ineedsnow Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 looks like more frost on the way for tonight.. SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...TONIGHT...CANADIAN HIGH PRES BEGINS TO SLIDE OVER THE REGION FROM THE NW.THE DRY COLUMN WILL SUPPORT SKC CONDITIONS AND THE SLACKENING PRESGRADIENT WILL ALLOW FOR WINDS TO DROP OFF OVERNIGHT. GIVENTHIS...EXPECT GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING...LIKELY BETTER THAN MONNIGHT. THE RAD COOLING WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO DIP INTO THE 30S OVERA LARGE PART OF SRN NEW ENGLAND. THE KEY WILL BE DWPTS...SOME OFTHE GUIDANCE IS RAISING DWPTS OVERNIGHT INTO THE MID 30S. HOWEVERWITH GOOD MIXING TODAY...FEEL THIS IS A BIT OVERDONE.THEREFORE...EXPECT MIN TEMPS TO DIP TO NEAR FREEZING PARTICULARLYIN THE VALLEYS OF NW MA AND SW NH ONCE AGAIN. WITH SOME AREASSTILL GROWING...WILL ISSUE ANOTHER ROUND OF FROST ADVISORIES FORTHE SAME AREA AS THOSE OVERNIGHT MON NIGHT. ONE THING TO MONITORDURING THE DAY WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY OF EXPANDING IT FURTHER SAND E...AS RADIATIONAL COOLING COULD ALLOW SOME VALLEYS IN NRNCT...AND CENTRAL MA TO DIP INTO THE MID 30S AS WELL...BUT HAVELOWER CONFIDENCE THERE AT THIS TIME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 Tonight the radiators shine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 Tonight the radiators shine. Yeah, last night was not for me. I still managed a 42-43F. I could see my first frost tonight if all breaks right. 35F is the current BOX forecast. Maybe nip the freezing mark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 taking out the a/c today hope its not a jinx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 Man it's brisk. Hill top and CAA from NNE over water = brisk. Don't know what t got to here.AN rest of month after tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 Tonight the radiators shine. Yeah we may see huge differences tomorrow morning between rad spots and hilltops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 Yeah we may see huge differences tomorrow morning between rad spots and hilltops. Was your temp at winter hill or Natick? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 AN rest of month after tomorrow? To go along with not sleeping, I've had a hard disk failure on my laptop so I can't see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 Was your temp at winter hill or Natick? The 37.5 was winter hill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 The 37.5 was winter hill Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 Currently 37° here. It was 36° in the box when I took the reading at 0700 so that's my "official" low. That was a 14° drop from my 10PM reading which is an over performer in my book. There's actually a frost on my truck top There was a good amount of frost on rooftops as I came down the hill and even frost on the ground in the usual cold spots. That's always nice to see. It looks like a dusting of snow and glistens in the morning sun. Awesome to see! Tonight the radiators shine. Should be interesting. Last night was a good night for me and I'm kind of a happy medium between hilltop and valley. BOX actually has me a degree above last night's forecast of 38° and I beat that by a couple of degrees but I think I'll be a degree or two below that if conditions are right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 Mid 40's down here last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 Definitely a mini coastal front from here to BOS. In any case, any significant warm up looks Muted and temporary to me if the long range is correct. Low heights in AK will want to create zonal flow, but weak -NAO signal will keep HP Nearby. We will warm later this week, but Nothing unusual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 Definitely a mini coastal front from here to BOS. In any case, any significant warm up looks Muted and temporary to me if the long range is correct. Low heights in AK will want to create zonal flow, but weak -NAO signal will keep HP Nearby. We will warm later this week, but Nothing unusual. Hopefully Oct continues the cool trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 Hopefully Oct continues the cool trend It will depend on when/if GOA low heights try to move or retro. If anything it's a decent pattern to try to build up Siberian snowpack so that's good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 Hopefully Oct continues the cool trend I wouldn't mind a mild October/November. If it stays cool for too long you run the risk of having a mild core to the winter. I'd rather have it be cold in January. Having a cold and snowy March was great last year and hopefully we can repeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 Hopefully Oct continues the cool trend Well we may enter a stretch of milder wx, but I don't see obscene torches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 Well we may enter a stretch of milder wx, but I don't see obscene torches. Could see 80 or so here on Friday but nothing over that I'd say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 Impressively cool day. Upper-50s and low-60s from NYC and throughout SNE at the peak heating of the day under full sun. Going to be a fast drop off in temps after 6 PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 you would think they would have changed this by now URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA801 AM EDT TUE SEP 17 2013...ANOTHER ROUND OF TEMPERATURES JUST ABOVE FREEZING TONIGHT....GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING TONIGHT IS EXPECTED TO YIELD ANOTHERROUND OF FROST ACROSS THE INTERIOR OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLANDTONIGHT.MAZ002>004-008-009-NHZ011-015-172015-/O.EXP.KBOX.FR.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-130917T1200Z//O.CON.KBOX.FR.Y.0007.130918T0600Z-130918T1200Z/WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-CHESHIRE NH-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD...ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...JAFFREY...KEENE...PETERBOROUGH...WEARE801 AM EDT TUE SEP 17 2013...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDTWEDNESDAY...* LOCATION...SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE. NORTH CENTRAL ANDNORTHWEST MASSACHUSETTS.* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 40S.* TIMING...FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING.* IMPACTS...SENSITIVE PLANTS AND CROPS MAY BE DAMAGED IF LEFTUNPROTECTED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 17, 2013 Author Share Posted September 17, 2013 After today all but Boston will be solidly under average for the month, impressive considering the heat last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 Impressively cool day. Upper-50s and low-60s from NYC and throughout SNE at the peak heating of the day under full sun. Going to be a fast drop off in temps after 6 PM.It's amazing how uniform temperatures are across New England...literally everyone is 55-65 degrees from Cape Cod to SW CT to northern VT to Maine. Rangley, ME at 1,500ft is 61F in the mountains, while the SW CT is the same on the opposite side of New England. Most folks are even more tightly clustered in the 57-62 range from the Canadian border to coastal CT.. A stark contrast from previous days like yesterday when there was a 20-30F difference between NW and SE New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 ORH came into today at -0.2F Should be a bit lower after today and then even more Weds. Back towards 0 the end of the week. And that is with the truly remarkable and memorable, devastating blowtorch last week... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 ORH came into today at -0.2F Should be a bit lower after today and then even more Weds. Back towards 0 the end of the week. And that is with the truly remarkable and memorable, devastating blowtorch last week... This cool shot was nothing to sneeze at. Recent Septembers have been dominated by warm and humid airmasses. BOS breaking a record low in the month of September for the first time in almost 30 years was impressive. Some closes misses elswhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 No... All heat, all the time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 This cool shot was nothing to sneeze at. Recent Septembers have been dominated by warm and humid airmasses. BOS breaking a record low in the month of September for the first time in almost 30 years was impressive. Some closes misses elswhere. Yeah this September seems more like it should... not a continuation of summer like recent memory, however I just looked and saw last September was below average here at MVL as well. So maybe my memory is just skewed now to expecting warmth over cold. We've had a couple good cold shots so far this month, the period between September 5-9 averaged -7.4F over 4 days, and now this one (today will likely be near a -10 after yesterday's -13). Even the heat last week only included one day of 90F surrounded by highs in the 70s, so it wasn't quite as bad up this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 Yeah this September seems more like it should... not a continuation of summer like recent memory, however I just looked and saw last September was below average here at MVL as well. So maybe my memory is just skewed now to expecting warmth over cold. We've had a couple good cold shots so far this month, the period between September 5-9 averaged -7.4F over 4 days, and now this one (today will likely be near a -10 after yesterday's -13). Even the heat last week only included one day of 90F surrounded by highs in the 70s, so it wasn't quite as bad up this way. MVL_climate.jpg Last September had a few cool shots but actually still finished around average...I remember them. But other than that, we've recently had torch Septembers. I think only '09 was coolish since 2006 and even that was only mildly negative. No guarantee this one finishes cool either. I think we'll erode most of the negative departures over the next week though we may cool off again a bit after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 NWS lack of collaboration with Frost Advisories tonight. No love for NW CT. I also think that NE CT could be included. MOS has 34-36 for IJD and they were 39°F this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 NWS lack of collaboration with Frost Advisories tonight. No love for NW CT. I also think that NE CT could be included. MOS has 34-36 for IJD and they were 39°F this morning. Pretty odd map...Northern Fairfield cty will frost, but nowhere else in CT will? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted September 17, 2013 Share Posted September 17, 2013 ORH came into today at -0.2F Should be a bit lower after today and then even more Weds. Back towards 0 the end of the week. And that is with the truly remarkable and memorable, devastating blowtorch last week... I'm actually up 0.4 on my long term average. That should drop to negative after today and tomorrow. It looks like it's been in the upper 50s for most of the day and just starting to edge down. This is the first day that's had a solid "chill" to the air even in the sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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