Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,588
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

September weather discussion


Ginx snewx

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 2.7k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Can you imagine that one coming in during a Wed. morning commute?

 

 

Yeah that would have been more disruptive had it been timed differently...same with Feb last winter. We've lucked out quite a bit over the years with the timing of big storms. 1978 was the perfect storm of timing and poor prediction (predicted to start gradually versus a wall of S+ that came in)....the storms that come in like a wall of S+ are the ones that always are the most disruptive. That's what happened on 12/13/07 even that storm was merely a 6-10" moderate snowstorm by the numbers. But the way it happened made for a disaster situation on the roadways.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1978 really wasn't a historical storm outside of LI and the southeast 2/3rds of SNE...it was pretty local, albeit monstrous for the area it hit.

A storm like March 1993 absolutely blows 1978 out of the water in terms of larger scale impact...its just that 1978 was a bigger deal in SNE so its the measuring stick for all winter storms amongst our population.

March 1993 should blow 1978 out of the water in terms of impact if we are talking bigger than regional storms.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

What about using minimum low pressure achieved or something other than subjective reasoning to compare the storms?

But it seems we are also talking about impact which doesn't really count in the "event budget"...ie it seems the big storms mentioned hit huge population centers. Sandy hits the Carolinas and not the northeast population centers, we probably wouldn't talk about it as much. Katrina would be devastating anywhere, but probably wouldn't hold the same weight if it didn't hit New Orleans.

An "event budget" or "these types of storms only come around once every X-years" should probably include similar storms that were either near misses or hit unpopulated areas (but were still a beast of a storm)...if we are truly just comparing storm strength, there are probably other events of that ilk as well...we just don't talk about them because of the lack of impact on population centers.

 

Love this post of yours.  Great points.  I really firmly believe your last paragraph is the most scientifically responsible post in this debate, and I appreciate it.  It's exactly how I think on these matters.  

 

Anyway, can we all just step back and ask the question: would it be interesting to see a climatology of (specifically) big systems, from which, frequency in deference to region is gleaned??  That's really all I wanted... Instead, we started this soap opera about defending the sanctity of last Feb.  You know what, I don't even care. Put it on the list if people want.  We are still looking at 8 months of desolation in storm population.

 

I tell you what... The Cleveland Superbomb of Jan 25-28, 1978 is king. It was MORE powerful than 1993, AND, it stalled.  good christ.  That storm sank to 953mb, stronger than a Category 2 hurricane.  I lived through 30" of snow in 90mph wind gust for 3 days.  May parents were terrified; even at the tender age I could read it in their eyes. 

 

As far as that goes, what f was the deal with 1978?  Lord.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Love this post of yours.  Great points.  I really firmly believe your last paragraph is the most scientifically responsible post in this debate, and I appreciate it.  It's exactly how I think on these matters.  

 

Anyway, can we all just step back and ask the question: would it be interesting to see a climatology of (specifically) big systems, from which, frequency in deference to region is gleaned??  That's really all I wanted... Instead, we started this soap opera about defending the sanctity of last Feb.  You know what, I don't even care. Put it on the list if people want.  We are still looking at 8 months of desolation in storm population.

 

I tell you what... The Cleveland Superbomb of Jan 25-28, 1978 is king. It was MORE powerful than 1993, AND, it stalled.  good christ.  That storm sank to 953mb, stronger than a Category 2 hurricane.  I lived through 30" of snow in 90mph wind gust for 3 days.  May parents were terrified; even at the tender age I could read it in their eyes. 

 

As far as that goes, what f was the deal with 1978?  Lord.

 

 

537194_522538491102596_1957075624_n.jpg?

 

 

 

blizpic2.jpg

Link to comment
Share on other sites

You'll get no argument from me that its been boring since the end of last winter...this year's convective season was a massive bust...even for SNE standards, and TC season has been non-existent for the most part. I don't mind...it sometimes makes me feel we are "due" once winter comes along, even though I doesn't have to work that way.

The May Miller B was a great storm
Link to comment
Share on other sites

No, we have not had a killing frost...so we'll call it "pseudo Indian Summer" to make the semantic folks happy.

 

Let's just call it a warm day and be done with it.

 

WRT to the sillly debate of how to classify last year's storm, I offer the following.  There's the objective observer that sits there and ooh and aah over photos from other areas (whether it's of a tornado outbreak in the plains or a snowstorm in Japan).  Then there's the subjective observer who sits in the event and experiences it first hand.

 

The person who loses a loved one or a home in an isolated tornado in Oklahoma will experience the worst storm of their lives while it makes scant news in the national media.  Do folks on the Jersey shore look at their destroyed homes and say, meh, it was only a Cat 1.  I thnk not.

 

The once in a lifetime Blizz/Gynx storm is measured by the impact it had on them.  Those outside can say 'ooh and ahh'.  But for those who had to dig out from it, who cares what it's 'measured' by?  You get to sit back and say I had the most snow I'll ever see in a single storm from that one and tell the stories about it.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Steve, why does it always have to be about "right here"?   meaning SNE??   SNE is a meso-beta scaled region.  It's IMBY to think of the atmosphere in that way.  I was talking (premise) about an ilk of event that last Feb doesn't fit into -- it just doesn't.  But I did just give a nod to Will in terms of disruptions to us.  I don't like that though.  

i am steve, but you were addressing ginxy.

anyway, the answer to your question that it has to be about SNE is that most of us in the forum are IN SNE. that is the region we care about. yes I realize there are mets and hobbyists in the SNE forum who are more into the atmospheric/global meteorology, but i would argue that the majority of ppl here care mostly about their back yard.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I may lose it. Yesterday's 11pm news said we should wake up to sun. Now NWS is going back to mostly cloudy, at least the first half of the day.

Cloudy day after cloudy day.

"&& Near term /until 8 PM this evening/... as of 725 am EDT Friday...stratus deck persisting over the north country...with exception of slv. A couple of breaks within the cloud shield developing this morning. Have adjusted forecast to current surface and satellite observation...including mostly cloudy wording for most of the area."

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I may lose it. Yesterday's 11pm news said we should wake up to sun. Now NWS is going back to mostly cloudy, at least the first half of the day.

Cloudy day after cloudy day.

"&& Near term /until 8 PM this evening/... as of 725 am EDT Friday...stratus deck persisting over the north country...with exception of slv. A couple of breaks within the cloud shield developing this morning. Have adjusted forecast to current surface and satellite observation...including mostly cloudy wording for most of the area."

shorts?
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...