Damage In Tolland Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 Just can't take any more of this boredom. No end in sight for weeks and weeks. Look away , it's hideous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 Just can't take any more of this boredom. No end in sight for weeks and weeks. Look away , it's hideous. Enjoy the boredom, it's the only boredom you've got. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 Enjoy the boredom, it's the only boredom you've got. Can't take....must...have...extremes...need ,,,excitement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 Can't take....must...have...extremes...need ,,,excitement I love how the whole globe is quiet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 I love how the whole globe is quiet. According to Spaceweather.com even the sun is quiet. lol Quiet begets quiet... until it doesn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 Imagine if this continued through December? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 So much for the cold start to October that one person was insisting. Looks mild and boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 26, 2013 Author Share Posted September 26, 2013 I love how the whole globe is quiet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 I love how the whole globe is quiet. Whoopee. ACE is way down meaning it is quiet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 26, 2013 Author Share Posted September 26, 2013 Whoopee. ACE is way down meaning it is quiet. ACE is the place for your helpful hardware man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 So much for the cold start to October that one person was insisting. Looks mild and boring. Will it storm ever again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 So much for the cold start to October that one person was insisting. Looks mild and boring. Longwave pattern hasn't really supported cold for early Oct for a while...its not shocking that the guidance has warmed as we got closer. There are signs that maybe we try to flip it colder after mid-month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 Will it storm ever again? Hemispheric pattern is happy. Gotta shift that around. We'll have some weather probably in early October with random fropas and possible lows developing...it's Fall after all, but it isn't an active pattern at the moment. It does look like the NW and NCTRL states could see some cold shots during the 1st and 2nd weeks of October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 Longwave pattern hasn't really supported cold for early Oct for a while...its not shocking that the guidance has warmed as we got closer. There are signs that maybe we try to flip it colder after mid-month. Very stable pattern. Not much you can really hope for in terms of action, but at least the wx is pleasant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 Keep it quiet, save the storms for winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 26, 2013 Author Share Posted September 26, 2013 Keep it quiet, save the storms for winter exactly, great to see 200 mph jets on the globe again, its coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 26, 2013 Author Share Posted September 26, 2013 not sure I am buying this warm up, probably a couple of days above normal as we start Oct but the NAO wants to stay negative and signs of a positive PNA appearing.I am thinking by Oct 5 we cool down significantly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 Whoopee. ACE is way down meaning it is quiet. This has to be on track for a record or close to record low ACE (Both for the Globe and Atlantic basin) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 This has to be on track for a record or close to record low ACE (Both for the Globe and Atlantic basin) Yeah it's been a spectacular failure, particularly when compared to the initial outlooks of an "active to extremely active" season. Then we get the follow up of "well there's many factors at play etc.." Basically tropics gon' do what tropics gon' do. I'm guessing the number of folks taking tropical forecasts seriously next year will be a bit diminished given the "oh they don't know anything, look at last year" effect. Anyway, 57 degrees and sunny on yet another soul-crushingly boring day. At least it's comfortable though, this still beats the HHH days easily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 Really substantial cooling in the GOA in the last week.... Not entirely unexpected I guess with the persistent LP that's been sitting there. If it retros a bit we may see some oscillation, but it does seem that over the next couple weeks that the trend is likely toward cooler SSTs in that region, which presents a different look. Actually the NP might start looking a bit like last year eventually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 I love how the whole globe is quiet. it's discomforting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 not sure I am buying this warm up, probably a couple of days above normal as we start Oct but the NAO wants to stay negative and signs of a positive PNA appearing.I am thinking by Oct 5 we cool down significantly. I'd go first ten days average above normal...if I had to guess right now. I don't think it is a huge torch or anything. I just see a poor source region in this longwave pattern. So the troughs won't deliever moderate to large cold departures like they would in a better setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 26, 2013 Author Share Posted September 26, 2013 it's discomforting. this is pretty impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 it's discomforting. In the age where anything has to be AGW related, I love it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 the jet over the PAC? i suppose. but then again...getting to that time of year as we approach the end of sept/early oct. it's totally anecdotal...and not supported by any actual data but i just feel like something is off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 In the age where anything has to be AGW related, I love it. This really has been a ridiculous dead season globally for TCs. I hope the late season is active though with some PAC recurves which may help excite blocking tendencies in the EPO region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 This really has been a ridiculous dead season globally for TCs. I hope the late season is active though with some PAC recurves which may help excite blocking tendencies in the EPO region. Yeah lets get it active then. Makes you think about the heat budget. We know the roles of hurricanes and the heat transport they have, but when there is such a lack of storms....the heat has to manifest itself somehow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 In the age where anything has to be AGW related, I love it. i hate AGW. i feel like both sides are going more and more extreme and more and more looney tunes. i guess if you wanted to make a connection to it (AGW and the lack of TCs) you could talk about the general tropical circulation systems being slowed or altered...i.e. maybe a shift in the walker circulation or a difference in the hadley cell. but there are conflicting papers on both of course. but...could also just be a slow season i need to take a trip to someplace where there's weather happening i think. not sure where that is though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 i hate AGW. i feel like both sides are going more and more extreme and more and more looney tunes. i guess if you wanted to make a connection to it (AGW and the lack of TCs) you could talk about the general tropical circulation systems being slowed or altered...i.e. maybe a shift in the walker circulation or a difference in the hadley cell. but there are conflicting papers on both of course. but...could also just be a slow season i need to take a trip to someplace where there's weather happening i think. not sure where that is though. What a noble concept...it could be just a slow season. Who would have thought. It is boring. No denying that. I've been numb to weather since June. Worst stretch of weather I can think of in terms of action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 If this were winter, weenies would rejoice from the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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