let alone the moderate wind shear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 29, 2013 Author Share Posted September 29, 2013 That's not really what the Euro shows... it has a huge mass of convection with a fairly broad circulation over Florida. Again... nothing terribly exciting but something to watch. POS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 29, 2013 Share Posted September 29, 2013 Shallow, but dense fog here. June like weather coming up after Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 29, 2013 Share Posted September 29, 2013 Shallow, but dense fog here. June like weather coming up after Tuesday. Just a few whisps here at the Pit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 29, 2013 Share Posted September 29, 2013 Shallow, but dense fog here. June like weather coming up after Tuesday. Meh..for a day or 3..then we cool later next weekend..No biggie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 29, 2013 Share Posted September 29, 2013 Meh..for a day or 3..then we cool later next weekend..No biggie Dews come back too...just for you. Looks warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 29, 2013 Share Posted September 29, 2013 Dews come back too...just for you. Looks warm. As much as I love them in the summer in season..I hate them in the fall out of season. Hopefully they don't get into the 70's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted September 29, 2013 Share Posted September 29, 2013 As much as I love them in the summer in season..I hate them in the fall out of season. Hopefully they don't get into the 70's Don't worry about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 29, 2013 Share Posted September 29, 2013 Don't worry about that. Hopefully we can get some sort of interesting storm out of this. Should be a really sharp trough digging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 29, 2013 Share Posted September 29, 2013 Absolute pea soup out there. Didn't expect this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted September 29, 2013 Share Posted September 29, 2013 Hopefully we can get some sort of interesting storm out of this. Should be a really sharp trough digging. Low topped squall line with a 30 knot gust for Wiz? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 29, 2013 Share Posted September 29, 2013 Low topped squall line with a 30 knot gust for Wiz? Even that would be like getting an EML in here as of late. So boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 29, 2013 Share Posted September 29, 2013 Well my take is with a positive EPO and above normal heights in the east we run AOA for the next 10-20 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 29, 2013 Share Posted September 29, 2013 Just a few whisps here at the Pit. I'm too old to stand on my head to see this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted September 29, 2013 Share Posted September 29, 2013 Even that would be like getting an EML in here as of late. So boring. 10/3/79 redux? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 29, 2013 Share Posted September 29, 2013 10/3/79 redux? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 29, 2013 Share Posted September 29, 2013 I'm too old to stand on my head to see this. You're seeing it upside down? That's weird--it's rightside up for me. I'm curious to see your take on the 'first inch' poll. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 29, 2013 Share Posted September 29, 2013 You're seeing it upside down? That's weird--it's rightside up for me. I'm curious to see your take on the 'first inch' poll. Started foogy here but sunny now. Downtown Greenfield is still pea soup. Are you seeing epic numbers of wooly caterpillars this year? They are everywhere down here. Means a big, big winter incoming right Jerry? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 29, 2013 Share Posted September 29, 2013 Started foogy here but sunny now. Downtown Greenfield is still pea soup. Are you seeing epic numbers of wooly caterpillars this year? They are everywhere down here. Means a big, big winter incoming right Jerry? Yeah my yard is loaded with them, they are everywhere. I see then all over the roads too running in the morning . they are mostly black this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 29, 2013 Share Posted September 29, 2013 Yeah my yard is loaded with them, they are everywhere. I see then all over the roads too running in the morning . they are mostly black this yearI'm sad to admit that I've found 3 this year and all of them had 4 black segments in the front, 5 brown in the middle, and 3 black on the behind. I know the legend is the less brown, the harsher the winter, but I don't know how the segments break down. I'm not surprised that yours are mostly black though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted September 29, 2013 Share Posted September 29, 2013 Well my take is with a positive EPO and above normal heights in the east we run AOA for the next 10-20 days.Face it I really don't care what anyone says but the pattern that has developed over the last 3 weeks looks to continue for awhile and that has to be concerning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 29, 2013 Share Posted September 29, 2013 Face it I really don't care what anyone says but the pattern that has developed over the last 3 weeks looks to continue for awhile and that has to be concerning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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